Saturday, November 17, 2012

MoneyScience News

MoneyScience News


Blog Post: PatrickBurns: US market portrait 2012 week 47

Posted: 17 Nov 2012 02:18 AM PST

US large cap market returns.read more...

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Blog Post: TheAlephBlog: Sorted Weekly Tweets

Posted: 16 Nov 2012 11:22 PM PST

Cato Institute Monetary Policy Conferenceread more...

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Published / Preprint: New: Stability Analysis of Financial Contagion Due to Overlapping Portfolios

Posted: 16 Nov 2012 10:21 PM PST

Common asset holdings are widely believed to have been the primary vector of contagion in the recent financial crisis. We develop a network approach to the amplification of financial contagion due to the combination of overlapping portfolios and leverage, and we show how it can be understood in terms of a generalized branching process. By studying a stylized model we estimate the circumstances...

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Published / Preprint: New: Getting at Systemic Risk Via an Agent-Based Model of the Housing Market

Posted: 16 Nov 2012 10:21 PM PST

Systemic risk must include the housing market, though economists have not generally focused on it. We begin construction of an agent-based model of the housing market with individual data from Washington, DC. Twenty years of success with agent-based models of mortgage prepayments give us hope that such a model could be useful. Preliminary analysis suggests that the housing boom and bust of...

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Published / Preprint: New: Leverage Causes Fat Tails and Clustered Volatility

Posted: 16 Nov 2012 10:21 PM PST

We build a simple model of leveraged asset purchases with margin calls. Investment funds use what is perhaps the most basic financial strategy, called "value investing," i.e., systematically attempting to buy underpriced assets. When funds do not borrow, the price fluctuations of the asset are approximately normally distributed and uncorrelated across time. This changes when the funds are allowed...

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Posted: 16 Nov 2012 01:44 PM PST

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RT @QFINANCEnews: BP looks for a second bite at the Arctic cherry- Part Two http://t.co/hFCE77wQ

Posted: 16 Nov 2012 09:34 AM PST

moneyscience: RT @QFINANCEnews: BP looks for a second bite at the Arctic cherry- Part Two http://t.co/hFCE77wQ

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RT @LME_News RT @Lord_Copper: As far as it goes the LME seem to have got this one right on warehouses. http://t.... http://t.co/Td2JToS9

Posted: 16 Nov 2012 09:11 AM PST

moneyscience: RT @LME_News RT @Lord_Copper: As far as it goes the LME seem to have got this one right on warehouses. http://t.... http://t.co/Td2JToS9

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