Thursday, December 19, 2013

MoneyScience News

MoneyScience News


Blog Post: TheAlephBlog: Redacted Version of the December 2013 FOMC Statement

Posted: 18 Dec 2013 12:08 PM PST

October 2013December 2013CommentsInformation received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in September generally suggests that economic activity has continued to expand at a moderate pace.Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in October indicates that economic activity is expanding at a moderate pace.Shades their view up, but I donĂ¢€™t see much to support...

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Blog Post: WealthandCapitalMarketsBlog: 1.15.2014: Celent Webinar: Current State of Innovation in Financial Services

Posted: 18 Dec 2013 10:25 AM PST

Celent Senior Analyst Mike Fitzgerald and Mick Simonelli, Innovation Consultant and former Chief Innovation Officer at USAA.read more...

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Blog Post: TheFinancialServicesClub: 2013 was the year for renewal

Posted: 18 Dec 2013 09:49 AM PST

This is my penultimate review of 2013, as we head towards the shutdown season, so here goesread more...

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Blog Post: iMFdirect: The Time is Nigh: How Reforms Can Bring Back Productivity Growth in Emerging Markets

Posted: 18 Dec 2013 08:57 AM PST

By Kalpana Kochar and Era Dabla-Norrisread more...

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ICMA Centre Christmas Party

Posted: 18 Dec 2013 08:08 AM PST

By Nishant Gupta, Student Ambassadorread more...

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Published / Preprint: 18Dec/Assessment methodology for the oversight expectations applicable to critical service providers, consultative report issued by CPSS-IOSCO

Posted: 18 Dec 2013 06:08 AM PST

Press release about CPSS and IOSCO issuing the consultative report "Assessment methodology for the oversight expectations applicable to critical service providers" (BIS Press Release 18 December 2013)

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Published / Preprint: 18Dec/Progress in adopting the principles for effective risk data aggregation and risk reporting issued by the Basel Committee

Posted: 18 Dec 2013 02:08 AM PST

Press release about "Progress in adopting the principles for effective risk data aggregation and risk reporting" (18 December 2013)

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MoneyScience - A year in Interviews 2013

Posted: 18 Dec 2013 01:00 AM PST

In a trend we aim to continue in 2014, this year we've been publishing interviews with various movers and shakers in the finance and quantitative finance community. read more...

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Published / Preprint: Coupled mode theory of stock price formation. (arXiv:1312.4622v1 [q-fin.TR])

Posted: 17 Dec 2013 05:39 PM PST

We develop a theory of bid and ask price dynamics where the two prices form due to interaction of buy and sell orders. In this model the two prices are represented by eigenvalues of a 2x2 price operator corresponding to "bid" and "ask" eigenstates. Matrix elements of price operator fluctuate in time which results in phase jitter for eigenstates. We show that the theory reflects very important...

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Published / Preprint: Entrepreneurial Finance and Innovation: An Introduction and Agenda for Future Research

Posted: 17 Dec 2013 04:56 AM PST

The increasingly large role played by financial intermediaries, such as venture capitalists and angels, in nurturing entrepreneurial firms and in promoting product market innovation has led to great research interest in the area of entrepreneurial finance and innovation. This paper introduces the special issue of the Review of Financial Studies dedicated to entrepreneurial finance and innovation...

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Published / Preprint: Venture Capitalists on Boards of Mature Public Firms

Posted: 17 Dec 2013 04:56 AM PST

Venture capitalists (VCs) often serve on the board of mature public firms long after their initial public offering (IPO), even for companies that were not VC-backed at the IPO. Board appointments of VC directors are followed by increases in research and development intensity, innovation output, and greater deal activity with other VC-backed firms. VC director appointments are associated with...

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Published / Preprint: The Capital Structure Decisions of New Firms

Posted: 17 Dec 2013 04:56 AM PST

We study capital structure choices that entrepreneurs make in their firms' initial year of operation, using restricted-access data from the Kauffman Firm Survey. Firms in our data rely heavily on external debt sources, such as bank financing, and less extensively on friends-and-family-based funding sources. Many startups receive debt financed through the personal balance sheets of the...

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Published / Preprint: Real Option Financing Under Asymmetric Information

Posted: 17 Dec 2013 04:56 AM PST

This study examines the financing of innovation in the presence of adverse selection in the capital market. An entrepreneur with private information needs outside funding for a project requiring costly experimentation. Equilibrium contracts use the duration of the experimentation period, together with pay-for-performance, to signal information to outside investors. As a result, investment is...

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Published / Preprint: Wrongful Discharge Laws and Innovation

Posted: 17 Dec 2013 04:56 AM PST

We show that wrongful discharge laws—laws that protect employees against unjust dismissal—spur innovation and new firm creation. Wrongful discharge laws, particularly those that prohibit employers from acting in bad faith ex post, limit employers' ability to hold up innovating employees after the innovation is successful. By reducing the possibility of holdup, these laws enhance...

