Friday, March 14, 2014

MoneyScience News

MoneyScience News


Published / Preprint: Distribution of the asset price movement and market potential. (arXiv:1403.3138v1 [q-fin.ST])

Posted: 13 Mar 2014 05:39 PM PDT

In this article we discuss the distribution of asset price movements by the market potential function. From the principle of free energy minimization we analyze two different kinds of market potentials. We obtain a U-shaped potential when market reversion (i.e. contrarian investors) is dominant. On the other hand, if there are more trend followers, flat and logarithmic--like potentials appeared....

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Published / Preprint: Continuous time portfolio choice under monotone preferences with quadratic penalty - stochastic factor case. (arXiv:1403.3212v1 [q-fin.PM])

Posted: 13 Mar 2014 05:39 PM PDT

We consider an incomplete market with a non-tradable stochastic factor and an investment problem with optimality criterion based on a functional which is a modification of a monotone mean-variance preferences. We formulate it as a stochastic differential game problem and use Hamilton Jacobi Bellman Isaacs equations to derive the optimal investment strategy and the value function. Finally, we show...

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Published / Preprint: Detecting informed activities in European-style option tradings. (arXiv:1403.3294v1 [q-fin.TR])

Posted: 13 Mar 2014 05:39 PM PDT

We propose a mathematical procedure for finding informed trader activities in European-style options and their underlying asset. The regression model (9) with moving average component was written. Being added to it ARMA-process for log-price differences of underlying asset, the generalized model is written as Vector ARMA, stable at abs(ro)<1. We also constructed an informed trader activity...

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Published / Preprint: Coherent Chaos Interest Rate Models. (arXiv:1403.3362v1 [q-fin.PR])

Posted: 13 Mar 2014 05:39 PM PDT

The Wiener chaos approach to interest rate modelling arises from the observation that the pricing kernel admits a representation in terms of the conditional variance of a square-integrable random variable, which in turn admits a chaos expansion. When the expansion coefficients factorise into multiple copies of a single function, then the resulting interest rate model is called coherent, whereas a...

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Blog Post: TheAlephBlog: On the Structure of Berkshire Hathaway

Posted: 13 Mar 2014 06:20 AM PDT

Berkshire Hathaway [BRK] is a unique company.  You have a property-casualty insurance giant owning many businesses directly through insurance subsidiaries, including huge businesses like a Class 1 Railroad — BNSF.read more...

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Blog Post: TheFinancialServicesClub: Nordea's use of Facebook and social media to engage their customer

Posted: 13 Mar 2014 06:20 AM PDT

I really enjoyed the presentations in Oslo, particularly the case studies by Nordea and ValYou.read more...

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Blog Post: PatrickBurns: US market portrait 2014 week 9

Posted: 01 Mar 2014 03:06 AM PST

US large cap market returns.read more...

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