Saturday, June 2, 2012

MoneyScience News

MoneyScience News


@Cassinthenews: Queen Elizabeth II - UK PLC's longest serving NED http://t.co/hyhkW7GA

Posted: 02 Jun 2012 03:29 AM PDT

BusinessSchools: @Cassinthenews: Queen Elizabeth II - UK PLC's longest serving NED http://t.co/hyhkW7GA

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The #bitly backlash continues. Object lesson in how not to release upgrade: prob studying in biz school already http://t.co/SXLSYh8d @bitly

Posted: 02 Jun 2012 03:15 AM PDT

BusinessSchools: The #bitly backlash continues. Object lesson in how not to release upgrade: prob studying in biz school already http://t.co/SXLSYh8d @bitly

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The Financial Education Daily is out! http://t.co/TYluKzUv ⸠Top stories today via @KelleyIndy

Posted: 02 Jun 2012 01:39 AM PDT

BusinessSchools: The Financial Education Daily is out! http://t.co/TYluKzUv â–¸ Top stories today via @KelleyIndy

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Blog Post: TheAlephBlog: Sorted Weekly Tweets

Posted: 01 Jun 2012 09:31 PM PDT

 read more...

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It's that time again! The MoneyScience Digest - 01/06/1 - tonnes of links for the discerning browser #quant #finance http://t.co/vZyKfKT8

Posted: 01 Jun 2012 04:37 PM PDT

BusinessSchools: It's that time again! The MoneyScience Digest - 01/06/1 - tonnes of links for the discerning browser #quant #finance http://t.co/vZyKfKT8

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London Metal Exchange: Events Coming up in June #tcm http://t.co/N7wy9FYI

Posted: 01 Jun 2012 04:26 PM PDT

moneyscience: London Metal Exchange: Events Coming up in June #tcm http://t.co/N7wy9FYI

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The MoneyScience Digest - 01/06/12

Posted: 01 Jun 2012 04:04 PM PDT

Featured | Sponsored | Events | Announcements | Finance and Banking | Financial Technology | Science and General Interest | Researchread more...

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Blog Post: iMFdirect: Latvia Beat the Odds'But the Battle Is Far From Over

Posted: 01 Jun 2012 02:48 PM PDT

By Mark Griffithsread more...

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Unofficial confirmation that the United States was behind the Stuxnet virus #tcm http://t.co/E9rtdJbH

Posted: 01 Jun 2012 02:25 PM PDT

fin_tech: Unofficial confirmation that the United States was behind the Stuxnet virus #tcm http://t.co/E9rtdJbH

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Unofficial confirmation that the United States was behind the Stuxnet virus #tcm http://t.co/hDThyYub

Posted: 01 Jun 2012 02:24 PM PDT

moneyscience: Unofficial confirmation that the United States was behind the Stuxnet virus #tcm http://t.co/hDThyYub

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What Decision Science Says About Hair-Trigger Investors - via @MediaKat_News #tcm #hft #DecisionScience http://t.co/9t9eVYy8

Posted: 01 Jun 2012 02:24 PM PDT

moneyscience: What Decision Science Says About Hair-Trigger Investors - via @MediaKat_News #tcm #hft #DecisionScience http://t.co/9t9eVYy8

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Queen Elizabeth II - UK PLC's longest serving NED

Posted: 01 Jun 2012 02:04 PM PDT

Professor Chris Roebuck describes Her Majesty's success as an ambassador for British business

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What Decision Science Says About Hair-Trigger Investors - via @MediaKat_News #tcm #hft #DecisionScience http://t.co/8dhBMU1X

Posted: 01 Jun 2012 02:02 PM PDT

fin_tech: What Decision Science Says About Hair-Trigger Investors - via @MediaKat_News #tcm #hft #DecisionScience http://t.co/8dhBMU1X

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Five Questions: CA Cheuvreux's Ian Peacock on #HFT Anxiety via @MediaKat_News #tcm http://t.co/ZGOTPv8l

Posted: 01 Jun 2012 02:01 PM PDT

fin_tech: Five Questions: CA Cheuvreux’s Ian Peacock on #HFT Anxiety via @MediaKat_News #tcm http://t.co/ZGOTPv8l

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Research Library: Death and Taxes and Zombies

Posted: 01 Jun 2012 01:57 PM PDT

Adam Chodorow Arizona State University (ASU) - Sandra Day O'Connor College of Law April 23, 2012 Iowa Law Review, Forthcoming Abstract The U.S. stands on the precipice of a financial disaster, and Congress has done nothing but bicker. Of course, I refer to the coming day when the undead walk the earth, feasting on the living. A zombie apocalypse will create an urgent need for significant...

