| MoneyScience News | 
- Blog Post: TheAlephBlog: Illusory Investment Income
- Blog Post: TheFinancialServicesClub: Amazon's secret sauce: customer obsession
- Vendor News: May 13, 2014 - SS&C GlobeOp Hedge Fund Performance Index: April performance -0.59%; Capital Movement Index: May net flows advance 0.94%
- Published / Preprint: A Multi-factor Adaptive Statistical Arbitrage Model. (arXiv:1405.2384v1 [q-fin.PM])
- Published / Preprint: A Non Convex Singular Stochastic Control Problem and its Related Optimal Stopping Boundaries. (arXiv:1405.2442v1 [math.OC])
- Published / Preprint: How does bad and good volatility spill over across petroleum markets?. (arXiv:1405.2445v1 [q-fin.ST])
- Published / Preprint: Affine LIBOR models with multiple curves: theory, examples and calibration. (arXiv:1405.2450v1 [q-fin.MF])
- Published / Preprint: Interest rate models and Whittaker functions. (arXiv:1405.2459v1 [q-fin.MF])
- Published / Preprint: Risk Neutral Option Pricing With Neither Dynamic Hedging nor Complete Markets, A Measure-Theoretic Proof. (arXiv:1405.2609v1 [q-fin.MF])
- Published / Preprint: Simple examples of pure-jump strict local martingales. (arXiv:1405.2669v1 [math.PR])
- Published / Preprint: Arbitrage Pricing of Multi-person Game Contingent Claims. (arXiv:1405.2718v1 [q-fin.MF])
- Blog Post: WealthandCapitalMarketsBlog: 6.11.2014 Celent Webinar: How to Better Leverage Celent
- Published / Preprint: Gaussian-Chain Filters for Heavy-Tailed Noise with Application to Detecting Big Buyers and Big Sellers in Stock Market. (arXiv:1405.2220v1 [q-fin.TR])
- Published / Preprint: Optimal stopping under model uncertainty: randomized stopping times approach. (arXiv:1405.2240v1 [q-fin.MF])
- Event: Webcast - Counterparty Credit Risk- Perspectives and Tools
| Blog Post: TheAlephBlog: Illusory Investment Income Posted: 13 May 2014 01:30 AM PDT Yield is an illusion, whether it comes from stocks, REITs, preferred stocks, bonds, loans, limited partnerships, etc.  Yield from investments is not the same as being a farmer with chickens, where each day you can collect eggs, enjoy or sell them, and your net worth is not affected by harvesting the eggs.read more... Visit MoneyScience for the Complete Article. | 
| Blog Post: TheFinancialServicesClub: Amazon's secret sauce: customer obsession Posted: 13 May 2014 01:29 AM PDT | 
| Posted: 13 May 2014 01:07 AM PDT | 
| Posted: 12 May 2014 05:40 PM PDT This paper examines the implementation of a statistical arbitrage trading  strategy based on co-integration relationships where we discover candidate  portfolios using multiple factors rather than just price data. The portfolio  selection methodologies include K-means clustering, graphical lasso and a  combination of the two. Our results show that clustering appears to yield  better candidate... Visit MoneyScience for the Complete Article. | 
| Posted: 12 May 2014 05:40 PM PDT We show that the equivalence between certain problems of singular stochastic  control (SSC) and related questions of optimal stopping known for convex  performance criteria (see, for example, Karatzas and Shreve (1984)) continues  to hold in a non convex problem provided a related discretionary stopping time  is introduced. Our problem is one of storage and consumption for electricity, a  partially... Visit MoneyScience for the Complete Article. | 
| Posted: 12 May 2014 05:40 PM PDT We detect and quantify asymmetries in volatility spillovers using the  realized semivariances of petroleum commodities: crude oil, gasoline, and  heating oil. During the 1987--2014 period we document increasing spillovers  from volatility among petroleum commodities that substantially change after the  2008 financial crisis. The increase in volatility spillovers correlates with  the progressive... Visit MoneyScience for the Complete Article. | 
