Tuesday, February 21, 2012

MoneyScience News

MoneyScience News


Financial Technology News Report is out! http://t.co/Jdseecpa : Top stories today via @kamakuraco @mfdvbrokers @risk_technology @sungardfs

Posted: 21 Feb 2012 04:56 AM PST

fin_tech: Financial Technology News Report is out! http://t.co/Jdseecpa â–¸ Top stories today via @kamakuraco @mfdvbrokers @risk_technology @sungardfs

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Blog Post: FINalternatives: Alix Capital Launches Investable Single-Strategy UCITS Indices

Posted: 21 Feb 2012 04:55 AM PST

Geneva-based Alix Capital has launched a family of investable indices tracking single UCITS hedge fund strategies.read more...

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Blog Post: TalesfromaTradingDesk: FIX Inter-Party Latency (IPL)

Posted: 21 Feb 2012 04:50 AM PST

HFTReview comments that the “Long-awaited standards that will help bring greater transparency to the murky world of sub-second trading are due to be rolled out next month”read more...

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MoneyScience Daily is out! http://t.co/yz3zw0GO : Top stories today via @danprimack @ablemarkets @rjocean @a_biao @moneyscience

Posted: 21 Feb 2012 04:44 AM PST

moneyscience: MoneyScience Daily is out! http://t.co/yz3zw0GO â–¸ Top stories today via @danprimack @ablemarkets @rjocean @a_biao @moneyscience

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Blog Post: TheReformedBroker: Hot Links: Big Winners

Posted: 21 Feb 2012 04:34 AM PST

Your morning financial links, expertly curated.

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Blog Post: QFINANCE: Beat the Market with Dividends

Posted: 21 Feb 2012 02:33 AM PST

Published / Preprint: Bonds and Options in Exponentially Affine Bond Models

Posted: 21 Feb 2012 02:30 AM PST

Applied Mathematical Finance, Volume 0, Issue 0, Page 1-22, Ahead of Print.

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Blog Post: TheAlephBlog: Individual Investing Can Be Tough, Redux

Posted: 21 Feb 2012 01:48 AM PST

I have many software robots that scan for responses to what I write.  Most come directly to me.  Some do not like this one at Seeking Alpha:read more...

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15% early bird discount: Luigi Ballabio Introduces QuantLib Development - London, 21-23rd May, 2012 http://t.co/TMAxJ66N #quant #tcm

Posted: 21 Feb 2012 01:44 AM PST

moneyscience: 15% early bird discount: Luigi Ballabio Introduces QuantLib Development - London, 21-23rd May, 2012 http://t.co/TMAxJ66N #quant #tcm

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15% early bird discount: Luigi Ballabio Introduces QuantLib Development - London, 21-23rd May, 2012 http://t.co/4EhoDT89 #quant #tcm

Posted: 21 Feb 2012 01:11 AM PST

fin_tech: 15% early bird discount: Luigi Ballabio Introduces QuantLib Development - London, 21-23rd May, 2012 http://t.co/4EhoDT89 #quant #tcm

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Blog Post: PsyFiBlog: Have You Been Nudged Today?

Posted: 21 Feb 2012 12:03 AM PST

Quills and Nudges The British Civil Service is not a body known for radical change; it’s never quite got over having to give up the quill pen and tends to view with suspicion newfangled ideas like computers and women in the workplace. Despite this it’s currently at the heart of a large scale experiment on the use of techniques from behavioral science, aka, “nudge” theory. Sitting at the...

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The Financial Education Daily is out! http://t.co/TYlzia3F

Posted: 20 Feb 2012 11:35 PM PST

BusinessSchools: The Financial Education Daily is out! http://t.co/TYlzia3F

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Blog Post: RobertPestonBlog: Greece: Dangerous precedent?

Posted: 20 Feb 2012 11:35 PM PST

I am on my way to Rome to talk to a taxi driver about the eurozone crisis.read more...