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The last days of cash - IEEE Spectrum Report on The Future of Money #tcm http://t.co/b5FGAkzO

Posted: 01 Jun 2012 01:49 PM PDT

fin_tech: The last days of cash - IEEE Spectrum Report on The Future of Money #tcm http://t.co/b5FGAkzO

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Research Library: Low Risk Stocks Outperform within All Observable Markets of the World

Posted: 01 Jun 2012 01:47 PM PDT

Nardin L. Baker Guggenheim Investments Robert A. Haugen Haugen Custom Financial Systems Abstract This article provides global evidence supporting the Low Volatility Anomaly: that low risk stocks consistently provide higher returns than high risk stocks. This study covers 33 different markets during the time period from 1990-2011. (Two previous studies by Haugen & Heins (1972) and Haugen...

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"The impact Agenda" - when science and politics collide #tcm http://t.co/rG8CHUTx

Posted: 01 Jun 2012 08:24 AM PDT

BusinessSchools: "The impact Agenda" - when science and politics collide #tcm http://t.co/rG8CHUTx

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Peer evaluation is a touchstone of b-school classes. Does rating the work of classmates shape better businesspeople? http://t.co/vI3Hhde1

Posted: 01 Jun 2012 08:24 AM PDT

BusinessSchools: Peer evaluation is a touchstone of b-school classes. Does rating the work of classmates shape better businesspeople? http://t.co/vI3Hhde1

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UK Biz Students skive more than most according to 2012 report Academic Experience of Students at English Universities http://t.co/1Nt7CNzc

Posted: 01 Jun 2012 08:24 AM PDT

BusinessSchools: UK Biz Students skive more than most according to 2012 report Academic Experience of Students at English Universities http://t.co/1Nt7CNzc

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Is the #MBA Obsolete? http://t.co/aE6Y2V1H

Posted: 01 Jun 2012 08:24 AM PDT

BusinessSchools: Is the #MBA Obsolete? http://t.co/aE6Y2V1H

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MBA students offer bargain alternative to pricey consultants http://t.co/eN4esrn6

Posted: 01 Jun 2012 08:24 AM PDT

BusinessSchools: MBA students offer bargain alternative to pricey consultants http://t.co/eN4esrn6

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Managing Millennials:: Gen Y and workplace - http://t.co/8iE2sK4a

Posted: 01 Jun 2012 08:24 AM PDT

BusinessSchools: Managing Millennials:: Gen Y and workplace - http://t.co/8iE2sK4a

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How to Land a Technology Job on Wall Street: Inside an Elite Wall Street IT Education #quant http://t.co/rIsxhFzD

Posted: 01 Jun 2012 08:24 AM PDT

BusinessSchools: How to Land a Technology Job on Wall Street: Inside an Elite Wall Street IT Education #quant http://t.co/rIsxhFzD

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Is how to engage with the crackpot at the scientific meeting an ethical question? #tcm http://t.co/22OVX4bx

Posted: 01 Jun 2012 08:24 AM PDT

BusinessSchools: Is how to engage with the crackpot at the scientific meeting an ethical question? #tcm http://t.co/22OVX4bx

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MIT OpenCourseWare: âGlobal Markets, National Politics and the Competitive Advantage of Firmsâ #tcm #education http://t.co/kmEkQdeF

Posted: 01 Jun 2012 08:24 AM PDT

BusinessSchools: MIT OpenCourseWare: “Global Markets, National Politics and the Competitive Advantage of Firms” #tcm #education http://t.co/kmEkQdeF

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Research finds a team or group of high-performers won't outperform teams or groups with an established hierarchy #tcm http://t.co/Jrr30Sjs

Posted: 01 Jun 2012 08:24 AM PDT

BusinessSchools: Research finds a team or group of high-performers won't outperform teams or groups with an established hierarchy #tcm http://t.co/Jrr30Sjs

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3 Questions: Andrew Lo on JP Morgan's multibillion-dollar trading loss #quant #jpmorgan #risk http://t.co/PBLVYmuD

Posted: 01 Jun 2012 08:24 AM PDT

BusinessSchools: 3 Questions: Andrew Lo on JP Morgan's multibillion-dollar trading loss #quant #jpmorgan #risk http://t.co/PBLVYmuD

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How to Land a Technology Job on Wall Street: Inside an Elite Wall Street IT Education

Posted: 01 Jun 2012 07:48 AM PDT

Capital markets firms are recruiting graduates from the top schools in computer science and other majors to train the next generation of IT talent.read more...