| Posted: 12 May 2014 05:40 PM PDT We introduce a multiple curve LIBOR framework that combines tractable  dynamics and semi-analytic pricing formulas with positive interest rates and  basis spreads. The dynamics of OIS and LIBOR rates are specified following the  methodology of the affine LIBOR models and are driven by the wide and flexible  class of affine processes. The affine property is preserved under forward  measures, which... Visit MoneyScience for the Complete Article. | 
| Published / Preprint: Interest rate models and Whittaker functions. (arXiv:1405.2459v1 [q-fin.MF]) Posted: 12 May 2014 05:40 PM PDT I present the technique which can analyse some interest rate models:  Constantinides-Ingersoll, CIR-model, geometric CIR and Geometric Brownian  Motion. All these models have the unified structure of Whittaker function. The  main focus of this text is closed-form solutions of the zero-coupon bond value  in these models. In text I emphasize the specific details of mathematical  methods of their... Visit MoneyScience for the Complete Article. | 
| Posted: 12 May 2014 05:40 PM PDT Proof that under simple assumptions, such as con- straints of Put-Call  Parity, the probability measure for the valuation of a European option has the  mean of the risk-neutral one, under any general probability distribution,  bypassing the Black-Scholes-Merton dynamic hedging argument, and without the  requirement of complete markets. We confirm that the heuristics used by traders  for centuries are... Visit MoneyScience for the Complete Article. | 
| Posted: 12 May 2014 05:40 PM PDT We present simple new examples of pure-jump strict local martingales. The  examples are constructed as exponentials of self-exciting affine Markov  processes. We characterize the strict local martingale property of these  processes by an integral criterion and by non-uniqueness of an associated  ordinary differential equation. Finally we show an alternative construction for  our examples by an... Visit MoneyScience for the Complete Article. | 
| Posted: 12 May 2014 05:39 PM PDT We introduce a class of financial contracts involving several parties by  extending the notion of a two-person game option (see Kifer (2000)) to a  contract in which an arbitrary number of parties is involved and each of them  is allowed to make a wide array of decisions at any time, not restricted to  simply `exercising the option'. The collection of decisions by all parties then  determines the... Visit MoneyScience for the Complete Article. | 
| Blog Post: WealthandCapitalMarketsBlog: 6.11.2014 Celent Webinar: How to Better Leverage Celent Posted: 12 May 2014 01:09 PM PDT | 
| Posted: 11 May 2014 05:38 PM PDT We propose a new heavy-tailed distribution --- Gaussian-Chain (GC)  distribution, which is inspirited by the hierarchical structures prevailing in  social organizations. We determine the mean, variance and kurtosis of the  Gaussian-Chain distribution to show its heavy-tailed property, and compute the  tail distribution table to give specific numbers showing how heavy is the  heavy-tails. To filter out... Visit MoneyScience for the Complete Article. | 
| Posted: 11 May 2014 05:38 PM PDT In this work we consider optimal stopping problems with conditional convex  risk measures called optimised certainty equivalents. Without assuming any kind  of time-consistency for the underlying family of risk measures, we derive a  novel representation for the solution of the optimal stopping problem. In  particular, we generalise the additive dual representation of Rogers (2002) to  the case of... Visit MoneyScience for the Complete Article. | 
| Event: Webcast - Counterparty Credit Risk- Perspectives and Tools Posted: 11 May 2014 10:41 AM PDT Location: Online; Date: May 20th, 2014; Financial firms are facing significant challenges when it comes to  measuring and  assessing risk from counterparties. In the aftermath of  the 2008 financial crisis, progress measuring the broad array of  financial transactions with other institutions remains uneven and  progress toward consistent, timely and accurate reporting of top  counterparty... Visit MoneyScience for the Complete Article. | 
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