Friday, September 14, 2012

MoneyScience News

MoneyScience News


False positives: fraud and misconduct are threatening scientific research http://t.co/SyTWunKR

Posted: 14 Sep 2012 02:15 AM PDT

BusinessSchools: False positives: fraud and misconduct are threatening scientific research http://t.co/SyTWunKR

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Published / Preprint: 14Sep/Core principles for effective banking supervision - revised version endorsed by global bank supervisors

Posted: 14 Sep 2012 02:06 AM PDT

Press release about global bank supervisors endorsing revised "Core principles for effective banking supervision " (14 September 2012)

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Blog Post: TheFinancialServicesClub: The World's Global Language is English

Posted: 14 Sep 2012 01:27 AM PDT

I started another debate yesterday after saying that English is the global language.read more...

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Blog Post: PatrickBurns: Horses and volatility

Posted: 14 Sep 2012 01:18 AM PDT

Two items struck me as being connected.  Maybe they are.read more...

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Published / Preprint: The Future Has Thicker Tails than the Past: Model Error As Branching Counterfactuals

Posted: 14 Sep 2012 01:03 AM PDT

Ex ante forecast outcomes should b 989 e interpreted as counterfactuals (potential histories), with errors as the spread between outcomes. Reapplying measurements of uncertainty about the estimation errors of the estimation errors of an estimation leads to branching counterfactuals. Such recursions of epistemic uncertainty have markedly different distributial properties from conventional sampling...

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Published / Preprint: The competitiveness versus the wealth of a country

Posted: 14 Sep 2012 12:39 AM PDT

Politicians world-wide frequently promise a better life for their citizens. We find that the probability that a country will increase its {\it per capita} GDP ({\it 8a7 gdp}) rank within a decade follows an exponential distribution with decay constant $\lambda = 0.12$. We use the Corruption Perceptions Index (CPI) and the Global Competitiveness Index (GCI) and find that the...

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Published / Preprint: Preferential Attachment in the Interaction between Dynamically Generated Interdependent Networks

Posted: 14 Sep 2012 12:32 AM PDT

We generalize the scale-free network model of Barab\`asi and Albert [Science 286, 509 (1999)] by proposing a class of stochastic models for scale-free interdependent networks in which interdependent nodes are not randomly connected but rather are connected via preferential attachment (PA). Each network grows through the continuous addition of new nodes, and new nodes in each network attach...

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The Financial Education Daily is out! http://t.co/TYluKzUv ⸠Top stories today via @NSHMBA

Posted: 14 Sep 2012 12:26 AM PDT

BusinessSchools: The Financial Education Daily is out! http://t.co/TYluKzUv â–¸ Top stories today via @NSHMBA

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Blog Post: TheAlephBlog: Actuaries Versus Quants

Posted: 14 Sep 2012 12:14 AM PDT

I’m an Actuary and a Quant.  I’m not and Actuary, and I’m not a Quant.read more...

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Published / Preprint: Wealth distribution on complex networks. (arXiv:1209.2781v1 [nlin.AO])

Posted: 13 Sep 2012 05:30 PM PDT

We study the wealth distribution of the Bouchaud--M\'ezard (BM) model on complex networks. It has been known that this distribution depends on the topology of network by numerical simulations, however, no one have succeeded to explain it. Using "adiabatic" and "independent" assumptions along with the central-limit theorem, we derive equations that determine the probability distribution...

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Published / Preprint: The competitiveness versus the wealth of a country. (arXiv:1209.2813v1 [q-fin.GN])

Posted: 13 Sep 2012 05:30 PM PDT

Politicians world-wide frequently promise a better life for their citizens. We find that the probability that a country will increase its {\it per capita} GDP ({\it gdp}) rank within a decade follows an exponential distribution with decay constant $\lambda = 0.12$. We use the Corruption Perceptions Index (CPI) and the Global Competitiveness Index (GCI) and find that the distribution...