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How to Land a Technology Job on Wall Street: Inside an Elite Wall Street IT Education

Posted: 01 Jun 2012 07:43 AM PDT

Capital markets firms are recruiting graduates from the top schools in computer science and other majors to train the next generation of IT talent.read more...

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Leap Motion Technology is pretty darn cool - via @Matt_Davey "some interesting front desk opportunities" #tcm http://t.co/3htFgmfZ

Posted: 01 Jun 2012 07:38 AM PDT

fin_tech: Leap Motion Technology is pretty darn cool - via @Matt_Davey "some interesting front desk opportunities" #tcm http://t.co/3htFgmfZ

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Thanks Graeme RT @graeme_burnett: The Microsecond Market http://t.co/qZfB90Hu #hft #moneyscience #hftreview

Posted: 01 Jun 2012 07:13 AM PDT

fin_tech: Thanks Graeme RT @graeme_burnett: The Microsecond Market http://t.co/qZfB90Hu #hft #moneyscience #hftreview

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Model to predict pragmatic reasoning may lead to machines that better understand inference, context &social rules #tcm http://t.co/lOpTk6uY

Posted: 01 Jun 2012 07:13 AM PDT

fin_tech: Model to predict pragmatic reasoning may lead to machines that better understand inference, context &social rules #tcm http://t.co/lOpTk6uY

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3 Questions: Andrew Lo on JP Morgan's multibillion-dollar trading loss

Posted: 01 Jun 2012 07:03 AM PDT

MIT financial markets expert addresses the need for better risk management — and a simple way to tell if JP Morgan’s failed gamble was a trade or a hedge.read more...

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Financial Technology News Report is out! http://t.co/Jds9GCg0 : Top stories today via @NiemannCapital @hftreview @acuityrm

Posted: 01 Jun 2012 06:04 AM PDT

fin_tech: Financial Technology News Report is out! http://t.co/Jds9GCg0 â–¸ Top stories today via @NiemannCapital @hftreview @acuityrm

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Eugene Fama: How Buffett's success is more properly viewed in context of business ownership than equity investment #tcm http://t.co/aC00IRfq

Posted: 01 Jun 2012 05:20 AM PDT

BusinessSchools: Eugene Fama: How Buffett's success is more properly viewed in context of business ownership than equity investment #tcm http://t.co/aC00IRfq

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Research Library: Do Labyrinthine Legal Limits on Leverage Lessen the Likelihood of Losses?: An Analytical Framework

Posted: 01 Jun 2012 04:51 AM PDT

Andrew W. Lo Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) - Sloan School of Management; Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) - Computer Science and Artificial Intelligence Laboratory (CSAIL); National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) Thomas J. Brennan Northwestern University School of Law   Abstract A common theme in the regulation of financial institutions and transactions is...

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#Bigdata is not just for the big boys: #Analytics goes downmarket #tcm http://t.co/oLSg17V5

Posted: 01 Jun 2012 04:45 AM PDT

fin_tech: #Bigdata is not just for the big boys: #Analytics goes downmarket #tcm http://t.co/oLSg17V5

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MT @TimHarford: Introducing the Busara Center for Behavioral Economics, Kenya http://t.co/q9WWGpj5 #tcm

Posted: 01 Jun 2012 04:11 AM PDT

BusinessSchools: MT @TimHarford: Introducing the Busara Center for Behavioral Economics, Kenya http://t.co/q9WWGpj5 #tcm

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Asbos for executives and keeping the lid on pay rebellions

Posted: 01 Jun 2012 03:58 AM PDT

Blog Post: TheFinancialServicesClub: Is the Queen worth it?

Posted: 01 Jun 2012 01:51 AM PDT

I was travelling on British Airways the other day, and really enjoyed their article in Business Life Magazine about how much the Queen costs the economy,read more...

