Tuesday, June 12, 2012

MoneyScience News

MoneyScience News


Blog Post: TheFinancialServicesClub: Meet Bill Clinton, James Cameron and me!

Posted: 12 Jun 2012 04:31 AM PDT

Just got an invite to an event in July that sounds amazing, www.resource2012.org, and thought it worth noting on the blog for those who can make it.read more...

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Published / Preprint: The fine-structure of volatility feedback

Posted: 12 Jun 2012 01:48 AM PDT

We attempt to unveil the fine structure of volatility feedback effects in the context of general quadratic autoregressive (QARCH) models, which assume that today's volatility can be expressed as a general quadratic form of the past daily returns. The standard ARCH or GARCH framework is recovered when the quadratic kernel is diagonal. The calibration of these models on US stock returns reveals...

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Published / Preprint: The numeraire property and long-term growth optimality for drawdown-constrained investments

Posted: 12 Jun 2012 01:48 AM PDT

We consider the portfolio choice problem for an investor interested in long-run growth optimality while facing drawdown constraints in a general continuous semimartingale model. The paper introduces the numeraire property through the notion of expected relative return and shows that drawdown-constrained strategies with the numeraire property exist and are unique, but may depend on the financial...

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Published / Preprint: An algorithm for the orthogonal decomposition of financial return data

Posted: 12 Jun 2012 01:48 AM PDT

We present an algorithm for the decomposition of periodic financial return data into orthogonal factors of expected return and "systemic", "productive", and "nonproductive" risk. Generally, when the number of funds does not exceed the number of periods, the expected return of a portfolio is an affine function of its productive risk.

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Published / Preprint: The extreme vulnerability of interdependent spatially embedded networks

Posted: 12 Jun 2012 01:48 AM PDT

Recent studies show that in interdependent networks a very small failure in one network may lead to catastrophic consequences. Above a critical fraction of interdependent nodes, even a single node failure can invoke cascading failures that may abruptly fragment the system, while below this "critical dependency" (CD) a failure of few nodes leads only to small damage to the system. So far, the...

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Published / Preprint: Runaway Events Dominate the Heavy Tail of Citation Distributions

Posted: 12 Jun 2012 01:48 AM PDT

Statistical distributions with heavy tails are ubiquitous in natural and social phenomena. Sin 952 ce the entries in heavy tail have disproportional significance, the knowledge of its exact shape is very important. Citations of scientific papers form one of the best-known heavy tail distributions. Even in this case there is a considerable debate whether citation distribution follows the...

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Published / Preprint: Complex Systems Science: Dreams of Universality, cf9 Reality of Interdisciplinarity

Posted: 12 Jun 2012 01:48 AM PDT

Using a large database (~ 215 000 records) of relevant articles, we empirically study the "complex systems" field and its claims to find universal principles applying to systems in general. The study of references shared by the papers allows us to obtain a global point of view on the structure of this highly interdisciplinary field. We show that its overall coherence does not arise from a...

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The Financial Education Daily is out! http://t.co/TYluKzUv ⸠Top stories today via @StanfordBiz @WarwickMBA @INCAE

Posted: 12 Jun 2012 12:30 AM PDT

BusinessSchools: The Financial Education Daily is out! http://t.co/TYluKzUv â–¸ Top stories today via @StanfordBiz @WarwickMBA @INCAE

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Blog Post: TheAlephBlog: Logical Links

Posted: 11 Jun 2012 11:46 PM PDT

This should be a short post this evening, because I am tired.  Always be skeptical of analyses that reason like this: A will lead to B, B will lead to C, C will lead to D, D will lead to E, E will lead to F, which is a (horrible disaster / incredible success).read more...

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RT @QFINANCEnews: How a flawed ideology provided cover for an epidemic of financial crime http://t.co/mo6B46ED

Posted: 11 Jun 2012 07:47 PM PDT

moneyscience: RT @QFINANCEnews: How a flawed ideology provided cover for an epidemic of financial crime http://t.co/mo6B46ED

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Published / Preprint: Shaping the international financial system in century of globalization. (arXiv:1206.2022v1 [q-fin.GN])

Posted: 11 Jun 2012 05:31 PM PDT

We educe a perspective on how best to regulate the bank of tomorrow in frames of debate launched by the International Centre for Financial Regulation and Financial Times. Our goal is to create a conceptual framework for policymakers and regulators to shape the international financial system in century of globalization using the 1888 FT's motto: "Without fear and without favour." Our prospect...