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Published / Preprint: Preferential Attachment in the Interaction between Dynamically Generated Interdependent Networks. (arXiv:1209.2817v1 [physics.soc-ph])

Posted: 13 Sep 2012 05:30 PM PDT

We generalize the scale-free network model of Barab\`asi and Albert [Science 286, 509 (1999)] by proposing a class of stochastic models for scale-free interdependent networks in which interdependent nodes are not randomly connected but rather are connected via preferential attachment (PA). Each network grows through the continuous addition of new nodes, and new nodes in each network attach...

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EasyJet entrepreneur hosts alumni reception in Monaco

Posted: 13 Sep 2012 01:02 PM PDT

Alumni jet in from around the world for weekend event

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IBM Study finds that leading financial firms are able to regularly deploy new products in less than 3 months #tcm http://t.co/QT42h4a1

Posted: 13 Sep 2012 08:32 AM PDT

fin_tech: IBM Study finds that leading financial firms are able to regularly deploy new products in less than 3 months #tcm http://t.co/QT42h4a1

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Blog Post: iMFdirect: United States: How Inequality Affects Saving Behavior

Posted: 13 Sep 2012 08:23 AM PDT

By Oya Celasunread more...

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Research Library: How big is too big? Critical Shocks for Systemic Failure Cascades

Posted: 13 Sep 2012 07:30 AM PDT

Claudio J. Tessone, Antonios Garas, Beniamino Guerra, Frank Schweitzer   Abstract External or internal shocks may lead to the collapse of a system consisting of many agents. If the shock hits only one agent initially and causes it to fail, this can induce a cascade of failures among neighoring agents. Several critical constellations determine whether this cascade remains finite or reaches...

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Research Library: Estimating the historical and future probabilities of large terrorist events

Posted: 13 Sep 2012 06:52 AM PDT

Aaron Clauset, Ryan Woodard Abstract Quantities with right-skewed distributions are ubiquitous in complex social systems, including political conflict, economics and social networks, and these systems sometimes produce extremely large events. For instance, the 9/11 terrorist events produced nearly 3000 fatalities, nearly six times more than the next largest event. But, was this enormous loss of...

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.@Cassinthenews: World leading academics deliver 2012 Onassis Lectures http://t.co/nUpiro7E

Posted: 13 Sep 2012 06:37 AM PDT

BusinessSchools: .@Cassinthenews: World leading academics deliver 2012 Onassis Lectures http://t.co/nUpiro7E

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Lecture - Moneyâs Situational Effects - Kathleen Vohs #tcm http://t.co/F2qdkRGe

Posted: 13 Sep 2012 06:37 AM PDT

BusinessSchools: Lecture - Money’s Situational Effects - Kathleen Vohs #tcm http://t.co/F2qdkRGe

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The Financial Education Daily is out! http://t.co/TYluKzUv ⸠Top stories today via @BerkeleyHaas @RobinsonCollege @cardiffuni

Posted: 13 Sep 2012 06:37 AM PDT

BusinessSchools: The Financial Education Daily is out! http://t.co/TYluKzUv â–¸ Top stories today via @BerkeleyHaas @RobinsonCollege @cardiffuni

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.@Cassinthenews: Cass stages inaugural Chairmen's Forum http://t.co/GMNvdydY

Posted: 13 Sep 2012 06:37 AM PDT

BusinessSchools: .@Cassinthenews: Cass stages inaugural Chairmen's Forum http://t.co/GMNvdydY

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RT @TimHarford: Doyne Farmer - Macroeconomics From the Bottom Up (interesting video interview) http://t.co/ajx4fHyB

Posted: 13 Sep 2012 06:37 AM PDT

BusinessSchools: RT @TimHarford: Doyne Farmer - Macroeconomics From the Bottom Up (interesting video interview) http://t.co/ajx4fHyB

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Published / Preprint: Do Changes in Wealth Inequality Help Explain CEO Compensation Inequality? A Study Using the Pareto Distribution

Posted: 13 Sep 2012 06:28 AM PDT

Over the past twenty years there has been a dramatic increase in both CEO pay and the wealth of the richest Americans. We hypothesize that the increase in CEO pay is due to the same economy-wide factors that have increased the asset value of the wealthiest Americans. We test this hypothesis by estimating Pareto distributions for both CEO compensation and the Forbes 400 list of the wealthiest...