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The Financial Education Daily is out! http://t.co/TYluKzUv ⸠Top stories today via @GrenobleEMpress @HECParis

Posted: 01 Jun 2012 01:12 AM PDT

BusinessSchools: The Financial Education Daily is out! http://t.co/TYluKzUv â–¸ Top stories today via @GrenobleEMpress @HECParis

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Blog Post: Falkenblog: May Great Month for Low Vol Strategies

Posted: 31 May 2012 08:07 PM PDT

My beta indices showed the value of low volatility equity strategies, as the previously high-flying high beta stocks were crushed in May, and so now lag the S&P500 year-to-date.  Low beta strategies, meanwhile, crept up and overtook the basic S&P500 benchmark.   Above is a total return chart for daily data. These beta portfolios consist of the the top/bottom beta 100 non-etf,...

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Published / Preprint: Arbitrary Truncated Levy Flight: Asymmetrical Truncation and High-Order Correlations

Posted: 31 May 2012 09:32 AM PDT

The generalized correlation approach, which has been successfully used in statistical radio physics to describe non-Gaussian random processes, is proposed to describe stochastic financial processes. The generalized correlation approach has been used to describe a non-Gaussian random walk with independent, identically distributed increments in the general case, and high-order correlations have...

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Financial Technology News Report is out! http://t.co/Jds9GCg0 : Top stories today via @AiteGroup @john_avery @nanexllc

Posted: 31 May 2012 05:51 AM PDT

fin_tech: Financial Technology News Report is out! http://t.co/Jds9GCg0 â–¸ Top stories today via @AiteGroup @john_avery @nanexllc

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Published / Preprint: A Simple, Direct Finite Differencing of the Einstein Equations

Posted: 31 May 2012 05:42 AM PDT

We investigate a simple variation of the Generalized Harmonic method for evolving the Einstein equations. A flat space wave equation for metric perturbations is separated from the Ricci tensor, with the rest of the Ricci tensor becoming a source for these wave equations. We demonstrate that this splitting method allows for the accurate simulation of compact objects, w 58d ith gravitational field...

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Quantifying the influence of scientists and their publications: distinguishing between prestige and popularity #tcm http://t.co/c6lguYd7

Posted: 31 May 2012 04:50 AM PDT

BusinessSchools: Quantifying the influence of scientists and their publications: distinguishing between prestige and popularity #tcm http://t.co/c6lguYd7

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Published / Preprint: Quantifying the influence of scientists and their publications: distinguishing between prestige and popularity

Posted: 31 May 2012 03:15 AM PDT

The number of citations is a widely used metric for evaluating the scientific credit of papers, scientists and journals. However, it so happens that papers with fewer citations from prestigious scientists have a higher influence than papers with more citations. In this paper, we argue that by whom the paper is being cited is of greater significance than merely the number of citations....

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Blog Post: PatrickBurns: Inferno-ish R

Posted: 31 May 2012 02:15 AM PDT

CambR was nice enough to invite Markus Gesmann and me to speak at their event on Tuesday.read more...

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Published / Preprint: Cascade Failure in a Phase Model of Power Grids

Posted: 31 May 2012 01:53 AM PDT

We propose a phase model to study cascade failure in power grids composed of generators and loads. If the power demand is below a critical value, the model system of power grids maintains the standard frequency by feedback control. On the other hand, if the power demand exceeds the critical value, an electric failure occurs via step out (loss of synchronization) or voltage col 563 lapse. The two...

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The Financial Education Daily is out! http://t.co/TYluKzUv ⸠Top stories today via @iesebs @ricemba @GIBS_SA

Posted: 31 May 2012 01:53 AM PDT

BusinessSchools: The Financial Education Daily is out! http://t.co/TYluKzUv â–¸ Top stories today via @iesebs @ricemba @GIBS_SA

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Published / Preprint: Agent-based simulations of emotion spreading in online social networks

Posted: 31 May 2012 12:30 AM PDT

Quantitative analysis of empirical data from online social networks reveals group dynamics in which emotions are involved (\v{S}uvakov et al). Full understanding of the underlying mechanisms, however, remains a challenging task. Using agent-based computer simulations, in this paper we study dynamics of emotional communications in online social networks. The rules that guide how the agents...

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Blog Post: ThePracticalQuant: Frugal Innovation in India: Aravind + Women in Delhi

Posted: 30 May 2012 10:41 PM PDT

I wanted to share a couple of great segments from Al Jazeera's 101 East: both of these recent segments contain several examples of innovations that would translate in many other countries. Aravind Eye Care in Madurai has been the subject of numerous business school case studies, but if you want an introduction to this amazing organization, the video below is a great place to start. This should be...

