Wednesday, February 15, 2012

MoneyScience News

MoneyScience News


Blog Post: relmbo: Fidelity Freedom Funds Aren't "Free" But Are "Dumb"

Posted: 15 Feb 2012 04:30 AM PST

Fidelity Investments is known as "Fido" on Wall Street. Maybe it's because their target date retirement funds are dogs?  Fido is known for its actively managed stock mutual funds.  Peter Lynch became famous as the index-beating manager of the Fidelity Magellan fund. And while Magellan has struggled since Peter retired some 20 years ago, Will Danoff and Joel Tillinghast have...

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Blog Post: TheReformedBroker: It's Never Been Cheaper, Easier, Richer, Smarter or Socialer To Be An Investor

Posted: 15 Feb 2012 04:12 AM PST

"Sometimes in the midst of volatile markets we can forget just how far things have come."

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Blog Post: HighFrequencyTradingReview: Managed Futures Case Study " 2100 Xenon

Posted: 15 Feb 2012 01:16 AM PST

An interview with Jay R. Feuerstein & Bruce Mumfordread more...

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Blog Post: TheFinancialServicesClub: Football: far more important than trading

Posted: 15 Feb 2012 01:12 AM PST

This is so good, I had to extract if for the blog in its own right.read more...

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RT @TandF_Economics Don't forget to check back tomorrow for the third clue of T&Fâs Social Media Week competitio... http://t.co/PyCy9RKF

Posted: 15 Feb 2012 01:04 AM PST

moneyscience: RT @TandF_Economics Don’t forget to check back tomorrow for the third clue of T&F’s Social Media Week competitio... http://t.co/PyCy9RKF

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The Financial Education Daily is out! http://t.co/TYlzia3F ⸠Top stories today via @bob_bruner @uofmaryland @booth_insider

Posted: 14 Feb 2012 11:29 PM PST

BusinessSchools: The Financial Education Daily is out! http://t.co/TYlzia3F â–¸ Top stories today via @bob_bruner @uofmaryland @booth_insider

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Cass News: Cass and the British Council of Shopping Centres link up to deliver executive masterclasses http://t.co/ujO4wBIv

Posted: 14 Feb 2012 10:03 PM PST

BusinessSchools: Cass News: Cass and the British Council of Shopping Centres link up to deliver executive masterclasses http://t.co/ujO4wBIv

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Blog Post: CLANSMAN2: White Papers on Software Architecture for Financial Services by asymptotix

Posted: 14 Feb 2012 07:41 PM PST

read more...

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Blog Post: Falkenblog: de Botton on Religion

Posted: 14 Feb 2012 06:59 PM PST

I'm rather baffled by the strong atheism espoused by Dawkins and Hitchens, for reasons well put by English writer Alain de Botton:Instead, he connects his father's militant atheism to the affliction that he reckons made Dawkins and Christopher Hitchens so caustic in their bestselling attacks on religion. "I've got a generational theory about this. Particularly if you're a man over 55 or so,...

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Blog Post: AllAboutAlpha: Average College Endowment Performance Improves and Size Matters

Posted: 14 Feb 2012 05:47 PM PST

Data on the endowments of institutions of higher learniung shows a significant spread between the performance of the largest endowments and the lagging performance of the smaller. The return that endowments received on their use of alternative strategies, too, depends in part upon the size of the endowment doing the investing. Endowments under $25 million in assets under management made only 9.5...

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Published / Preprint: Dynamic Markov bridges motivated by models of insider trading. (arXiv:1202.2980v1 [math.PR])

Posted: 14 Feb 2012 05:33 PM PST

Given a Markovian Brownian martingale $Z$, we build a process $X$ which is a martingale in its own filtration and satisfies $X_1 = Z_1$. We call $X$ a dynamic bridge, because its terminal value $Z_1$ is not known in advance. We compute explicitly its semimartingale decomposition under both its own filtration $\cF^X$ and the filtration $\cF^{X,Z}$ jointly generated by $X$ and $Z$. Our...