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Published / Preprint: Pricing joint claims on an asset and its realized variance under stochastic volatility models. (arXiv:1206.2112v1 [q-fin.PR])

Posted: 11 Jun 2012 05:31 PM PDT

In a stochastic volatility framework, we find a general pricing equation for the class of payoffs depending on the terminal value of a market asset and its final quadratic variation. This allows a pricing tool for European-style claims paying off at maturity a joint function of the underlying and its realised volatility/variance. We study the solution under different stochastic volatility models,...

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Published / Preprint: The fine-structure of volatility feedback. (arXiv:1206.2153v1 [q-fin.ST])

Posted: 11 Jun 2012 05:31 PM PDT

We attempt to unveil the fine structure of volatility feedback effects in the context of general quadratic autoregressive (QARCH) models, which assume that today's volatility can be expressed as a general quadratic form of the past daily returns. The standard ARCH or GARCH framework is recovered when the quadratic kernel is diagonal. The calibration of these models on US stock returns reveals...

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Published / Preprint: The numeraire property and long-term growth optimality for drawdown-constrained investments. (arXiv:1206.2305v1 [q-fin.PM])

Posted: 11 Jun 2012 05:31 PM PDT

We consider the portfolio choice problem for an investor interested in long-run growth optimality while facing drawdown constraints in a general continuous semimartingale model. The paper introduces the numeraire property through the notion of expected relative return and shows that drawdown-constrained strategies with the numeraire property exist and are unique, but may depend on the financial...

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Published / Preprint: An algorithm for the orthogonal decomposition of financial return data. (arXiv:1206.2333v1 [q-fin.PM])

Posted: 11 Jun 2012 05:31 PM PDT

We present an algorithm for the decomposition of periodic financial return data into orthogonal factors of expected return and "systemic", "productive", and "nonproductive" risk. Generally, when the number of funds does not exceed the number of periods, the expected return of a portfolio is an affine function of its productive risk.

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@icmacentre: Two staff gain academic promotions http://t.co/3DD1aYVO

Posted: 11 Jun 2012 04:32 PM PDT

BusinessSchools: @icmacentre: Two staff gain academic promotions http://t.co/3DD1aYVO

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Blog Post: Falkenblog: Poor Volatility Buyers

Posted: 11 Jun 2012 04:22 PM PDT

The VXX and TVIX target the VIX futures index, a metric of forward-looking volatility, and trade well over 40 million shares a day. As the VIX went up from 20 to 80 in 2008, which I guess makes a lot of people think this is a smart trade. With all the tumult this year, the VIX has remained about the same since the beginning of the year, but the VXX and TVIX are down 41% and 72%,...

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Blog Post: iMFdirect: Lessons from Latvia

Posted: 11 Jun 2012 01:31 PM PDT

By Olivier Blanchardread more...

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Published / Preprint: 11Jun/Basel Committee reports to G20 Leaders on global implementation of its standards

Posted: 11 Jun 2012 06:00 AM PDT

Press release about the BCBS report to G20 Leaders on global implementation of its standards (11 Junel 2012)

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Financial Technology News Report is out! http://t.co/Jds9GCg0 : Top stories today via @ColmFFidessa @Risk_Technology @Informatica_URG

Posted: 11 Jun 2012 05:56 AM PDT

fin_tech: Financial Technology News Report is out! http://t.co/Jds9GCg0 â–¸ Top stories today via @ColmFFidessa @Risk_Technology @Informatica_URG

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Two staff gain academic promotions

Posted: 11 Jun 2012 05:31 AM PDT

The ICMA Centre is very proud to be able to announce the recent promotions of two of our academic staff. Drs Carol Padgett and Simone Varotto have both been promoted to the level of Senior Lecturer within the University of Reading. These promotions round off a very busy and successful year for both professionals with Carol launching her latest bookContinue reading

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