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Published / Preprint: Collateralized CVA Valuation with Rating Triggers and Credit Migrations. (arXiv:1205.6542v1 [q-fin.PR])

Posted: 30 May 2012 05:30 PM PDT

In this paper we discuss the issue of computation of the bilateral credit valuation adjustment (CVA) under rating triggers, and in presence of ratings-linked margin agreements. Specifically, we consider collateralized OTC contracts, that are subject to rating triggers, between two parties -- an investor and a counterparty. Moreover, we model the margin process as a functional of the credit...

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MT @hpcnotes: blog by @paul_henning "Familiarity Breeds Complacency" - #Exascale computing & power http://t.co/Nmhb0Rou #tcm

Posted: 30 May 2012 09:59 AM PDT

fin_tech: MT @hpcnotes: blog by @paul_henning "Familiarity Breeds Complacency" - #Exascale computing & power http://t.co/Nmhb0Rou #tcm

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Event: Andrew Clare - Is portfolio construction using diversification ratio optimisation optimal?

Posted: 30 May 2012 09:18 AM PDT

Location: Andaz Liverpool Street Hotel, 40 Liverpool Street, London, EC2M 7QN; Date: June 26th, 2012; Financial Express proposed innovative portfolio construction technique which they believe overcame some of the severe shortcomings of methods that were currently being used in the industry. They approached two Cass academics to undertake research which was aimed at answering two key...

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PhD student receives Best Paper Award at recent conference

Posted: 30 May 2012 07:25 AM PDT

The ICMA Centre is very proud to congratulate PhD student Yingying Wu on her receipt of a Best Paper Award at the 19th Global Finance Conference, taking place at DePaul University in Chicago on May 23-25, 2012.  The prize was awarded for the paper “Commodity Futures Prices: More Evidence on Forecast Power, Risk Premia and the Theory of Storage” (co-authored withContinue reading

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RT @cleverhedge: A cellphone tower has become one of the hottest properties in global finance http://t.co/u8T2vYn3 (via @jasonzweigwsj)

Posted: 30 May 2012 07:14 AM PDT

fin_tech: RT @cleverhedge: A cellphone tower has become one of the hottest properties in global finance http://t.co/u8T2vYn3 (via @jasonzweigwsj)

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Research Library: Bank of England Financial Stability Paper: The implicit subsidy of banks

Posted: 30 May 2012 06:52 AM PDT

Joseph Noss and Rhiannon Sowerbutts This paper examines the implicit subsidy of UK banks by the government and the associated distortions in the financial system. It explains why the subsidy arises, why it is a public policy concern and explores how it can be quantified. Quantifying the implicit subsidy to banks has generated considerable interest over recent years. The numbers are striking,...

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Financial Technology News Report is out! http://t.co/Jds9GCg0 : Top stories today via @Interoute @SG_WealthMgmt @MotiveWave

Posted: 30 May 2012 06:02 AM PDT

fin_tech: Financial Technology News Report is out! http://t.co/Jds9GCg0 â–¸ Top stories today via @Interoute @SG_WealthMgmt @MotiveWave

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Published / Preprint: Efficient greek estimation in generic swap-rate market models

Posted: 30 May 2012 05:37 AM PDT

We first develop an efficient algorithm to compute Deltas of interest rate derivatives for a number of standard market models. The computational complexity of the algorithms is shown to be proportional to the number of rates times the number of factors per step. We then show how to extend the method to efficiently compute Vegas in those market models.read more...

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Published / Preprint: Forecasting prices from level-I quotes in the presence of hidden liquidity

Posted: 30 May 2012 05:37 AM PDT

Bid and ask sizes at the top of the order book provide information on short-term price moves. Drawing from classical descriptions of the order book in terms of queues and order-arrival rates (Smith et al., 2003), we consider a diffusion model for the evolution of the best bid/ask queues. We compute the probability that the next price move is upward, conditional on the best bid/ask sizes, the...

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Published / Preprint: Behavioral biases and investor performance

Posted: 30 May 2012 05:37 AM PDT

Research indicates that individual investors trade excessively and underperform the market indices, Barber and Odean (2000). The purpose of this paper is to help explain which behavioral biases, if any, can explain this result using a simulation approach. Results indicate that putting too much weight on the current environment, anchoring, is the largest factor in explaining individual investor...

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Published / Preprint: Markets are efficient if and only if P = NP

Posted: 30 May 2012 05:37 AM PDT

I prove that if markets are efficient, meaning current prices fully reflect all information available in past prices, then P = NP, meaning every computational problem whose solution can be verified in polynomial time can also be solved in polynomial time. I also prove the converse by showing how we can “program” the market to solve NP-complete problems. Since P probably does not equal NP,...

