Tuesday, February 5, 2013

MoneyScience News

MoneyScience News


Blog Post: TheFinancialServicesClub: The Chancellor's speech is one of the worst ever

Posted: 05 Feb 2013 02:12 AM PST

So George Osborne, the UK Chancellor, made a big speech at JPMorgan’s HQ in Bournemouth yesterday.read more...

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Blog Post: TheAlephBlog: Seven Notes on Blogging and the Markets

Posted: 04 Feb 2013 10:39 PM PST

I need to catch up on a few things, so bear with me.  This might ramble.read more...

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Published / Preprint: Robust no-free lunch with vanishing risk, a continuum of assets and proportional transaction costs. (arXiv:1302.0361v1 [q-fin.PR])

Posted: 04 Feb 2013 05:38 PM PST

We propose a continuous time model for financial markets with proportional transactions costs and a continuum of risky assets. This is motivated by bond markets in which the continuum of assets corresponds to the continuum of possible maturities. Our framework is well adapted to the study of no-arbitrage properties and related hedging problems. In particular, we extend the Fundamental Theorem of...

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Published / Preprint: CVA and FVA to Derivatives Trades Collateralized by Cash. (arXiv:1302.0465v1 [q-fin.PR])

Posted: 04 Feb 2013 05:38 PM PST

In this article, we combine replication pricing with expectation pricing for derivative trades that are partially collateralized by cash. The derivatives are replicated by underlying assets and cash, using repurchasing agreement (repo) and margining, which incur funding costs. We derive a partial differential equation (PDE) for the derivatives price, obtain and decompose its solution into the...

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Published / Preprint: Basis of financial arithmetic from the viewpoint of the utility theory. (arXiv:1302.0537v1 [q-fin.GN])

Posted: 04 Feb 2013 05:38 PM PST

The main goal of this paper is presentation a modern axiomatic approach to financial arithmetic. At the first, the axiomatic financial arithmetic theory was proposed by Peccati who has introduced the axiomatic definition of the future value. This theory has been extensively developed in past years. Proposed approach to financial arithmetic is based on the financial flow utility concept. This...

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Published / Preprint: On return rate implied by behavioural present value. (arXiv:1302.0538v1 [q-fin.GN])

Posted: 04 Feb 2013 05:38 PM PST

The future value of a security is described as a random variable. Distribution of this random variable is the formal image of risk uncertainty. On the other side, any present value is defined as a value equivalent to the given future value. This equivalence relationship is a subjective. Thus follows, that present value is described as a fuzzy number, which is depend on the investor's...

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Published / Preprint: Behavioural present value. (arXiv:1302.0539v1 [q-fin.GN])

Posted: 04 Feb 2013 05:38 PM PST

Impact of chosen behavioural factors on imprecision of present value is discussed here. The formal model of behavioural present value is offered as a result of this discussion. Behavioural present value is described here by fuzzy set. These considerations were illustrated by means of extensive numerical case study. Finally there are shown that in proposed model the return rate is given, as a...

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Published / Preprint: Inflation-rate Derivatives: From Market Model to Foreign Currency Analogy. (arXiv:1302.0574v1 [q-fin.PR])

Posted: 04 Feb 2013 05:38 PM PST

In this paper, we establish a market model for the term structure of forward inflation rates based on the risk-neutral dynamics of nominal and real zero-coupon bonds. Under the market model, we can price inflation caplets as well as inflation swaptions with a formula similar to the Black's formula, thus justify the current market practice. We demonstrate how to further extend the market model to...

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Published / Preprint: Robust Hedging with Proportional Transaction Costs. (arXiv:1302.0590v1 [q-fin.PM])

Posted: 04 Feb 2013 05:38 PM PST

Duality for robust hedging with proportional transaction costs of path dependent European options is obtained in a discrete time financial market with one risky asset. Investor's portfolio consists of a dynamically traded stock and a static position in vanilla options which can be exercised at maturity. Only stock trading is subject to proportional transaction costs. The main theorem is duality...

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Blog Post: Falkenblog: Acadian Has New Low Vol Paper

Posted: 04 Feb 2013 05:26 PM PST

Bradley, Wurgler, and Taliaferro (2013) have a new paper out that tries decoct the essence of the low risk anomaly with reference to a vague assertion by Respected Dead Economist Paul Samuelson's that markets are macro inefficient and micro efficient. Samuelson noted one can arbitrage relative prices via derivatives, long/short portfolios, but if the aggregate market is too high or low,...

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Blog Post: iMFdirect: Resolutions for the Fiscal New Year'Staying on Track Is No Easy Task

Posted: 04 Feb 2013 11:15 AM PST

by Carlo Cottarelli and Philip Gersonread more...

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Research Library: Head and Shoulders above the Rest? The Performance of Institutional Portfolio Managers who Use Technical Analysis

Posted: 04 Feb 2013 07:15 AM PST

H/T Phil Pearlman David Smith, Christophe Faugère and Ying Wang   Abstract   This study takes a novel approach to testing the efficacy of technical analysis. Ratherthan testing specific trading rules as is typically done in the literature, we rely oninstitutional portfolio managers’ statements about whether and how intensely they usetechnical analysis, irrespective of the...

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The criminal responsibilities of ⦠economists?

Posted: 04 Feb 2013 06:29 AM PST

Using the events of L’Aquila and the subsequent convictions of Italian seismologists as a starting point, Ioannis goes on to explore the extent to which economists could and should be held accountable for economic and financial turmoils. In case you have missed it, a few months ago it was widely reported in the media that half a dozen Italian seismologists were convictedContinue reading

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Announcing the Ethics in Finance-Robin Cosgrove Prize 2012-2013

Posted: 04 Feb 2013 05:46 AM PST

There are two Competitions for the Prize:read more...

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Published / Preprint: Financial Crises: Explanations, Types, and Implications (CEPR DP9329)

Posted: 04 Feb 2013 05:27 AM PST

Financial Crises: Explanations, Types, and Implications Author(s): Stijn Claessens, Ayhan Kose CEPR Discussion Paper Number 9329 Paper Details | PDF Download* | Purchase Electronic | Purchase Printed Programme Area(s): Financial Economics (FE) Date of Publication: 03/02/2013 Keyword(s): asset booms, banking crises, credit booms, crises prediction, currency crises, debt crises,...

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