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Published / Preprint: Optimal arbitrage under model uncertainty. (arXiv:1202.2999v1 [math.PR])

Posted: 14 Feb 2012 05:33 PM PST

In an equity market model with "Knightian" uncertainty regarding the relative risk and covariance structure of its assets, we characterize in several ways the highest return relative to the market that can be achieved using nonanticipative investment rules over a given time horizon, and under any admissible configuration of model parameters that might materialize. One characterization is in terms...

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Published / Preprint: An Asymptotic Expansion for Solutions of Cauchy-Dirichlet Problem for Second Order Parabolic PDEs and its Application to Pricing Barrier Options. (arXiv:1202.3002v1 [q-fin.CP])

Posted: 14 Feb 2012 05:33 PM PST

This paper develops a rigorous asymptotic expansion method with its numerical scheme for the Cauchy-Dirichlet problem in second order parabolic partial differential equations (PDEs). As an application, we propose a new approximation formula for pricing barrier option in the log-normal SABR stochastic volatility model.

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Published / Preprint: Derivatives and Credit Contagion in Interconnected Networks. (arXiv:1202.3025v1 [q-fin.RM])

Posted: 14 Feb 2012 05:33 PM PST

The importance of adequately modeling credit risk has once again been highlighted in the recent financial crisis. Defaults tend to cluster around times of economic stress due to poor macro-economic conditions, {\em but also} by directly triggering each other through contagion. Although credit default swaps have radically altered the dynamics of contagion for more than a decade, models...

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The Relative Significance of Finance Journals, Authors and Articles: An Update - http://t.co/q97W6V3g #tcm

Posted: 14 Feb 2012 04:31 PM PST

BusinessSchools: The Relative Significance of Finance Journals, Authors and Articles: An Update - http://t.co/q97W6V3g #tcm

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The Relative Significance of Finance Journals, Authors and Articles: An Update - http://t.co/G0ZVXBdh #tcm

Posted: 14 Feb 2012 04:22 PM PST

moneyscience: The Relative Significance of Finance Journals, Authors and Articles: An Update - http://t.co/G0ZVXBdh #tcm

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Confidence, Opinions of Market Efficiency, and Investment Behavior of Finance Professors - http://t.co/XPajkrTM #tcm

Posted: 14 Feb 2012 04:22 PM PST

moneyscience: Confidence, Opinions of Market Efficiency, and Investment Behavior of Finance Professors - http://t.co/XPajkrTM #tcm

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RT @TandF_Economics Have you found the second letter in the T&F Social Media Week competition? #SMW http:... http://t.co/828MHBci

Posted: 14 Feb 2012 01:15 PM PST

moneyscience: RT @TandF_Economics Have you found the second letter in the T&F Social Media Week competition? #SMW http:... http://t.co/828MHBci

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Blog Post: EconometricsBeat: "Asymptotic" Properties of Estimators and Tests

Posted: 14 Feb 2012 11:32 AM PST

We're so familiar with "large-sample" asymptotics as a way of characterizing the behaviour of our estimators and tests in econometrics, that we tend to forget that there are other, very interesting ways of evaluating their behaviour, and approximating small-sample behaviour. I touched on this in an earlier earlier post when I discussed "small-sigma" (or "small error") asymptotics. However, that's...

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Blog Post: FINalternatives: Ex-Goldman Oil Prop. Trading Chief Readies Hedge Fund

Posted: 14 Feb 2012 11:14 AM PST

Another veteran of Goldman Sachs' proprietary trading operation is set to launch a hedge fund.read more...

