Thursday, March 15, 2012

MoneyScience News

MoneyScience News


@foxjust on yesterday's Andy Haldane speech - http://t.co/txhAFDaK which you can read about here: http://t.co/qMPlTCQg #tcm

Posted: 15 Mar 2012 04:46 AM PDT

moneyscience: @foxjust on yesterday's Andy Haldane speech - http://t.co/txhAFDaK which you can read about here: http://t.co/qMPlTCQg #tcm

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Blog Post: TheReformedBroker: QOTD: China's Hard Landing in Progress

Posted: 15 Mar 2012 04:44 AM PDT

Quote.

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Blog Post: RobertPestonBlog: Is Tesco past its British best?

Posted: 15 Mar 2012 04:22 AM PDT

I was slightly surprised to see that Tesco's chief executive, Philip Clarke, is taking direct management control of the group's huge UK business - because when we talked in recent months one of his themes has been the importance he places on running this huge global business in a more devolved way than was the case under his redoubtable predecessor, Sir Terry Leahy.read more...

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@foxjust on yesterday's Andy Haldane speech - http://t.co/j6iTgSbJ which you can read about here: http://t.co/CjgiPmMy #tcm

Posted: 15 Mar 2012 04:15 AM PDT

fin_tech: @foxjust on yesterday's Andy Haldane speech - http://t.co/j6iTgSbJ which you can read about here: http://t.co/CjgiPmMy #tcm

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10 reasons Ph.D. students fail - http://t.co/8uVVzbkQ #tcm

Posted: 15 Mar 2012 03:59 AM PDT

BusinessSchools: 10 reasons Ph.D. students fail - http://t.co/8uVVzbkQ #tcm

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The number of new hedge funds surged last year to the highest level since 2007 - http://t.co/irURVOqF #tcm

Posted: 15 Mar 2012 03:53 AM PDT

moneyscience: The number of new hedge funds surged last year to the highest level since 2007 - http://t.co/irURVOqF #tcm

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10 reasons Ph.D. students fail - http://t.co/ioVPM1yC #tcm

Posted: 15 Mar 2012 03:53 AM PDT

moneyscience: 10 reasons Ph.D. students fail - http://t.co/ioVPM1yC #tcm

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Research Library: The Pitch Rather than the Pit: Investor Inattention During FIFA World Cup Matches

Posted: 15 Mar 2012 03:48 AM PDT

Michael Ehrmann European Central Bank (ECB) David-Jan Jansen De Nederlandsche Bank Abstract At the 2010 FIFA World Cup in South Africa, many soccer matches were played during stock market trading hours, providing us with a natural experiment to analyze fluctuations in investor attention. Using minute-by-minute trading data for fifteen international stock exchanges, we present three key...

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Blog Post: QFINANCE: Greed Is Indeed Good at Goldman?

Posted: 15 Mar 2012 03:45 AM PDT

Fixing #LIBOR - @TheEconomist http://t.co/YVl7iVdk #tcm

Posted: 15 Mar 2012 03:27 AM PDT

moneyscience: Fixing #LIBOR - @TheEconomist http://t.co/YVl7iVdk #tcm

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Funny - Why I am leaving the Empire, by Darth Vader http://t.co/9gy9WkFB #tcm

Posted: 15 Mar 2012 03:13 AM PDT

moneyscience: Funny - Why I am leaving the Empire, by Darth Vader http://t.co/9gy9WkFB #tcm

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Blog Post: HighFrequencyTradingReview: Dodd Frank: How Will the Rule Impact Swaps and Derivatives in Europe?

Posted: 15 Mar 2012 02:47 AM PDT

The Dodd Frank rule will have a significant effect on the European swaps and derivatives market, alongside other regulation that will cause many businesses to alter their operations.read more...

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Published / Preprint: Estimating the Loss from the Disposition Effect: A Simulation Study

Posted: 15 Mar 2012 02:31 AM PDT

Journal of Behavioral Finance, Volume 13, Issue 1, Page 1-10, January-March 2012.

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Published / Preprint: Mental Accounting and False Reference Points in Real Estate Investment Decision Making

Posted: 15 Mar 2012 02:31 AM PDT

Journal of Behavioral Finance, Volume 13, Issue 1, Page 17-26, January-March 2012.