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Published / Preprint: The Supply-Side Determinants of Loan Contract Strictness

Posted: 13 Sep 2012 06:18 AM PDT

Using a measure of contract strictness based on the probability of a covenant violation, I investigate how lender-specific shocks impact the strictness of the loan contract that a borrower receives. Banks write tighter contracts than their peers after suffering payment defaults to their own loan portfolios, even when defaulting borrowers are in different industries and geographic regions from the...

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Published / Preprint: Dynamic CEO Compensation

Posted: 13 Sep 2012 06:18 AM PDT

We study optimal compensation in a dynamic framework where the CEO consumes in multiple periods, can undo the contract by privately saving, and can temporarily inflate earnings. We obtain a simple closed-form contract that yields clear predictions for how the level and performance sensitivity of pay vary over time and across firms. The contract can be implemented by escrowing the CEO’s pay into...

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Published / Preprint: Are Banks Still Special When There Is a Secondary Market for Loans?

Posted: 13 Sep 2012 06:18 AM PDT

Secondary market trading in loans elicits a significant positive stock price response by a borrowing firm’s equity investors. We find the major reason for this response is the alleviation of borrowing firms’ financial constraints. We also find that new loan announcements are associated with a positive stock price effect even when prior loans made to the same borrower already trade on the...

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Published / Preprint: Financial Flexibility, Bank Capital Flows, and Asset Prices

Posted: 13 Sep 2012 06:18 AM PDT

In our parsimonious general-equilibrium model of banking and asset pricing, intermediaries have the expertise to monitor and reallocate capital. We study financial development, intraeconomy capital flows, the size of the banking sector, the value of intermediation, expected market returns, and the risk of bank crashes. Asset pricing implications include: a market’s dividend yield is related to...

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Published / Preprint: Financial Expertise as an Arms Race

Posted: 13 Sep 2012 06:18 AM PDT

We show that firms intermediating trade have incentives to overinvest in financial expertise. In our model, expertise improves firms’ ability to estimate value when trading a security. Expertise creates asymmetric information, which, under normal circumstances, works to the advantage of the expert as it deters opportunistic bargaining by counterparties. This advantage is neutralized in...

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Published / Preprint: A Lintner Model of Payout and Managerial Rents

Posted: 13 Sep 2012 06:18 AM PDT

We develop a dynamic agency model in which payout, investment, and financing decisions are made by managers who attempt to maximize the rents they take from the firm, subject to a capital market constraint. Managers smooth payout to smooth their flow of rents. Total payout (dividends plus net repurchases) follows Lintner’s (1956) target adjustment model. Payout smooths out transitory shocks to...

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Published / Preprint: Banking Globalization and Monetary Transmission

Posted: 13 Sep 2012 06:18 AM PDT

Globalization of banking raises questions about banks’ liquidity management, their response to liquidity shocks, and the potential for international shock propagation. We conjecture that global banks manage liquidity on a global scale, actively using cross-border internal funding in response to local shocks. Having global operations insulates banks from changes in monetary policy, while banks...

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Published / Preprint: Regulatory Arbitrage and International Bank Flows

Posted: 13 Sep 2012 06:18 AM PDT

We study whether cross-country differences in regulations have affected international bank flows. We find strong evidence that banks have transferred funds to markets with fewer regulations. This form of regulatory arbitrage suggests there may be a destructive “race to the bottom” in global regulations, which restricts domestic regulators’ ability to limit bank risk-taking. However, we also...

