Monday, April 9, 2012

MoneyScience News

MoneyScience News


Blog Post: TheReformedBroker: The Amazing Apple Effect

Posted: 09 Apr 2012 03:58 AM PDT

788 US stock funds own shares of Apple, and it is the largest holding in 465 of those funds.

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RT @sclopit Mathematicians take a stand. http://t.co/DkV93ljc survey of the reasons for the ongoing boycott of publisher Elsevier #tcm

Posted: 09 Apr 2012 03:16 AM PDT

BusinessSchools: RT @sclopit Mathematicians take a stand. http://t.co/DkV93ljc survey of the reasons for the ongoing boycott of publisher Elsevier #tcm

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RT @sclopit Mathematicians take a stand. http://t.co/qAyqoUrG survey of the reasons for the ongoing boycott of publisher Elsevier #tcm

Posted: 09 Apr 2012 03:15 AM PDT

moneyscience: RT @sclopit Mathematicians take a stand. http://t.co/qAyqoUrG survey of the reasons for the ongoing boycott of publisher Elsevier #tcm

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RT @ritholtz - Kotok: I'm worried - http://t.co/P7Fr7qsL

Posted: 09 Apr 2012 03:15 AM PDT

moneyscience: RT @ritholtz - Kotok: I'm worried - http://t.co/P7Fr7qsL

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PhD comics: "food provided by the department during prospective graduate week" http://t.co/O7s5yCcl #tcm

Posted: 09 Apr 2012 12:56 AM PDT

BusinessSchools: PhD comics: "food provided by the department during prospective graduate week" http://t.co/O7s5yCcl #tcm

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PhD comics: "food provided by the department during prospective graduate week" http://t.co/s4Pnr255 #tcm

Posted: 09 Apr 2012 12:56 AM PDT

moneyscience: PhD comics: "food provided by the department during prospective graduate week" http://t.co/s4Pnr255 #tcm

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Blog Post: Debtwatch: Capital Account Interview on the Keen-Krugman Brawl

Posted: 09 Apr 2012 12:39 AM PDT

Lauren Lyster and Demetri Kofinas at Russia Today’s Capital Account did their usual brilliant job in this interview with me about the Krugman brawl, and I’ve been somewhat remiss in not posting it here earlier. I’ve given enough links on this topic in earlier posts not to bother now, so look to those if you […] ↓ Read the rest of this entry...

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The Financial Education Daily is out! http://t.co/TYlzia3F ⸠Top stories today via @iebusiness @inseadknowledge @moneyscience

Posted: 09 Apr 2012 12:25 AM PDT

BusinessSchools: The Financial Education Daily is out! http://t.co/TYlzia3F â–¸ Top stories today via @iebusiness @inseadknowledge @moneyscience

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Blog Post: Falkenblog: Earliest Low Volatility Article

Posted: 08 Apr 2012 07:22 PM PDT

Many point to Haugen's Risk and the Rate of Return on Financial Assets (1975), Ed Miller's Winner's Curse (1977), Bruce Lehman's Residual Risk Revisited (1990), or Haugen and Baker's efficient market inefficiency of capitalizationâ€"weighted stock portfolios (1991). So I wa surprised to see this short article by Richard McEnally back in 1972, A Note on the Return Behavior of High Risk Common...

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Published / Preprint: Price Jump Prediction in Limit Order Book. (arXiv:1204.1381v1 [q-fin.TR])

Posted: 08 Apr 2012 05:31 PM PDT

A limit order book provides information on available limit order prices and their volumes. Based on these quantities, we give an empirical result on the relationship between the bid-ask liquidity balance and trade sign and we show that liquidity balance on best bid/best ask is quite informative for predicting the future market order's direction. Moreover, we define price jump as a sell (buy)...

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Published / Preprint: Patience and Impatience of Stock Traders. (arXiv:1204.1410v1 [q-fin.TR])

Posted: 08 Apr 2012 05:31 PM PDT

I derive asymptotic distribution of the bids/offers as a function of proportion between patient and impatient traders using my modification of Foucault, Kadan and Kandel dynamic Limit Order Book (LOB) model. Distribution of patient and impatient traders asymptotically obeys rather simple PDE, which admits numerical solutions. My modification of LOB model allows stylized but sufficiently realistic...

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Published / Preprint: Stochastic finite differences and multilevel Monte Carlo for a class of SPDEs in finance. (arXiv:1204.1442v1 [math.NA])

Posted: 08 Apr 2012 05:31 PM PDT

In this article, we propose a Milstein finite difference scheme for a stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) describing a large particle system. We show, by means of Fourier analysis, that the discretisation on an unbounded domain is convergent of first order in the timestep and second order in the spatial grid size, and that the discretisation is stable with respect to boundary data....

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Published / Preprint: Realized Wavelet Jump-GARCH model: Can wavelet decomposition of volatility improve its forecasting?. (arXiv:1204.1452v1 [q-fin.ST])

Posted: 08 Apr 2012 05:31 PM PDT

In this paper, we propose a forecasting model for volatility based on its decomposition to several investment horizons and jumps. As a forecasting tool, we utilize Realized GARCH framework of Hansen et al. (2011), which models jointly returns and realized measures of volatility. For the decomposition, we use jump wavelet two scale realized volatility estimator (JWTSRV) of Barunik and Vacha...

