Friday, October 18, 2013

MoneyScience News

MoneyScience News


Published / Preprint: The Origin of Fat Tails. (arXiv:1310.4538v1 [q-fin.GN])

Posted: 17 Oct 2013 05:37 PM PDT

We propose a random walk model of asset returns where the parameters depend on market stress. Stress is measured by, e.g., the value of an implied volatility index. We show that model parameters including standard deviations and correlations can be estimated robustly and that all distributions are approximately normal. Fat tails in observed distributions occur because time series sample different...

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Published / Preprint: Modeling the coupled return-spread high frequency dynamics of large tick assets. (arXiv:1310.4539v1 [q-fin.TR])

Posted: 17 Oct 2013 05:37 PM PDT

Large tick assets, i.e. assets where one tick movement is a significant fraction of the price and bid-ask spread is almost always equal to one tick, display a dynamics in which price changes and spread are strongly coupled. We introduce a Markov-switching modeling approach for price change, where the latent Markov process is the transition between spreads. We then use a finite Markov mixture of...

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Blog Post: TheFinancialServicesClub: This bank branch is dead ... no it's not! It's, uh, resting ...

Posted: 17 Oct 2013 03:43 AM PDT

I’ve recently seen so many articles about branches and branch closures that it’s worth a blog post, just to keep up with the issue.read more...

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Blog Post: TheAlephBlog: On Liabilities in Asset Allocation

Posted: 16 Oct 2013 11:28 PM PDT

From an e-mail from one of my readers:read more...

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Published / Preprint: Economic benefits of decarbonising the global electricity sector. (arXiv:1310.4403v1 [physics.soc-ph])

Posted: 16 Oct 2013 05:37 PM PDT

Conventional economic analyses of stringent climate change mitigation have generally concluded that economic austerity would result from carbon austerity. These analyses however rely critically on the assumption of an economic equilibrium, which dismisses established notions on behavioural heterogeneity, path dependence and technology transitions. Here we show that on the contrary, the...

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Published / Preprint: Multivariate transient price impact and matrix-valued positive definite functions. (arXiv:1310.4471v1 [q-fin.TR])

Posted: 16 Oct 2013 05:37 PM PDT

We consider a model for linear transient price impact for multiple assets that takes cross-asset impact into account. Our main goal is to single out properties that need to be imposed on the decay kernel so that the model admits well-behaved optimal trade execution strategies. We first show that the existence of such strategies is guaranteed by assuming that the decay kernel corresponds to a...

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Blog Post: rob_daly: We Get It: The Markets are Fine

Posted: 16 Oct 2013 02:07 PM PDT

We Get It: The Markets are Fineread more...

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Blog Post: iMFdirect: Cloudy With a Chance of Rain'Outlook for Latin America and the Caribbean

Posted: 16 Oct 2013 10:17 AM PDT

By Alejandro Wernerread more...

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