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Published / Preprint: Binomial options pricing has no closed-form solution

Posted: 30 May 2012 05:37 AM PDT

We set a lower bound on the complexity of options pricing formulae in the lattice metric by proving that no general explicit or closed form (hypergeometric) expression for pricing vanilla European call and put options exists when employing the binomial lattice approach. Our proof follows from Gosper's algorithm.read more...

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Published / Preprint: Tweets and peers: defining industry groups and strategic peers based on investor perceptions of stocks on Twitter

Posted: 30 May 2012 05:37 AM PDT

Delineating industry groups of related firms and identifying strategic peers is important for both financial practitioners and scholars. Our study explores whether the degree to which pairs of companies are associated with each other in an online stock forum is related to the comovement of their stocks. We find that our news-based measure of relatedness can explain stock returns with the same...

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Published / Preprint: A Minute with Emanuel Derman

Posted: 30 May 2012 05:37 AM PDT

A Minute with Emanuel Dermanread more...

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Research Library: The Risk in Hedge Fund Strategies: Theory and Evidence from Trend Followers (pdf)

Posted: 30 May 2012 02:01 AM PDT

William Fung PI Asset Management, LLC David A. Hsieh Duke University Abstract Hedge fund strategies typically generate option-like returns. Linear-factor models using benchmark asset indices have difficulty explaining them. Following the suggestions in Glosten and Jagannathan (1994), this article shows how to model hedge fund returns by focusing on the popular 'trend-following' strategy. We...

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Podcast: Social Media and the Capital Markets

Posted: 29 May 2012 11:01 PM PDT

Interesting stuff, if I do say so myself. A couple of weeks ago I was invited by Rob Daly of the Daly Post to participate in a podcast discussion about the role of social media in Capital Markets.read more...

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Published / Preprint: No-Arbitrage Pricing for Dividend-Paying Securities in Discrete-Time Markets with Transaction Costs. (arXiv:1205.6254v1 [q-fin.GN])

Posted: 29 May 2012 05:47 PM PDT

We prove a version of First Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing under transaction costs for discrete-time markets with dividend-paying securities. Specifically, we show that the no-arbitrage condition under the efficient friction assumption is equivalent to the existence of a risk-neutral measure. We derive dual representations for the superhedging ask and subhedging bid price processes of a...

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Published / Preprint: Country Size, Currency Unions, and International Asset Returns (CEPR DP8991)

Posted: 29 May 2012 06:01 AM PDT

Country Size, Currency Unions, and International Asset Returns Author(s): Tarek Hassan CEPR Discussion Paper Number 8991 Paper Details | PDF Download* | Purchase Electronic | Purchase Printed Programme Area(s): Financial Economics (FE), International Macroeconomics (IM), International Trade and Regional Economics (IT) Date of Publication: Keyword(s): carry trade, country size,...

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Published / Preprint: 29May/Innovations in retail payments: report released by the CPSS

Posted: 29 May 2012 03:50 AM PDT

Press release about CPSS releasing a report on "Innovations in retail payments" (BIS Press Release 29 May 2012)

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Published / Preprint: Importance of individual events in temporal networks

Posted: 29 May 2012 12:24 AM PDT

Records of time-stamped social interactions between pairs of individuals (e.g., face-to-face conversations, e-mail exchanges, and phone calls) constitute a so-called temporal network. A remarkable difference between temporal networks and conventional static networks is that time-stamped events rather than links are the unit elements generating the collective behavior of nodes. We propose an...

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Published / Preprint: Four Degrees of Separation, Really

Posted: 29 May 2012 12:24 AM PDT

We recently measured the average distance of users in the Facebook graph, spurring comments in the scientific community as well as in the general press ("Four Degrees of Separation"). A number of interesting criticisms have been made about the meaningfulness, methods and consequences of the experiment we performed. In this paper we want to discuss some methodological aspects that we deem...

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Published / Preprint: A Multi-Level Lorentzian Analysis of the Basic Structures of the Daily DJIA. (arXiv:1205.5820v1 [q-fin.ST])

Posted: 28 May 2012 05:30 PM PDT

A quantitative analysis of the basic components of the daily DJIA. The parameters of the underlying Lorentzian states are obtained by fitting the data. Statistical properties of the states are discussed. This is a practical development of the general method introduced in arXiv:1203.6021.