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Published / Preprint: Incomplete-Market Equilibria Solved Recursively on an Event Tree

Posted: 13 Sep 2012 06:18 AM PDT

Because of non-traded human capital, real-world financial markets are massively incomplete, while the modeling of imperfect, dynamic financial markets remains a wide-open and difficult field. Some 30 years after Cox, Ross, and Rubinstein (1979) taught us how to calculate the prices of derivative securities on an event tree by simple backward induction, we show how a similar formulation can be...

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Published / Preprint: The Vote Is Cast: The Effect of Corporate Governance on Shareholder Value

Posted: 13 Sep 2012 06:18 AM PDT

This paper investigates whether improvements in the firm’s internal corporate governance create value for shareholders. We analyze the market reaction to governance proposals that pass or fail by a small margin of votes in annual meetings. This provides a clean causal estimate that deals with the endogeneity of internal governance rules. We find that passing a proposal leads to significant...

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Financial regulatory systems fragmented and unprepared for next crisis, says bailout expert

Posted: 13 Sep 2012 06:12 AM PDT

The "No More 'Too Big to Fail'" rallying cry is unrealistic, says Cheryl Block, JD, federal taxation, budget and bailout expert and professor of law at Washington University in St. Louis. read more...

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Financial Technology News Report is out! http://t.co/Jds9GCg0 : Top stories today via @MATLAB @finteligent @TradeTech

Posted: 13 Sep 2012 05:53 AM PDT

fin_tech: Financial Technology News Report is out! http://t.co/Jds9GCg0 â–¸ Top stories today via @MATLAB @finteligent @TradeTech

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Blog Post: OlsenBlog: Speed is Good

Posted: 13 Sep 2012 05:20 AM PDT

Richard Olsen argues (in the September issue of Investment & Pensions Europe) that, far from slowing down, transaction volumes need to increase by a factor of thousands, and that pension funds should benefit from its uncorrelated alpha. Download original articleread more...

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Artificial Intelligence, unstructured data and banking scams

Posted: 23 Jul 2012 05:29 AM PDT

New Scientist covers the technology firms who are using Artificial Intelligence to identify behaviours which could indicate improper behaviour:read more...

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Event: Society for Neuroeconomics Annual Conference: Decision Making and the Brain

Posted: 04 Jul 2012 01:26 PM PDT

Location: Ritz-Carlton Key Biscayne in Miami, Florida, USA; Date: September 28th, 2012; Our annual conference, Neuroeconomics: Decision Making and the Brain, aims to promote interdisciplinary collaborations and discussions on topics lying at the intersection of the brain and decision sciences in the hopes of advancing both theory and research in decision making.  To this end, we...

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Cass Knowledge Newsletter - June 2012

Posted: 04 Jul 2012 05:05 AM PDT

Welcome to the June edition of the Cass Knowledge newsletter. This month’s newsletter will highlight key articles from the past month. Topics covered include knowledge acquisition in investment banking and the use of images to shape a consumers reaction to really new products (RNPs). There is also more information on an upcoming event that all Cass Knowledge subscribers are invited to,...

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Link Library: Notes for Economists on Writing Code

Posted: 03 Jul 2012 05:25 AM PDT

Matthew Gentzkow Jesse M. Shapiro Chicago Booth June 25, 2012 Introduction Every step of every research project we do is written in code, from raw data to final paper. Doing research is therefore writing software. Over time, people who write software for a living have learned a lot about how to write it well. We follow their lead. We aim to write code that would pass muster if we worked at...

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Vendor News: SS&C Acquires GlobeOp

Posted: 27 Jun 2012 07:06 AM PDT

SS&C Technologies Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ: SSNC), a global provider of financial services software and software-enabled services, today announced its acquisition of GlobeOp Financial Services S.A. (GlobeOp), for £4.85 per share (approximately £572 million). GlobeOp (LSE:GO) provides independent fund services, specializing in middle and back office services and integrated...

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