Tuesday, July 22, 2014

MoneyScience News

MoneyScience News


Mathematicians Explain Why Social Epidemics Spread Faster in Some Countries Than Others | MIT Technology Review

Posted: 22 Jul 2014 03:52 AM PDT

"Why Social Epidemics Spread Faster in Some Countries Than Others" http://t.co/RylHJX8Okt ht @DiegoKuonen — Arthur Charpentier (@freakonometrics) July 22,…

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Blog Post: TheFinancialServicesClub: Financial Institutions Unprepared For Digital Future

Posted: 22 Jul 2014 03:42 AM PDT

My good friend Jim Marous who recently joined The Financial Brand, asked me to make a comment about this new report from Bain.read more...

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Blog Post: TheAlephBlog: On Berkshire Hathaway and Asbestos

Posted: 22 Jul 2014 03:41 AM PDT

Recently, a friend of mine from Canada came to stay with me.  We talked about a wide number of things, but when we talked about investing, I described insurance investing to him, giving my usual explanation on reserving.read more...

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Risk-sensitive investment in a market with animal spirits. (arXiv:1407.5278v1 [q-fin.PM]) - Quantitative Finance at arXiv's blog - MoneyScience

Posted: 22 Jul 2014 03:11 AM PDT

Research: Risk-sensitive investment in a market with animal spirits. (arXiv:1407.5278v1 [q-fin.PM]) http://t.co/C4FjBLEWI6 — moneyscience (@moneyscience) July…

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Kiss the SIPs Goodbye? Hell no! - Rob Daly's blog - MoneyScience

Posted: 22 Jul 2014 03:10 AM PDT

.@rob_daly -Kiss the SIPs Goodbye? Hell no! http://t.co/9tIflpKeRs — moneyscience (@moneyscience) July 21, 2014

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MoneyScience: MoneyScience's event: 14th Winter school on Mathematical Finance

Posted: 22 Jul 2014 03:10 AM PDT

Event - 14th Winter school on Mathematical Finance - 26-29 January 2015 including a Damiano Brigo mini course http://t.co/ZvVgPWzMgt — moneyscience…

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Vendor News: July 22, 2014 - SS&C GlobeOp Forward Redemption Indicator: July notifications 3.15%

Posted: 22 Jul 2014 01:07 AM PDT

Vendor News: Infosys is a Strategic Partner for Daimlerâs European Data Centers

Posted: 22 Jul 2014 12:07 AM PDT

Infosys and Daimler AG have entered into a multi-year agreement covering management of infrastructure services and data centers, providing e-collaboration and middleware services as well as overseeing database operations.

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Published / Preprint: An exact and explicit formula for pricing Asian options with regime switching. (arXiv:1407.5091v1 [q-fin.PR])

Posted: 21 Jul 2014 05:39 PM PDT

This paper studies the pricing of European-style Asian options when the price dynamics of the underlying risky asset are assumed to follow a Markov- modulated geometric Brownian motion; that is, the appreciation rate and the volatility of the underlying risky asset depend on unobservable states of the economy described by a continuous-time hidden Markov process. We derive the exact, explicit and...

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Published / Preprint: Unanticipated Features of the Multidimensional $G$-Normal Distribution. (arXiv:1407.5139v1 [math.PR])

Posted: 21 Jul 2014 05:39 PM PDT

In one dimension, the theory of the $G$-normal distribution is well-developed, and many results from the classical setting have a nonlinear counterpart. Significant challenges remain in multiple dimensions, and some of what has already been discovered is quite nonintuitive. By answering several classically-inspired questions concerning independence, covariance uncertainty, and behavior under...

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Published / Preprint: Agent-based model with asymmetric trading and herding for complex financial systems. (arXiv:1407.5258v1 [q-fin.ST])

Posted: 21 Jul 2014 05:39 PM PDT

Background: For complex financial systems, the negative and positive return-volatility correlations, i.e., the so-called leverage and anti-leverage effects, are particularly important for the understanding of the price dynamics. However, the microscopic origination of the leverage and anti-leverage effects is still not understood, and how to produce these effects in agent-based modeling remains...

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Published / Preprint: Risk-sensitive investment in a market with animal spirits. (arXiv:1407.5278v1 [q-fin.PM])

Posted: 21 Jul 2014 05:39 PM PDT

A new jump diffusion regime-switching model is introduced, which allows for linking jumps in asset prices with regime changes. We prove the existence and uniqueness of the solution to the risk-sensitive asset management criterion maximisation problem in this setting. We provide an ODE for the optimal value function, which may be efficiently solved numerically. Relevant probability measure changes...

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Published / Preprint: The dynamics of the leverage cycle. (arXiv:1407.5305v1 [q-fin.EC])

Posted: 21 Jul 2014 05:39 PM PDT

We present a simple agent-based model of a financial system composed of leveraged investors such as banks that invest in stocks and manage their risk using a Value-at-Risk constraint, based on historical observations of asset prices. The Value-at-Risk constraint implies that when perceived risk is low, leverage is high and vice versa, a phenomenon that has been dubbed pro-cyclical leverage. We...

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Published / Preprint: Rockets and feathers meet Joseph: Reinvestigating the oil-gasoline asymmetry on the international markets. (arXiv:1407.5466v1 [q-fin.ST])

Posted: 21 Jul 2014 05:39 PM PDT

We reinvestigate the "rockets and feathers" effect between retail gasoline and crude oil prices in a new framework of fractional integration, long-term memory and borderline (non-)stationarity. The most frequently used error-correction model is examined in detail and we find that the prices return to their equilibrium value much more slowly than would be typical for the error-correction model....

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Published / Preprint: Arbitrage-free prediction of the implied volatility smile. (arXiv:1407.5528v1 [q-fin.PR])

Posted: 21 Jul 2014 05:39 PM PDT

This paper gives an arbitrage-free prediction for future prices of an arbitrary co-terminal set of options with a given maturity, based on the observed time series of these option prices. The statistical analysis of such a multi-dimensional time series of option prices corresponding to $n$ strikes (with $n$ large, e.g. $n\geq 40$) and the same maturity, is a difficult task due to the fact...

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Blog Post: iMFdirect: Asia's Seismic Shift: How Can the Financial Sector Serve Better?

Posted: 21 Jul 2014 11:08 AM PDT

By Min Zhuread more...

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