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Published / Preprint: Toward A Normative Theory of Normative Marketing Theory. (arXiv:1205.5821v1 [q-fin.GN])

Posted: 28 May 2012 05:30 PM PDT

We show how different approaches to developing marketing strategies depending on the type of environment a firm faces, where environments are distinguished in terms of their systems properties not their context. Particular emphasis is given to turbulent environments in which outcomes are not a priori predictable and are not traceable to individual firm actions and we show that, in...

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Vendor News: ãÂÂã£ãÂÂãÂÂãµãÂȋ°ã«ã¼ã plc 2011å¹´1æÂÂï½Â12æÂÂ決ç®ÂãÂÂçº表

Posted: 28 May 2012 05:49 AM PDT

Research Library: The Gambler's and Hot-Hand Fallacies: Theory and Applications

Posted: 28 May 2012 05:21 AM PDT

Matthew Rabin University of California, Berkeley - Department of Economics Dimitri Vayanos London School of Economics; Center for Economic Policy Research (CEPR); National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) AFA 2010 Atlanta Meetings Paper Abstract We develop a model of the gambler's fallacy -- the mistaken belief that random sequences should exhibit systematic reversals. We show that an...

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Research Library: Why Do People Pay for Useless Advice? Implications of Gambler's and Hot-Hand Fallacies in False-Expert Setting

Posted: 28 May 2012 05:13 AM PDT

Nattavudh Powdthavee, Yohanes E. Riyanto (May 2012)   Abstract We investigated experimentally whether people can be induced to believe in a non-existent expert, and subsequently pay for what can only be described as transparently useless advice about future chance events. Consistent with the theoretical predictions made by Rabin (2002) and Rabin and Vayanos (2010), we show empirically...

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Research Library: Do Hedge Funds Supply or Demand Immediacy?

Posted: 28 May 2012 04:12 AM PDT

Petri Jylha Aalto University Kalle Rinne Aalto University School of Economics Matti Suominen Aalto University, Department of Finance Abstract Regressing hedge funds’ returns on a measure of the returns from providing immediacy, we find that hedge funds typically supply immediacy in the stock market. In the cross-section, the funds with lengthy lockups and large funds have a higher...

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The MoneyScience Digest - 24/05/12

Posted: 24 May 2012 11:40 AM PDT

Featured | Sponsored | Events | Announcements | Finance and Banking | Financial Technology | Science and General Interest | Researchread more...

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Research Library: Financial Risk Measurement for Financial Risk Management

Posted: 24 May 2012 07:01 AM PDT

Torben G. Andersen Northwestern University - Kellogg School of Management; Tim Bollerslev Duke University - Finance; Duke University - Department of Economics; Peter Christoffersen University of Toronto - Rotman School of Management; Copenhagen Business School; University of Aarhus Francis X. Diebold University of Pennsylvania - Department of Economics Abstract Current practice largely...

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Link Library: The Lodestone Foundation

Posted: 24 May 2012 05:44 AM PDT

Lodestone Foundation Homepage Lodestone Projects Page Open Source for Capital Markets and Beyond What is our Goal? Quickly and convincingly build the go-to non-profit open source foundation for financial markets. Significantly, we will seed this foundation with world-beating code contributions from known open-source heavyweights and founding partners, and fund a small world-class dev team...

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Blog Post: WealthandCapitalMarketsBlog: Safe heavens and investment hells

Posted: 23 May 2012 03:03 AM PDT

Reported through the Wall Street Journal yesterday, the Germans have issued a bond (a German treasury note known as Schatz) with a zero coupon. This is unprecedented in some ways. What it says is that investors are so desperate that they are willing to forfeit any yield for the privilege of parking their funds for two years in what they see as safe assets as escalated debt crisis in the euro zone...

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Event: International Mathematica Symposium

Posted: 23 May 2012 12:45 AM PDT

Location: University College London; Date: June 11th, 2012; Alan Turing Centenary Session Monday 11th Juneread more...

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Stanford bioengineers create rewritable digital data storage in DNA

Posted: 22 May 2012 01:44 PM PDT

You don't hear a lot about biological computing but this is super cool:read more...

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Research Library: Why Rumors Spread Fast in Social Networks (pdf)

Posted: 22 May 2012 01:37 PM PDT

Benjamin Doerr, Mahmoud Fouz, and Tobias Friedrich Abstract Understanding structural and algorithmic properties of complex networks is an important task, not least because of the huge impact of the internet. Our focus is to analyze how news spreads in social networks. We simulate a simple information spreading process in different network topologies and demonstrate that news spreads much faster...