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Published / Preprint: Interbank Liquidity Crunch and the Firm Credit Crunch: Evidence from the 2007-2009 Crisis

Posted: 17 Dec 2013 04:56 AM PST

We study the credit supply effects of the unexpected freeze of the European interbank market, using exhaustive Portuguese loan-level data. We find that banks that rely more on interbank borrowing before the crisis decrease their credit supply more during the crisis. The credit supply reduction is stronger for firms that are smaller, with weaker banking relationships. Small firms cannot compensate...

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Published / Preprint: 17Dec/Second report on the regulatory consistency of risk-weighted assets in the trading book issued by the Basel Committee

Posted: 17 Dec 2013 01:07 AM PST

Press release about "Second report on the regulatory consistency of risk-weighted assets in the trading book issued by the Basel Committee" (17 December 2013)

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Published / Preprint: On static hedging, real options and valuation of cash flows with skewed distributions. (arXiv:1312.4227v1 [q-fin.PR])

Posted: 16 Dec 2013 05:38 PM PST

Draft. We combine static hedging and real options valuation ideas to build a capital budgeting technique. Here one applies the market information of derivative prices on a traded 'quasi twin security' to benchmark a single-step stochastic cash stream. We provide a transparent, more or less closed-form solution for valuing these streams. The fundamental properties of this valuation rule are then...

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Published / Preprint: No-arbitrage conditions and absolutely continuous changes of measure. (arXiv:1312.4296v1 [q-fin.PR])

Posted: 16 Dec 2013 05:38 PM PST

We study the stability of several no-arbitrage conditions with respect to absolutely continuous, but not necessarily equivalent, changes of measure. We first consider models based on continuous semimartingales and show that no-arbitrage conditions weaker than NA and NFLVR are always stable. Then, in the context of general semimartingale models, we show that an absolutely continuous change of...

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Published / Preprint: Pricing and Hedging Basket Options with Exact Moment Matching. (arXiv:1312.4443v1 [q-fin.PR])

Posted: 16 Dec 2013 05:37 PM PST

Theoretical models applied to option pricing should take into account the empirical characteristics of the underlying financial time series. In this paper, we show how to price basket options when assets follow a shifted log-normal process with jumps capable of accommodating negative skewness. Our technique is based on the Hermite polynomial expansion that can match exactly the first m moments of...

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Blog Post: PatrickBurns: Another tale of two returns

Posted: 16 Dec 2013 12:08 PM PST

The further adventures of returns on short positions.read more...

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Season's Greetings from the Team at MoneyScience!

Posted: 16 Dec 2013 02:10 AM PST

Wishing you all the very Best for Christmas and the New Year ahead!read more...

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Published / Preprint: Gas storage valuation and hedging. A quantification of the model risk. (arXiv:1312.3789v1 [q-fin.PR])

Posted: 15 Dec 2013 05:38 PM PST

This paper focuses on the valuation and hedging of gas storage facilities, using a spot-based valuation framework coupled with a financial hedging strategy implemented with futures contracts. The first novelty consist in proposing a model that unifies the dynamics of the futures curve and the spot price, which accounts for the main stylized facts of the US natural gas market, such as seasonality...

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Blog Post: ThePracticalQuant: Expanding options for mining streaming data

Posted: 15 Dec 2013 10:57 AM PST

[A version of this post appears on the O'Reilly Data blog.]Stream processing was in the minds of a few people that I ran into over the past week. A combination of new systems, deployment tools, and enhancements to existing frameworks, are behind the recent chatter. Through a combination of simpler deployment tools, programming interfaces, and libraries, recently released tools make it easier for...

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.@icmacentre: Speculative Bubbles and the Cross-Sectional Variation in Stock Returns http://t.co/GmGlJ6Dm

Posted: 11 Jan 2013 12:53 PM PST

BusinessSchools: .@icmacentre: Speculative Bubbles and the Cross-Sectional Variation in Stock Returns http://t.co/GmGlJ6Dm

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Call for Papers: 15th Conference of the Association for Heterodox Economics: Economy and Organisation, July 2013 http://t.co/rUPuVPLw

Posted: 11 Jan 2013 04:58 AM PST

moneyscience: Call for Papers: 15th Conference of the Association for Heterodox Economics: Economy and Organisation, July 2013 http://t.co/rUPuVPLw

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Frontiers in Financial Mathematics 2013 - June 2013 http://t.co/UZze8mB2 #quant

Posted: 11 Jan 2013 04:58 AM PST

BusinessSchools: Frontiers in Financial Mathematics 2013 - June 2013 http://t.co/UZze8mB2 #quant

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