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Eurozone finance ministers reach a deal for a fresh bailout for Greece worth 130bn (£110bn; $170bn) euros http://t.co/tCntYhJM #tcm

Posted: 20 Feb 2012 10:55 PM PST

moneyscience: Eurozone finance ministers reach a deal for a fresh bailout for Greece worth 130bn (£110bn; $170bn) euros http://t.co/tCntYhJM #tcm

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Blog Post: TheFinancialServicesClub: Things worth reading: 21st February 2012

Posted: 20 Feb 2012 10:39 PM PST

Things we're reading today include ...read more...

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Blog Post: WealthandCapitalMarketsBlog: Recent Developments in Indian Capital Market

Posted: 20 Feb 2012 10:30 PM PST

India’s Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) is going for IPO starting tomorrow (22nd February). This development touches on a range of issues pertaining to the Indian capital market and regulations that Celent has been discussing for some time.read more...

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Blog Post: iMFdirect: IMF Welcomes New Eurozone Understanding on Greece

Posted: 20 Feb 2012 09:36 PM PST

The IMF has welcomed the agreement by Eurozone finance minister on a new support package for Greece.read more...

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Published / Preprint: Cover

Posted: 20 Feb 2012 09:23 PM PST

Published / Preprint: Editorial Board

Posted: 20 Feb 2012 09:23 PM PST

Published / Preprint: Forthcoming Articles

Posted: 20 Feb 2012 09:23 PM PST

Published / Preprint: Table of Contents

Posted: 20 Feb 2012 09:23 PM PST

Published / Preprint: Journalists and the Stock Market

Posted: 20 Feb 2012 09:23 PM PST

We use exogenous scheduling of Wall Street Journal columnists to identify a causal relation between financial reporting and stock market performance. To measure the media's unconditional effect, we add columnist fixed effects to a daily regression of excess Dow Jones Industrial Average returns. Relative to standard control variables, these fixed effects increase the R2 by about 35%, indicating...

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Published / Preprint: Corporate Dividend Policies: Lessons from Private Firms

Posted: 20 Feb 2012 09:23 PM PST

We compare the dividend policies of publicly and privately held firms in order to help identify the forces shaping corporate dividends, and shed light on the behavior of privately held companies. We show that private firms smooth dividends significantly less than their public counterparts, suggesting that the scrutiny of public capital markets plays a central role in the propensity of firms to...

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Published / Preprint: Optimal Priority Structure, Capital Structure, and Investment

Posted: 20 Feb 2012 09:23 PM PST

We study the interaction between financing and investment decisions in a dynamic model, where the firm has multiple debt issues and equityholders choose the timing of investment. Jointly optimal capital and priority structures can virtually eliminate investment distortions because debt priority serves as a dynamically optimal contract. Examining the relative efficiency of priority rules observed...

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Published / Preprint: Corporate Liquidity and Capital Structure

Posted: 20 Feb 2012 09:23 PM PST

We solve for a firm's optimal cash holding policy within a continuous time, contingent claims framework using dividends, short-term borrowing, and equity issues as controls assuming mean reversion of earnings. Optimal cash is non-monotone in business conditions and increasing in the level of long-term debt. The model matches closely a wide range of empirical benchmarks and predicts cash and...

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Published / Preprint: Trade Credit Contracts

Posted: 20 Feb 2012 09:23 PM PST

We employ a novel data set on almost 30,000 trade credit contracts to describe the broad characteristics of the parties that contract together and the key terms of these contracts. Whereas prior work has typically used information on only one side of the buyer-seller transaction, we utilize information on both, allowing for the first analysis of buyer-seller pairs. An equally important...

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Published / Preprint: Financing Constraints and the Cost of Capital: Evidence from the Funding of Corporate Pension Plans

Posted: 20 Feb 2012 09:23 PM PST

We investigate the relation between firms' weighted average cost of capital and internal financial resources, using mandatory pension contributions as a proxy for internal financial resources. Rauh (2006) documents a negative association between mandatory pension contributions and capital expenditures. We find that an increase in mandatory pension contributions increases the cost of capital, but...