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Economics is not Math: 2 Articles

Posted: 22 May 2012 06:03 AM PDT

2 rather excellent articles covering subjects which are very close to our heart here at MoneyScience. The tendancy of economics to claim some kind of scientific status for itself - and the confusion this generates, akin to confusing a carpenter with their tools.read more...

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Open Yale: Robert Shiller's Financial Markets Course - 2011

Posted: 22 May 2012 04:31 AM PDT

Yesterday, on MoneyScience, I came across Robert Shiller's 2007 Financial Markets Course at Yale and @StatAlgo on Twitter pointed me to the 2011 version which is available on Open Yale. Great viewing for students and academics alike -and as StagAlgo pointed out it's interesting to note how these lectures differ from those in 2008. read more...

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Blog Post: rob_daly: Management Changes at Traiana

Posted: 21 May 2012 07:36 AM PDT

Forex post-trade processing vendor Traiana has tapped Citi veteran Andy Coyne to be its next CEO. Coyne steps into the role vacated by Traiana’s co-founder and current CEO Gil Mandelzis, who assumed the new role of executive chairman of the firm.read more...

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Whitebox Advisors Finalists for Best Research Paper of 2011

Posted: 21 May 2012 04:30 AM PDT

After considering almost 500 research papers, Whitebox Advisors, the $2.3 billion investment advisory based in Minneapolis, today chose the top 10 finalists for its $25,000 prize for the best financial research paper of 2011. The winner will be announced at a luncheon for guests and invited press on June 19th, 2012 in New York City.read more...

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Research Library: The Devil in HML's Details

Posted: 21 May 2012 04:16 AM PDT

Clifford S. Asness AQR Capital Management, LLC Andrea Frazzini AQR Capital Management, LLC Abstract This paper challenges the standard method for measuring “value” used in academic work on factor pricing and behavioral finance. The standard method calculates book-to-price (B/P) at portfolio formation using lagged book data, aligns price data using the same lag (ignoring recent...

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Research Library: Replumbing Our Financial System: Uneven Progress (pdf)

Posted: 21 May 2012 04:09 AM PDT

Darrell Duffie Stanford University April 23, 2012 Abstract The financial crisis of 2007-2009 has spurred significant ongoing changes in the "pipes and valves" through which cash and risk flow in the center of our financial system. These include adjustments to the forms of lender-of-last-resort financing from the central bank and changes the infrastructure for the wholesale overnight financing...

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Research Library: Methods for Studying Coincidences (pdf, 1989)

Posted: 21 May 2012 03:57 AM PDT

You can read some interesting commentary on this paper over at Wired. Using probabilistic analysis, the paper explores everything from why we see newly learned words almost immediately after first learning them, to why double lottery winners exist, to even the frequency of meeting people with the same birthday. They even explore whether or not we can statistically state that Shakespeare...

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Special Report: The algorithmic arms race

Posted: 21 May 2012 03:17 AM PDT

I actually saw David Harding give a talk at the Royal Institution 14-10 Club last year and he threw up a powerpoint slide displaying one of the Winton Capital's strategies. It lwas somewhat more complex than this:read more...

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Podcast: Regulatory Reporting and Legal Entity Identifiers

Posted: 20 May 2012 10:57 PM PDT

An interesting piece for the Regulatory / Tech Wonks among you. read more...

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New Dates: Introduction to QuantLib Development with Luigi Ballabio - June 18-20, London

Posted: 18 May 2012 06:34 AM PDT

************************* NEW DATES, NEW LOCATION *************************read more...

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Being There

Posted: 18 May 2012 03:07 AM PDT

I’ve watched the 1979 Peter Sellers film, Being There this week for the first time.  It’s an intriguing film – a man with learning difficulties is accidentally thrust into the world of the Washington elite.  The elite are so insulated in their bubble that they do not recognise ‘Chancey’ for who he is, they assume he is the same as them, and take his child-like...

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Research Library: Optimal portfolio design to reduce climate-related conservation uncertainty in the Prairie Pothole Region

Posted: 16 May 2012 07:48 AM PDT

Amy W. Ando and  Mindy L. Mallory Abstract Climate change is likely to alter the spatial distributions of species and habitat types but the nature of such change is uncertain. Thus, climate change makes it difficult to implement standard conservation planning paradigms. Previous work has suggested some approaches to cope with such uncertainty but has not harnessed all of the benefits of...

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