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RT @QFINANCEnews: FSA's Hector Sants passes the buck for financial crisis http://t.co/Mya1vGVH

Posted: 14 Feb 2012 11:11 AM PST

moneyscience: RT @QFINANCEnews: FSA's Hector Sants passes the buck for financial crisis http://t.co/Mya1vGVH

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Published / Preprint: The Power of Voice: Managerial Affective States and Future Firm Performance

Posted: 14 Feb 2012 09:42 AM PST

ABSTRACTWe measure managerial affective states during earnings conference calls by analyzing conference call audio files using vocal emotion analysis software. We hypothesize and find that, when managers are scrutinized by analysts during conference calls, positive and negative affects displayed by managers are informative about the firm's financial future. Analysts do not incorporate this...

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Published / Preprint: Political Uncertainty and Corporate Investment Cycles

Posted: 14 Feb 2012 09:42 AM PST

ABSTRACTWe document cycles in corporate investment corresponding with the timing of national elections around the world. During election years, firms reduce investment expenditures by an average of 4.8% relative to nonelection years, controlling for growth opportunities and economic conditions. The magnitude of the investment cycles varies with different country and election characteristics. We...

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Published / Preprint: The Credit Ratings Game

Posted: 14 Feb 2012 09:42 AM PST

ABSTRACTThe collapse of AAA‐rated structured finance products in 2007 to 2008 has brought renewed attention to conflicts of interest in credit rating agencies (CRAs). We model competition among CRAs with three sources of conflicts: (1) CRAs conflict of understating risk to attract business, (2) issuers’ ability to purchase only the most favorable ratings, and (3) the trusting nature of some...

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Published / Preprint: Tiebreaker: Certification and Multiple Credit Ratings

Posted: 14 Feb 2012 09:42 AM PST

ABSTRACTThis paper explores the economic role credit rating agencies play in the corporate bond market. We consider three existing theories about multiple ratings: information production, rating shopping, and regulatory certification. Using differences in rating composition, default prediction, and credit spread changes, our evidence only supports regulatory certification. Marginal, additional...

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Published / Preprint: External Networking and Internal Firm Governance

Posted: 14 Feb 2012 09:42 AM PST

ABSTRACTWe use panel data on S&P 1500 companies to identify external network connections between directors and CEOs. We find that firms with more powerful CEOs are more likely to appoint directors with ties to the CEO. Using changes in board composition due to director death and retirement for identification, we find that CEO‐director ties reduce firm value, particularly in the absence of...

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Published / Preprint: Information Disclosure and Corporate Governance

Posted: 14 Feb 2012 09:42 AM PST

ABSTRACTPublic policy discussions typically favor greater corporate disclosure as a way to reduce firms’ agency problems. This argument is incomplete because it overlooks that better disclosure regimes can also aggravate agency problems and related costs, including executive compensation. Consequently, a point can exist beyond which additional disclosure decreases firm value. Holding all else...

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Published / Preprint: The Value of Investment Banking Relationships: Evidence from the Collapse of Lehman Brothers

Posted: 14 Feb 2012 09:42 AM PST

ABSTRACTWe examine the long‐standing question of whether firms derive value from investment bank relationships by studying how the Lehman collapse affected industrial firms that received underwriting, advisory, analyst, and market‐making services from Lehman. Equity underwriting clients experienced an abnormal return of around â€"5%, on average, in the 7 days surrounding Lehman's bankruptcy,...

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Published / Preprint: When It Pays to Pay Your Investment Banker: New Evidence on the Role of Financial Advisors in M&As

Posted: 14 Feb 2012 09:42 AM PST

ABSTRACTWe provide new evidence on the role of financial advisors in M&As. Contrary to prior studies, top‐tier advisors deliver higher bidder returns than their non‐top‐tier counterparts but in public acquisitions only, where the advisor reputational exposure and required skills set are relatively larger. This translates into a $65.83 million shareholder gain for an average bidder. The...

