Thursday, January 3, 2013

MoneyScience News

MoneyScience News


Blog Post: TheFinancialServicesClub: 2013 Big Bank Resolutions

Posted: 03 Jan 2013 03:40 AM PST

Trust y’all had a super break and then suddenly here we are in 2013.read more...

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The Financial Education Daily is out! http://t.co/mgDaff68 ⸠Top stories today via @ColumbiaBizNews @McGillU @UBCMBA

Posted: 02 Jan 2013 11:31 PM PST

BusinessSchools: The Financial Education Daily is out! http://t.co/mgDaff68 â–¸ Top stories today via @ColumbiaBizNews @McGillU @UBCMBA

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Published / Preprint: Trading networks, abnormal motifs and stock manipulation. (arXiv:1301.0007v1 [q-fin.TR])

Posted: 02 Jan 2013 05:31 PM PST

We study trade-based manipulation of stock prices from the perspective of complex trading networks constructed by using detailed information of trades. A stock trading network consists of nodes and directed links, where every trader is a node and a link is formed from one trader to the other if the former sells shares to the latter. Specifically, three abnormal network motifs are investigated,...

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Published / Preprint: The effect of debt on corporate profitability : Evidence from French service sector. (arXiv:1301.0072v1 [q-fin.GN])

Posted: 02 Jan 2013 05:31 PM PST

Current study aims to provide new empirical evidence on the impact of debt on corporate profitability. This impact can be explained by three essential theories: signaling theory, tax theory and the agency cost theory. Using panel data sample of 2240 French non listed companies of service sector during 1999-2006. By utilizing generalized method of moments (GMM) econometric technique on three...

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Published / Preprint: Robust Optimal Stopping under Volatility Uncertainty. (arXiv:1301.0091v1 [math.PR])

Posted: 02 Jan 2013 05:31 PM PST

We analyze a robust optimal stopping problem when there is volatility uncertainty. This is a zero-sum controller-stopper game in which the stopper is trying to maximize its pay-off against an adverse player which tries to minimize this payoff by choosing the probability measure by from a set of measures which are not necessarily equivalent. In particular, we analyze the upper Snell envelope...

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Published / Preprint: On Reduced Form Intensity-based Model with Trigger Events. (arXiv:1301.0109v1 [q-fin.CP])

Posted: 02 Jan 2013 05:31 PM PST

Corporate defaults may be triggered by some major market news or events such as financial crises or collapses of major banks or financial institutions. With a view to develop a more realistic model for credit risk analysis, we introduce a new type of reduced-form intensity-based model that can incorporate the impacts of both observable "trigger" events and economic environment on corporate...

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Published / Preprint: On Infectious Model for Dependent Defaults. (arXiv:1301.0186v1 [q-fin.RM])

Posted: 02 Jan 2013 05:31 PM PST

In this paper, we propose a two-sector Markovian infectious model, which is an extension of Greenwood's model. The central idea of this model is that the causality of defaults of two sectors is in both direction, which enrich dependence dynamics. The Bayesian Information Criterion is adopted to compare the proposed model with the two-sector model in credit literature using the real data. We find...

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Published / Preprint: Utility maximization with current utility on the wealth: regularity of solutions to the HJB equation. (arXiv:1301.0280v1 [q-fin.PM])

Posted: 02 Jan 2013 05:31 PM PST

We consider a utility maximization problem for an investment-consumption portfolio when the current utility depends also on the wealth process. Such kind of problems arise, e.g., in portfolio optimization with random horizon or with random trading times. To overcome the difficulties of the problem we use the dual approach. We define a dual problem and treat it by means of dynamic programming,...

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Published / Preprint: Reflected Backward Stochastic Difference Equations with Finite State and their applications. (arXiv:1001.3054v5 [math.PR] UPDATED)

Posted: 02 Jan 2013 05:31 PM PST

In this paper, we first establish the reflected backward stochastic difference equations with finite state (FS-RBSDEs for short). Then we explore the Existence and Uniqueness Theorem as well as the Comparison Theorem by "one step" method. The connections between FS-RBSDEs and optimal stopping time problems are investigated and we also show that the optimal stopping problems with multiple priors...

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Published / Preprint: Ising-like agent-based technology diffusion model: adoption patterns vs. seeding strategies. (arXiv:1011.3834v2 [physics.soc-ph] UPDATED)

Posted: 02 Jan 2013 05:31 PM PST

The well-known Ising model used in statistical physics was adapted to a social dynamics context to simulate the adoption of a technological innovation. The model explicitly combines (a) an individual's perception of the advantages of an innovation and (b) social influence from members of the decision-maker's social network. The micro-level adoption dynamics are embedded into an agent-based model...