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Published / Preprint: Spectral Decomposition of Option Prices in Fast Mean-Reverting Stochastic Volatility Models. (arXiv:1007.4361v2 [q-fin.PR] UPDATED)

Posted: 08 Apr 2012 05:31 PM PDT

Using spectral decomposition techniques and singular perturbation theory, we develop a systematic method to approximate the prices of a variety of options in a fast mean-reverting stochastic volatility setting. Four examples are provided in order to demonstrate the versatility of our method. These include: European options, up-and-out options, double-barrier knock-out options, and options which...

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Published / Preprint: Time-Changed Fast Mean-Reverting Stochastic Volatility Models. (arXiv:1010.5203v2 [q-fin.PR] UPDATED)

Posted: 08 Apr 2012 05:31 PM PDT

We introduce a class of randomly time-changed fast mean-reverting stochastic volatility models and, using spectral theory and singular perturbation techniques, we derive an approximation for the prices of European options in this setting. Three examples of random time-changes are provided and the implied volatility surfaces induced by these time-changes are examined as a function of the model...

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Published / Preprint: Pricing Derivatives on Multiscale Diffusions: an Eigenfunction Expansion Approach. (arXiv:1109.0738v2 [q-fin.CP] UPDATED)

Posted: 08 Apr 2012 05:31 PM PDT

Using tools from spectral analysis, singular and regular perturbation theory, we develop a systematic method for analytically computing the approximate price of a derivative-asset. The payoff of the derivative-asset may be path-dependent. Additionally, the process underlying the derivative may exhibit killing (i.e. jump to default) as well as combined local/nonlocal stochastic volatility. The...

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Blog Post: AllAboutAlpha: Video: Mark O'Hare, Founder & CEO, Preqin

Posted: 08 Apr 2012 05:02 PM PDT

From Lynne Feldman, Director of Marketing at the CAIA Association: Mark O’Hare, Founder & CEO, Preqin, discusses the future of alternative investments and their role in institutional portfolios, private equity, data transparency, and the need for education in the alternative investment industry. Mr. O’Hare spoke with Wendy L. Coleman, CAIA, CFA, FRM, Senior Advisor to the [...]

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Blog Post: ThreeToedSloth: "Generalization Error Bounds for Time Series"

Posted: 08 Apr 2012 02:43 PM PDT

On Friday, my student Daniel McDonald, who I have been lucky enough to jointly advise with Mark Schervish, defeated the snake — that is, defended his thesis: Generalization Error Bounds for Time Series In this thesis, I derive generalization error bounds — bounds on the expected inaccuracy of the predictions — for time series forecasting models. These bounds allow forecasters...

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The Rise of the 'Brogrammer' - http://t.co/NIyZ3ADj #tcm

Posted: 08 Apr 2012 02:08 PM PDT

fin_tech: The Rise of the 'Brogrammer' - http://t.co/NIyZ3ADj #tcm

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Blog Post: TalesfromaTradingDesk: CEP and Web Messaging Product Company Correlation?

Posted: 08 Apr 2012 01:50 PM PDT

I thought I blog this view sometime ago, but it appears I was wrong having looked though my old postings. So with some time to kill at Heathrow airport during my 2-ish day, 15,000+ miles of traveling I thought I’d offer a view.read more...

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Blog Post: TheMonetaryFuture: Bitcoin is Voluntarist Not Socialist

Posted: 08 Apr 2012 01:02 PM PDT

By Beauton Irdial Discs Sunday, April 8, 2012 https://plus.google.com/u/0/104476128363316281935/posts/RLa4xGNyS1A The idea of socialism is diametrically opposed to the core philosophy of a voluntary peer to peer system like Bitcoin. Peer to peer systems dis-intermediate the transfer of information and eliminate the need for an arbitrary governing authority or service provider. Bitcoin, like ...

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Blog Post: EconometricsBeat: Good Advice on Semminar Presentations

Posted: 08 Apr 2012 09:52 AM PDT

The Three-Toed Sloth presents this excellent advice on seminar presentations. It's advice that's heeded far more often by Statisticians than by Economists, in my experience. The only things I'd add are : One hour is plenty of time - 1.5 hours is too long for most attention spans; and we go to seminars to listen to the speaker, not to listen to members of the audience interrupting the...

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Blog Post: TimingLogic: Judge Napolitano On President Obama's Rhetoric Projected At The Supreme Court - Incomprehensible

Posted: 08 Apr 2012 07:26 AM PDT

I’m on a rant about this healthcare bill.  It’s important for a much larger reason than face value.  In so many ways the dynamics surrounding the passage of this bill and the political and legal wranglings after its passage signify what is wrong with public service in this country.  How political parties have truly embraced anything-goes behavior in order to gain an upper hand...

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Financial Technology News Report is out! http://t.co/Jdseecpa : Top stories today via @nanexllc @automatedtrader @carlcarrie @davecliff

Posted: 08 Apr 2012 05:55 AM PDT

fin_tech: Financial Technology News Report is out! http://t.co/Jdseecpa â–¸ Top stories today via @nanexllc @automatedtrader @carlcarrie @davecliff

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