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Published / Preprint: Money Illusion and Nominal Inertia in Experimental Asset Markets

Posted: 15 Mar 2012 02:31 AM PDT

Journal of Behavioral Finance, Volume 13, Issue 1, Page 27-37, January-March 2012.

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Published / Preprint: Can Diversification be Learned?

Posted: 15 Mar 2012 02:31 AM PDT

Journal of Behavioral Finance, Volume 13, Issue 1, Page 38-50, January-March 2012.

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Published / Preprint: Automated Finance: The Assumptions and Behavioral Aspects of Algorithmic Trading

Posted: 15 Mar 2012 02:31 AM PDT

Journal of Behavioral Finance, Volume 13, Issue 1, Page 51-55, January-March 2012.

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Published / Preprint: Psychological and Social Forces Behind Aggregate Financial Market Behavior

Posted: 15 Mar 2012 02:31 AM PDT

Journal of Behavioral Finance, Volume 13, Issue 1, Page 56-65, January-March 2012.

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Published / Preprint: Behavioral Aspects of Covered Call Writing: An Empirical Investigation

Posted: 15 Mar 2012 02:31 AM PDT

Journal of Behavioral Finance, Volume 13, Issue 1, Page 66-79, January-March 2012.

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The Financial Education Daily is out! http://t.co/TYlzia3F ⸠Top stories today via @IEbusiness @uniofbrighton @EuromedMgmt

Posted: 15 Mar 2012 12:34 AM PDT

BusinessSchools: The Financial Education Daily is out! http://t.co/TYlzia3F â–¸ Top stories today via @IEbusiness @uniofbrighton @EuromedMgmt

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Blog Post: PsyFiBlog: Caught in a Rat Trap: Jevons' Paradox

Posted: 15 Mar 2012 12:24 AM PDT

Depleted As natural sources of fuel deplete there is, not unnaturally, a concern to introduce more efficiency, to conserve our resources. The idea is that by producing more efficient cars, heating systems or whatever we’ll decrease fuel use and buy ourselves more time to do whatever it is we need to do: melt the polar icecaps, most likely. Unfortunately, this is exactly wrong. If we make more...

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Blog Post: FINalternatives: Lone Pine, Goldman Vets To Launch Fund In July

Posted: 14 Mar 2012 11:48 PM PDT

Two veteran Asia hands are set to launch their first hedge fund togetherâ€"which they hope will raise at least US$1 billionâ€"at the beginning of the third quarter.read more...

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Blog Post: TheFinancialServicesClub: Things worth reading: 15th March 2012

Posted: 14 Mar 2012 11:11 PM PDT

Things we're reading today include ...read more...

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Blog Post: TheAlephBlog: An Advanced Penny Stock Scam

Posted: 14 Mar 2012 10:37 PM PDT

Don’t buy what someone wants to sell you.  Buy what you have researched, and know that it is what you want to buy, because it is valuable.read more...

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Published / Preprint: Using Decision Tree Learner to Classify Solvency Position for Thai Non-life Insurance Companies. (arXiv:1203.3031v1 [q-fin.RM])

Posted: 14 Mar 2012 05:36 PM PDT

This paper introduces a Decision Tree Learner as an early warning system for classification of the non-life insurance companies according to their financial solid as strong, moderate, weak, or insolvency. In this study, we ran several experiments to show that the proposed model can achieve a good result using standard 10 fold crossvalidation, split train and test data set, and separated test set....

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Published / Preprint: Empirical Evidence for the Structural Recovery Model. (arXiv:1203.3188v1 [q-fin.RM])

Posted: 14 Mar 2012 05:36 PM PDT

While defaults are rare events, losses can be substantial even for credit portfolios with a large number of contracts. Therefore, not only a good evaluation of the probability of default is crucial, but also the severity of losses needs to be estimated. The recovery rate is often modeled independently with regard to the default probability, whereas the Merton model yields a functional dependence...

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Published / Preprint: Default Swap Games Driven by Spectrally Negative Levy Processes. (arXiv:1105.0238v3 [q-fin.PR] UPDATED)

Posted: 14 Mar 2012 05:36 PM PDT

This paper studies game-type credit default swaps that allow the protection buyer and seller to raise or reduce their respective positions once prior to default. This leads to the study of an optimal stopping game subject to early default termination. Under a structural credit risk model based on spectrally negative Levy processes, we apply the principles of smooth and continuous fit to identify...