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Blog Post: iMFdirect: For Your Eyes Only: Three Jobs Not to Defer in 2013

Posted: 02 Jan 2013 03:01 PM PST

By David Liptonread more...

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.@icmacentre: Well I wasnât expecting that. http://t.co/RRBP4lqf

Posted: 02 Jan 2013 11:40 AM PST

BusinessSchools: .@icmacentre: Well I wasnât expecting that. http://t.co/RRBP4lqf

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Santa Fe Institute's Open Program 'Introduction to Complexity' Course http://t.co/xBAPWSCy starts Jan 28 @sfi_news

Posted: 02 Jan 2013 08:00 AM PST

BusinessSchools: Santa Fe Institute's Open Program 'Introduction to Complexity' Course http://t.co/xBAPWSCy starts Jan 28 @sfi_news

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The Gamification of Business School - http://t.co/Q8J6AQVr

Posted: 02 Jan 2013 07:02 AM PST

BusinessSchools: The Gamification of Business School - http://t.co/Q8J6AQVr

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Research Library: Boys will be boys: Gender, Overconfidence, and Common Stock Investment (2001, pdf)

Posted: 02 Jan 2013 06:54 AM PST

Brad M Barber and Terrance Odean   Abstract Theoretical models predict that overconfident investors trade excessively. We test this prediction by partitioning investors on gender. Psychological research demonstrates that, in areas such as finance, men are more overconfident than women. Thus, theory predicts that men will trade more excessively than women. Using account data for over...

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Blog Post: Falkenblog: Buy AAPL

Posted: 02 Jan 2013 06:34 AM PST

With the VIX at lows, and central banks across the globe printing money at breakneck pace, it seems a great time to be long equities. Not that I think this is good for the long run, but for at least a couple years this should be great for equities.Specifically, Apple has decline 25% from its peak in September, probably due to investors with large gains taking their capital gains before 2013 when...

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Simons Institute for the Theory of Computing Program: Theoretical Foundations of Big Data Analysis 22 Aug - 20 Dec http://t.co/xfrorP3J

Posted: 02 Jan 2013 06:20 AM PST

BusinessSchools: Simons Institute for the Theory of Computing Program: Theoretical Foundations of Big Data Analysis 22 Aug - 20 Dec http://t.co/xfrorP3J

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Published / Preprint: Investigating Power Laws in Hurricane Damages

Posted: 02 Jan 2013 06:19 AM PST

Recent research indicates that the energy generated by hurricanes follows a power law distribution. We hypothesize that economic damages caused by hurricanes also follow a power law distribution. Using yearly hurricane damage data from 1900-2005 we show that the distribution of yearly damages due to hurricanes in the US may follow either a power law or lognormal distribution. Furthermore, if the...

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Well I wasnât expecting that.

Posted: 02 Jan 2013 05:16 AM PST

The festive holidays have given me the chance to catch up on movies I’ve missed, and rewatch others.  Two of those I’ve rewatched (Quantum of Solace & Thor) were much better than I remembered, one of those I’ve caught up on (Prometheus) wasn’t as bad as I’d been lead to believe.read more...

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Research Library: Carry Trade and Systemic Risk: Why are FX Options So Cheap?

Posted: 02 Jan 2013 05:12 AM PST

Ricardo J. Caballero Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) - Department of Economics; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) Joseph B. Doyle Cornerstone Research December 5, 2012 MIT Department of Economics Working Paper No. 12-28 Abstract In this paper we document first that, in contrast with their widely perceived excess returns, popular carry trade strategies yield low...

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Research Library: The Inefficient Markets Hypothesis: Why Financial Markets do not work well in the Real World (pdf)

Posted: 02 Jan 2013 05:00 AM PST

Roger E.A. Farmer, Carine Nourry, Alain Venditti Abstract Existing literature continues to be unable to offer a convincing explanation for the volatility of the stochastic discount factor in real world data. Our work provides such an explanation. We do not rely on frictions, market incompleteness or transactions costs of any kind. Instead, we modify a simple stochastic representative agent...

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Call for book chapters: âCorporate Governance in Emerging Markets: Theories, Practices and Casesâ

Posted: 24 Oct 2012 05:57 AM PDT

To be published by Springer Verlag, 2013read more...

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Call for Papers: Conference on Currency Trading and Risk Premia - Oxford Man Institute of #Quant Finance @OxManInst http://t.co/1T1lMioi

Posted: 24 Oct 2012 05:48 AM PDT

moneyscience: Call for Papers: Conference on Currency Trading and Risk Premia - Oxford Man Institute of #Quant Finance @OxManInst http://t.co/1T1lMioi

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Intel and OnX Announce Social Media Hub for the Finteligent Trading Technology Community

Posted: 24 Oct 2012 04:32 AM PDT

TORONTO, Ontario and New York, NY, October 23, 2012 – read more...

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