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Published / Preprint: Why Does the Law Matter? Investor Protection and Its Effects on Investment, Finance, and Growth

Posted: 14 Feb 2012 09:42 AM PST

ABSTRACTInvestor protection is associated with greater investment sensitivity to q and lower investment sensitivity to cash flow. Finance plays a role in causing these effects; in countries with strong investor protection, external finance increases more strongly with q, and declines more strongly with cash flow. We further find that q and cash flow sensitivities are associated with ex post...

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Published / Preprint: FamilyâControlled Firms and Informed Trading: Evidence from Short Sales

Posted: 14 Feb 2012 09:42 AM PST

ABSTRACTWe investigate the relation between organization structure and the information content of short sales, focusing on founder‐ and heir‐controlled firms. Our analysis indicates that family‐controlled firms experience substantially higher abnormal short sales prior to negative earnings shocks than nonfamily firms. Supplementary testing indicates that family control characteristics...

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Published / Preprint: MISCELLANEA

Posted: 14 Feb 2012 09:42 AM PST

Blog Post: QFINANCE: FSA's Hector Sants passes the buck for financial crisis

Posted: 14 Feb 2012 09:28 AM PST

Blog Post: substructural: Behavioral Finance and Sentiment/Tone Mining

Posted: 14 Feb 2012 08:32 AM PST

There are two prominent claims about the stock market: one is that machines are driving the entire market these days. The other is that behavioral finance works and even sentiment-based trading can produce excess profits.read more...

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Cass and the British Council of Shopping Centres link up to deliver executive masterclasses

Posted: 14 Feb 2012 07:59 AM PST

Programme developed as industry faces 'challenging market'

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Fascinating: Analysis of Newly Submitted Preprints at arXiv: Article Downloads, Twitter Mentions, Citations - http://t.co/LqEBGfww #tcm

Posted: 14 Feb 2012 06:43 AM PST

BusinessSchools: Fascinating: Analysis of Newly Submitted Preprints at arXiv: Article Downloads, Twitter Mentions, Citations - http://t.co/LqEBGfww #tcm

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Fascinating: Analysis of Newly Submitted Preprints at arXiv: Article Downloads, Twitter Mentions, Citations - http://t.co/eoJxHYjT #tcm

Posted: 14 Feb 2012 06:31 AM PST

moneyscience: Fascinating: Analysis of Newly Submitted Preprints at arXiv: Article Downloads, Twitter Mentions, Citations - http://t.co/eoJxHYjT #tcm

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Fascinating: Analysis of Newly Submitted Preprints at arXiv: Article Downloads, Twitter Mentions, Citations - http://t.co/iKI0NXSc #tcm

Posted: 14 Feb 2012 06:30 AM PST

fin_tech: Fascinating: Analysis of Newly Submitted Preprints at arXiv: Article Downloads, Twitter Mentions, Citations - http://t.co/iKI0NXSc #tcm

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Revisted: Free Access to Research by IAFE/Sungard Financial Engineer of the Year Robert Engle - http://t.co/oD3gqjUm @tandf_economics

Posted: 14 Feb 2012 06:08 AM PST

BusinessSchools: Revisted: Free Access to Research by IAFE/Sungard Financial Engineer of the Year Robert Engle - http://t.co/oD3gqjUm @tandf_economics

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Blog Post: mathfinance: Stochastic Volatility Models and the Pricing of VIX Options

Posted: 14 Feb 2012 06:07 AM PST

Stochastic Volatility Models and the Pricing of VIX Options is written by Joanna Goard, Mathew Mazur and published in Mathematical Finance. It examines and compares the performance of several volatility models to estimate the VIX, a measure of the implied volatility of S&P 500 index options. You can get access to the paper here.An accurate estimation of VIX is obviously important given its...

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Financial Technology News Report is out! http://t.co/Jdseecpa : Top stories today via @wallstreettech @fincad @xignite @mfdvbrokers

Posted: 14 Feb 2012 04:56 AM PST

fin_tech: Financial Technology News Report is out! http://t.co/Jdseecpa â–¸ Top stories today via @wallstreettech @fincad @xignite @mfdvbrokers

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