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Blog Post: AllAboutAlpha: Catastrophism Versus Darwinism: Dodd-Frank as Climate Change

Posted: 14 Mar 2012 05:36 PM PDT

The Grant Thornton paper maintains that the asset management industry achieved "performance and operational efficiencies" during 2011, and this sounds like the sort of marginal adaptation that play a large part in Charles Darwins' writings, to which GT's Winstoin Wilson alluded. But ... the report also treats the regulatory environment as a meteor, capable of wiping out even the best-adapted of...

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Blog Post: FinanceClippings: Buy and hold - dead or alive?

Posted: 14 Mar 2012 04:08 PM PDT

My colleague, Craig Newmark, has two on the death (or not) of buy and hold investing. I am clearly in the buy and hold camp.   There isn't really a better alternative unless you have a time machine.

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Blog Post: Debtwatch: Economics without a blind-spot on debt

Posted: 14 Mar 2012 03:12 PM PDT

I’m being interviewed by Paul Mason for the BBC Radio 4 program Analysis on April 3rd, in front of an audience at the London School of Economics from 6.30-8pm. If you’d like to attend, you can book a place via this link (“Banks vs the Economy“). Bookings are free but essential, and will open on […] ↓ Read the rest of this entry...

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Blog Post: Falkenblog: The Emergent Nature of Doing Good

Posted: 14 Mar 2012 11:50 AM PDT

Ex-Goldman employee Greg Smith wrote a New York Times editorial on the standard lament that his company doesn't care about the customer any more:Today, many of these leaders display a Goldman Sachs culture quotient of exactly zero percent. I attend derivatives sales meetings where not one single minute is spent asking questions about how we can help clients. It’s purely about how we can make...

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Retired academics: are UK universities making the most of emeritus staff? http://t.co/PWTTGAJM

Posted: 14 Mar 2012 09:49 AM PDT

BusinessSchools: Retired academics: are UK universities making the most of emeritus staff? http://t.co/PWTTGAJM

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Blog Post: TimingLogic: Goldman Sachs Executive Criticizes Firm For Ripping Off Clients

Posted: 14 Mar 2012 09:42 AM PDT

These revelations are simply confirmation of what anyone willing to embrace reality already knew.  We have seen it in revelation after revelation of their smarmy activities or as Goldman’s CEO has stated, “Doing God’s work.”.     This dynamic has been building since Wall Street got its legs back underneath it in the Great Depression they were responsible...

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Published / Preprint: Prosperity is associated with instability in dynamical networks

Posted: 14 Mar 2012 09:27 AM PDT

Social, biological and economic networks grow and decline with occasional fragmentation and re-formation, often explained in terms of external perturbations. We show that these phenomena can be a direct consequence of simple imitation and internal conflicts between ‘cooperators’ and ‘defectors’. We employ a game-theoretic model of dynamic network formation where successful individuals are...

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Towards a common financial language - speech by Andrew Haldane

Posted: 14 Mar 2012 07:54 AM PDT

In a speech drawn from a paper presented at the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association’s (SIFMA) Legal Entity Identifier Symposium in New York, Andrew Haldane – Executive Director for Financial Stability and member of the Financial Policy Committee – considers the benefits of finance adopting a common language that he believes “…could transform both...

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Financial Technology News Report is out! http://t.co/Jdseecpa

Posted: 14 Mar 2012 05:57 AM PDT

fin_tech: Financial Technology News Report is out! http://t.co/Jdseecpa

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Research Library: When You Cannot Hedge Continuously: The Corrections to Black-Scholes (1998)

Posted: 14 Mar 2012 05:56 AM PDT

Emanuel Derman Goldman Sach Quantitative Strategies Research Notes Introduction The insight behind the Black-Scholes formula for options valuation is the recognition that, if you  know the future volatility of a stock, you can  replicate an option payoff exactly by a continuous  rebalancing of a portfolio  consisting of the  underlying stock and a risk-free bond. If...

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Research Library: On the Black-Scholes Equation: Various Derivations (pdf)

Posted: 14 Mar 2012 05:26 AM PDT

Manabu Kishimoto Abstract One of the significant equations in financial mathematics is the Black-Scholes equation, a partial differential equation that governs the value of financial derivatives, such as options. In this paper, various derivations of the Black-Scholes equation are illustrated. Throughout these derivations, core concepts in financial mathematics, such as Ito’s lemma, the...

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