Tuesday, April 15, 2014

MoneyScience News

MoneyScience News


Published / Preprint: Estimating nonlinear regression errors without doing regression. (arXiv:1404.3219v1 [stat.ML])

Posted: 15 Apr 2014 03:00 AM PDT

A method for estimating nonlinear regression errors and their distributions without performing regression is presented. Assuming continuity of the modeling function the variance is given in terms of conditional probabilities extracted from the data. For N data points the computational demand is N2. Comparing the predicted residual errors with those derived from a linear model assumption provides...

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Published / Preprint: Regularizing Portfolio Risk Analysis: A Bayesian Approach. (arXiv:1404.3258v1 [q-fin.ST])

Posted: 15 Apr 2014 03:00 AM PDT

It is important for portfolio manager to estimate and analyze the recent portfolio volatility to keep portfolio's risk within limit. Though number of financial instruments in the portfolio are very large, some times more than thousands, however daily returns considered for analysis is only for a month or even less. In this case rank of portfolio covariance matrix is less than full, hence solution...

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Published / Preprint: Stability and Identification with Optimal Macroprudential Policy Rules. (arXiv:1404.3347v1 [q-fin.EC])

Posted: 15 Apr 2014 03:00 AM PDT

This paper investigates the identification, the determinacy and the stability of ad hoc, "quasi-optimal" and optimal policy rules augmented with financial stability indicators (such as asset prices deviations from their fundamental values) and minimizing the volatility of the policy interest rates, when the central bank precommits to financial stability. Firstly, ad hoc and quasi-optimal rules...

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Published / Preprint: Smile from the Past: A general option pricing framework with multiple volatility and leverage components. (arXiv:1404.3555v1 [q-fin.PR])

Posted: 15 Apr 2014 03:00 AM PDT

In the current literature, the analytical tractability of discrete time option pricing models is guaranteed only for rather specific types of models and pricing kernels. We propose a very general and fully analytical option pricing framework, encompassing a wide class of discrete time models featuring multiple-component structure in both volatility and leverage, and a flexible pricing kernel with...

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Published / Preprint: On the properties of nodal price response matrix in electricity markets. (arXiv:1404.3678v1 [math.OC])

Posted: 15 Apr 2014 03:00 AM PDT

We establish sufficient conditions for nodal price response matrix in electric power system to be symmetric and negative semi-definite. The results are applicable for electricity markets with nonlinear and intertemporal constraints.

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Blog Post: TheFinancialServicesClub: Give merchants the finger: now you can with PayPal

Posted: 15 Apr 2014 02:59 AM PDT

We've all been saying that it's only a while before we pay for everything with a biometric, as mentioned in last weeks blog: The Age of the Password is over.read more...

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Published / Preprint: 15Apr/Final standard for measuring and controlling large exposures published by the Basel Committee

Posted: 15 Apr 2014 02:57 AM PDT

Press release about the Basel Committee publishing the final standard for measuring and controlling large exposures. (15 April 2014)

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Blog Post: TheAlephBlog: On a Concentrated Bond Market

Posted: 14 Apr 2014 10:09 PM PDT

There have been a few articles recently on the underperformance of Pimco, and on the increasing concentration on the buy side of the bond market.  There is danger here for large active managers and their clients.read more...

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Blog Post: iMFdirect: Socrates & the Pope: Overheard at the IMF's Spring Meetings

Posted: 14 Apr 2014 01:49 PM PDT

By IMFdirect editorsread more...

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2013 Risk Manager of the Year: Robert B. Litterman

Posted: 04 Mar 2014 07:39 AM PST

The Global Association of Risk Professionals, (GARP, www.garp.org) announced today that it has awarded Robert B. Litterman, Partner and Chairman of the Risk Committee and Advisory Panel, Kepos Capital LP, the 2013 Risk Manager of the Year Award at the Association's 15th Annual Risk Management Convention & Exhibition, held at the New York Marriott Marquis in New York City. "It is an honor to...

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