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Published / Preprint: Mutual Fund Tournaments: The Sorting Bias and New Evidence

Posted: 20 Feb 2012 09:23 PM PST

Previous findings regarding the risk-shifting behavior of mid-year underperforming mutual fund managers are mixed. In this article, I show that this is due to a "sorting bias," which is caused by the sorting of first-half risk levels when establishing relative mid-year performance. Even without risk-shifting behavior, mean reversion of these sorted risk levels results in the detection of...

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Published / Preprint: Tournament Behavior in Hedge Funds: High-water Marks, Fund Liquidation, and Managerial Stake

Posted: 20 Feb 2012 09:23 PM PST

We analyze whether risk shifting by a hedge fund manager is related to the manager's incentive contract, personal capital stake, and the risk of fund closure. We find that the propensity to increase risk following poor performance is significantly weaker when incentive pay is tied to the fund's high-water mark and when funds face little immediate risk of liquidation. Risk shifting is also less...

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Blog Post: EconometricsBeat: Computer Update

Posted: 20 Feb 2012 08:16 PM PST

Now, this is really scary!!! (Even for nostalgia buffs.) © 2012, David E. Giles

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Published / Preprint: Comparative statistics of Garman-Klass, Parkinson, Roger-Satchell and bridge estimators. (arXiv:1202.4311v1 [q-fin.ST])

Posted: 20 Feb 2012 05:32 PM PST

Comparative statistical properties of Parkinson, Garman-Klass, Roger-Satchell and bridge oscillation estimators are discussed. Point and interval estimations, related with mentioned estimators are considered

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Published / Preprint: A parsimonious model for intraday European option pricing. (arXiv:1202.4332v1 [q-fin.PR])

Posted: 20 Feb 2012 05:32 PM PST

A stochastic model for pure-jump diffusion (the compound renewal process) can be used as a zero-order approximation and as a phenomenological description of tick-by-tick price fluctuations. This leads to an exact and explicit general formula for the martingale price of a European call option. A complete derivation of this result is presented by means of elementary probabilistic tools.

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Published / Preprint: Liquidity in Credit Networks: A Little Trust Goes a Long Way. (arXiv:1007.0515v3 [q-fin.TR] UPDATED)

Posted: 20 Feb 2012 05:32 PM PST

Credit networks represent a way of modeling trust between entities in a network. Nodes in the network print their own currency and trust each other for a certain amount of each other's currency. This allows the network to serve as a decentralized payment infrastructure---arbitrary payments can be routed through the network by passing IOUs between trusting nodes in their...

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Blog Post: Falkenblog: Low Vol Commodity Timing Strategy

Posted: 20 Feb 2012 05:03 PM PST

Perez, Fuertes, and Miffre present a paper highlighting that lower volatility is associated with higher returns in general. Looking at he 1992-2011 period, the commodity futures with low volatility outperformed those with high volatility by 4.6%. The effects appears independent of momentum and contango/backwardization effects.I doubt this finding is truly a good investment strategy because...

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Blog Post: AllAboutAlpha: The Volcker Rule: Return of the Fabulous Fab

Posted: 20 Feb 2012 04:36 PM PST

Because of the furor over ABACUS and analogous transactions, the legislative mandate of the Volcker rule came to include a section 619, telling the SEC to ban underwriters or sponsors of asset-backed securities from engaging “in any transaction that would involve or result in any material conflict of interest with respect to any investor in a transaction arising out of such activity.” On...

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Blog Post: FinanceClippings: What economists do

Posted: 20 Feb 2012 04:06 PM PST

Greg Mankiw with a graphic of the current internet viral meme... The first one reminds me of when my son and his friend came to my office one day. They'd visited his friend's dad's office (who is an architect) and presumably seen lots of drawings and models.  When they came to my office, the first question was "So where's all the money then?"

