Tuesday, June 18, 2013

MoneyScience News

MoneyScience News


Published / Preprint: HOPE, FEAR, AND ASPIRATIONS

Posted: 18 Jun 2013 04:39 AM PDT

We propose a rank‐dependent portfolio choice model in continuous time that captures the role in decision making of three emotions: hope, fear, and aspirations. Hope and fear are modeled through an inverse‐S shaped probability weighting function and aspirations through a probabilistic constraint. By employing the recently developed approach of quantile formulation, we solve the portfolio...

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Published / Preprint: OPTIMAL HIGHâFREQUENCY TRADING IN A PRO RATA MICROSTRUCTURE WITH PREDICTIVE INFORMATION

Posted: 18 Jun 2013 04:39 AM PDT

We propose a framework to study optimal trading policies in a one‐tick pro rata limit order book, as typically arises in short‐term interest rate futures contracts. The high‐frequency trader chooses to post either market orders or limit orders, which are represented, respectively, by impulse controls and regular controls. We discuss the consequences of the two main features of this...

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Published / Preprint: BESSEL PROCESSES, STOCHASTIC VOLATILITY, AND TIMER OPTIONS

Posted: 18 Jun 2013 04:39 AM PDT

Motivated by analytical valuation of timer options (an important innovation in realized variance‐based derivatives), we explore their novel mathematical connection with stochastic volatility and Bessel processes (with constant drift). Under the Heston (1993) stochastic volatility model, we formulate the problem through a first‐passage time problem on realized variance, and generalize the...

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Published / Preprint: NOâARBITRAGE PRICING FOR DIVIDENDâPAYING SECURITIES IN DISCRETEâTIME MARKETS WITH TRANSACTION COSTS

Posted: 18 Jun 2013 04:39 AM PDT

We prove a version of First Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing under transaction costs for discrete‐time markets with dividend‐paying securities. Specifically, we show that the no‐arbitrage condition under the efficient friction assumption is equivalent to the existence of a risk‐neutral measure. We derive dual representations for the superhedging ask and subhedging bid price processes...

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Published / Preprint: PORTFOLIO LIQUIDATION IN DARK POOLS IN CONTINUOUS TIME

Posted: 18 Jun 2013 04:39 AM PDT

We consider an illiquid financial market where a risk averse investor has to liquidate a portfolio within a finite time horizon [0, T] and can trade continuously at a traditional exchange (the “primary venue”) and in a dark pool. At the primary venue, trading yields a linear price impact. In the dark pool, no price impact costs arise but order execution is uncertain, modeled by a...

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Published / Preprint: ROBUST UTILITY MAXIMIZATION IN NONDOMINATED MODELS WITH 2BSDE: THE UNCERTAIN VOLATILITY MODEL

Posted: 18 Jun 2013 04:39 AM PDT

The problem of robust utility maximization in an incomplete market with volatility uncertainty is considered, in the sense that the volatility of the market is only assumed to lie between two given bounds. The set of all possible models (probability measures) considered here is nondominated. We propose studying this problem in the framework of second‐order backward stochastic differential...

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Blog Post: TheFinancialServicesClub: Paranoid about launderers (and rightly so)

Posted: 18 Jun 2013 02:01 AM PDT

Since the big headline fines of Standard Chartered and HSBC for money laundering last year, there have been a lot of things rumbling in the background.read more...

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Blog Post: TheAlephBlog: On RSS and Feedburner

Posted: 17 Jun 2013 10:08 PM PDT

Hi Friends!  This post particularly applies to those that read me via RSS, which may be half of my readership when you consider all of the republishers of my work.  At present, Google has stopped working on Feedburner, and earning money from Feedburner, which currently handles most if not all of my RSS.read more...

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Published / Preprint: The convergence of regional house prices in the USA in the context of the stress testing of financial institutions. (arXiv:1306.3531v1 [q-fin.RM])

Posted: 17 Jun 2013 05:39 PM PDT

I studied the convergence of regional house prices to national prices in USA by analyzing time-series of house price indices of 9 Census Divisions. I found the evidence of the convergence in some parts of the country using asymmetric unit root tests. The fact that the evidence of the convergence is not present in large parts of the country raises an issue of execution and interpretation of...

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Published / Preprint: Thermodynamics of long-run economic innovation and growth. (arXiv:1306.3554v1 [q-fin.GN])

Posted: 17 Jun 2013 05:39 PM PDT

This article derives prognostic expressions for the evolution of globally aggregated economic wealth, productivity, inflation, technological change, innovation and growth. The approach is to treat civilization as an open, non-equilibrium thermodynamic system that dissipates energy and diffuses matter in order to sustain existing circulations and to further its material growth. Appealing to a...

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Published / Preprint: How interbank lending amplifies overlapping portfolio contagion: A case study of the Austrian banking network. (arXiv:1306.3704v1 [q-fin.GN])

Posted: 17 Jun 2013 05:39 PM PDT

In spite of the growing theoretical literature on cascades of failures in interbank lending networks, empirical results seem to suggest that networks of direct exposures are not the major channel of financial contagion. In this paper we show that networks of interbank exposures can however significantly amplify contagion due to overlapping portfolios. To illustrate this point, we consider the...

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Published / Preprint: From Text to Bank Interrelation Maps. (arXiv:1306.3856v1 [q-fin.RM])

Posted: 17 Jun 2013 05:39 PM PDT

In the wake of the ongoing global financial crisis, interdependencies among banks have come into focus in trying to assess systemic risk. To date, such analysis has largely been based on numerical data. By contrast, this study attempts to gain further insight into bank interconnections by tapping into financial discussion. Co-mentions of bank names are turned into a network, which can be...

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Published / Preprint: Applying the Wiener-Hopf Monte Carlo simulation technique for Levy processes to path functionals such as first passage times, undershoots and overshoots. (arXiv:1306.3923v1 [math.PR])

Posted: 17 Jun 2013 05:39 PM PDT

In this note we apply the recently established Wiener-Hopf Monte Carlo (WHMC) simulation technique for Levy processes from Kuznetsov et al. [17] to path functionals, in particular first passage times, overshoots, undershoots and the last maximum before the passage time. Such functionals have many applications, for instance in finance (the pricing of exotic options in a Levy model) and insurance...

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Blog Post: rob_daly: Innotribe Names Startup Challenge Finalists

Posted: 17 Jun 2013 10:30 AM PDT

Innotribe Names Startup Challenge Finalistsread more...

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Blog Post: iMFdirect: F&D Magazine: A Mother's Example

Posted: 17 Jun 2013 07:47 AM PDT

By: Jeffrey Hayden, Editor-in-Chiefread more...

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Vendor News: June 17, 2013 - SS&C Appoints Timothy Reilly Senior Vice President, Institutional Outsourcing

Posted: 17 Jun 2013 06:09 AM PDT

Strategy, Value and Risk - An Interview with Jamie Rogers

Posted: 14 Jun 2013 01:13 AM PDT

In this third part of our series of interviews with authors about their recently published books, I talk to Jamie Rogers about the 3rd edition of his book, 'Strategy, Value and Risk: A Guide to Advanced Financial Management".read more...

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