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Blog Post: relmbo: My 3 Rules for Foreign Stock Investing

Posted: 20 Feb 2012 01:26 PM PST

My 3 rules for foreign equity investing:Do not hedge the foreign currency exposure.Index most (or all) of your foreign equity.Allocate no more than 10-20% of your portfolio to foreign equity.The link below will take you to a report with a TON of very useful information. CREDIT SUISSE GLOBAL INVESTMENT RETURNS YEARBOOK 2012I will focus on just one important finding in the report above that is...

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Twitter: Can it predict the stock market? @marketpsych thinks so - http://t.co/sRXOXTOR #tcm

Posted: 20 Feb 2012 01:22 PM PST

moneyscience: Twitter: Can it predict the stock market? @marketpsych thinks so - http://t.co/sRXOXTOR #tcm

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RT @TandF_Economics Following on from Social Media Week, why not read 'Your Call: eBay and Demand for the iPhone... http://t.co/mZarT6bu

Posted: 20 Feb 2012 01:22 PM PST

moneyscience: RT @TandF_Economics Following on from Social Media Week, why not read ‘Your Call: eBay and Demand for the iPhone... http://t.co/mZarT6bu

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Another firm has jumped on the Twitter sentiment bandwagon; Topsy Labs to release Twitter trading tool this year http://t.co/bKzzxLMi #tcm

Posted: 20 Feb 2012 12:55 PM PST

moneyscience: Another firm has jumped on the Twitter sentiment bandwagon; Topsy Labs to release Twitter trading tool this year http://t.co/bKzzxLMi #tcm

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Has anyone heard from these guys recently? Derwent Capital, "The Twitter Hedge Fund" - Video Interview http://t.co/cFoLqBKJ #tcm

Posted: 20 Feb 2012 12:55 PM PST

moneyscience: Has anyone heard from these guys recently? Derwent Capital, "The Twitter Hedge Fund" - Video Interview http://t.co/cFoLqBKJ #tcm

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Blog Post: TimingLogic: Equity Market Strength - Real Or A Mirage?

Posted: 20 Feb 2012 09:25 AM PST

I have shown my unmanipulated advance-decline data numerous times on here.  It is a simple but accurate predictor of pricing action.  It has never been wrong regarding future pricing action.  I am well aware the day could come when it fails but I tend to be dubious given the method through which it is constructed.  That said,  nothing is perfect. I don't believe I have...

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Published / Preprint: Determinants of Banking System Fragility: A Regional Perspective (CEPR DP8858)

Posted: 20 Feb 2012 05:50 AM PST

Determinants of Banking System Fragility: A Regional Perspective Author(s): Hans Degryse, Muhammad Ather Elahi, Maria Fabiana Penas CEPR Discussion Paper Number 8858 Paper Details | PDF Download* | Purchase Electronic | Purchase Printed Programme Area(s): Financial Economics (FE) Date of Publication: 23/02/2012 Keyword(s): banking system stability, cross-regional contagion,...

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Published / Preprint: Financial Integration, Specialization, and Systemic Risk (CEPR DP8854)

Posted: 20 Feb 2012 05:50 AM PST

Financial Integration, Specialization, and Systemic Risk Author(s): Falko Fecht, Hans Peter Grüner, Philipp Hartmann CEPR Discussion Paper Number 8854 Paper Details | PDF Download* | Purchase Electronic | Purchase Printed Programme Area(s): Financial Economics (FE), International Macroeconomics (IM) Date of Publication: 23/02/2012 Keyword(s): financial contagion, Financial...

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Published / Preprint: Sudden Spikes in Global Risk (CEPR DP8853)

Posted: 20 Feb 2012 05:50 AM PST

Sudden Spikes in Global Risk Author(s): Philippe Bacchetta, Eric van Wincoop CEPR Discussion Paper Number 8853 Paper Details | PDF Download* | Purchase Electronic | Purchase Printed Programme Area(s): Financial Economics (FE), International Macroeconomics (IM) Date of Publication: 23/02/2012 Keyword(s): contagion, international finance JEL(s): F30, G15 Abstract: Recent episodes...

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