Sunday, December 21, 2014

MoneyScience News

MoneyScience News


Blog Post: PatrickBurns: US market portrait 2014 week 51

Posted: 20 Dec 2014 03:35 AM PST

US large cap market returns. read more...

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Published / Preprint: 19Dec/Review of the trading book: consultative document on remaining issues published by the Basel Committee

Posted: 19 Dec 2014 05:26 AM PST

Press release about the Basel Committee issuing consultative document on remaining issues related to its review of the trading book (19 December 2014).

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Video - Marco Avellaneda: "The Era Of The Pure Quant Is Over" - MoneyScience's blog - MoneyScience

Posted: 19 Dec 2014 05:03 AM PST

Popular MoneyScience 2014: Video - Marco Avellaneda: "The Era Of The Pure #Quant Is Over" http://t.co/K6kdjZqUWD — moneyscience (@moneyscience) December 19,…

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Victor Ricciardi talks about his book Investor Behavior: The Psychology of Financial Planning and Investing - MoneyScience's blog - MoneyScience

Posted: 19 Dec 2014 04:30 AM PST

Popular MoneyScience 2014: Victor Ricciardi on Investor Behavior: The Psychology of Financial Planning and Investing -http://t.co/Er4jv4v5rV — moneyscience…

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Interview with Cyril Demaria, author of Introduction to Private Equity: Venture, Growth, LBO and Turn-Around Capital, 2nd Edition - MoneyScience's blog - MoneyScience

Posted: 19 Dec 2014 04:30 AM PST

Popular MoneyScience 2014: Cyril Demaria on Private Equity: Venture, Growth, LBO and Turn-Around Capital - http://t.co/MGJUtAkdvj — moneyscience…

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MoneyScience interviews Ciby Joseph, author of Advanced Credit Risk Analysis and Management - MoneyScience's blog - MoneyScience

Posted: 19 Dec 2014 04:30 AM PST

Popular MoneyScience 2014: Ciby Joseph on Advanced Credit #Risk Analysis and Management - http://t.co/rxChHKsFbT — moneyscience (@moneyscience) December 19,…

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http://t.co/iFLpKXLmcJ

Posted: 19 Dec 2014 04:29 AM PST

Popular MoneyScience 2014: Jon Gregory on Central Counterparties & OTC #Derivatives http://t.co/iFLpKXLmcJ — moneyscience (@moneyscience) December 19, 2014

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Season's Greetings from the Team at MoneyScience

Posted: 19 Dec 2014 03:40 AM PST



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Blog Post: TheFinancialServicesClub: Things worth reading: 19th December 2014

Posted: 19 Dec 2014 02:37 AM PST

Things we're reading today include ...read more...

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Vendor News: December 19, 2014 - SS&C GlobeOp Forward Redemption Indicator: December notifications 5.87%

Posted: 19 Dec 2014 01:31 AM PST

Published / Preprint: Numerical pricing of American options under two stochastic factor models with jumps using a meshless local Petrov-Galerkin method. (arXiv:1412.6064v1 [cs.CE])

Posted: 18 Dec 2014 05:37 PM PST

The most recent update of financial option models is American options under stochastic volatility models with jumps in returns (SVJ) and stochastic volatility models with jumps in returns and volatility (SVCJ). To evaluate these options, mesh-based methods are applied in a number of papers but it is well-known that these methods depend strongly on the mesh properties which is the major...

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Blog Post: ThePracticalQuant: Clustering bitcoin accounts using heuristics

Posted: 18 Dec 2014 03:07 PM PST

Subscribe to the O’Reilly Data Show Podcastread more...

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Published / Preprint: TUGâOFâWAR, MARKET MANIPULATION, AND OPTION PRICING

Posted: 18 Dec 2014 12:37 PM PST

We develop an option pricing model based on a tug‐of‐war game. This two‐player zero‐sum stochastic differential game is formulated in the context of a multidimensional financial market. The issuer and the holder try to manipulate asset price processes in order to minimize and maximize the expected discounted reward. We prove that the game has a value and that the value function is the...

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Published / Preprint: NOâARBITRAGE IN A NUMÃRAIREâINDEPENDENT MODELING FRAMEWORK

Posted: 18 Dec 2014 12:37 PM PST

The classic approach to modeling financial markets consists of four steps. First, one fixes a currency unit. Second, one describes in that unit the evolution of financial assets by a stochastic process. Third, one chooses in that unit a numéraire, usually the price process of a positive asset. Fourth, one divides the original price process by the numéraire and considers the class of admissible...

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Published / Preprint: REAL OPTIONS WITH COMPETITION AND REGIME SWITCHING

Posted: 18 Dec 2014 12:37 PM PST

In this paper, we examine irreversible investment decisions in duopoly games with a variable economic climate. Integrating timing flexibility, competition, and changes in the economic environment in the form of a cash flow process with regime switching, the problem is formulated as a stopping‐time game under Stackelberg leader‐follower competition, in which both players determine their...

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Why Are Commodity Prices Falling?

Posted: 18 Dec 2014 09:07 AM PST

Why Are Commodity Prices Falling? by Jeffrey Frankel - @prosyn http://t.co/c1H36bvuF8 — moneyscience (@moneyscience) December 18, 2014

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Move over Monopoly: Market Meltdown game is the hit with Chelsea bankers

Posted: 18 Dec 2014 05:39 AM PST

John Lewis reports strong sales of 'Market Meltdown' Board Game in which players start rich & try to stay solvent http://t.co/SUEUEeqtI8 — moneyscience…

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Bankers See $1 Trillion of Investments Stranded in the Oil Fields

Posted: 18 Dec 2014 02:44 AM PST

Goldman Sachs estimates almost $1 trillion in investments in future #oil projects at risk http://t.co/bAoGOoFm85 — Pedro da Costa (@pdacosta) December 18,…

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Economists Say Newest AI Technology Destroys More Jobs Than It Creates - Slashdot

Posted: 18 Dec 2014 02:28 AM PST

Economists Say Newest AI Technology Destroys More Jobs Than It Creates http://t.co/zmiofwhzdP — moneyscience (@moneyscience) December 18, 2014

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Corning Bets It Can Reinvent Glass Again | MIT Technology Review

Posted: 18 Dec 2014 02:13 AM PST

Founded in 1851, Glassmaker Corning spends about 8% of its sales on R&D & they have some interesting apps in dev http://t.co/goaym5waVF — moneyscience…

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Published / Preprint: Efficient XVA Management: Computation, Hedging, and Attribution using Trade-Level Regression and Global Conditioning. (arXiv:1412.5332v1 [q-fin.CP])

Posted: 17 Dec 2014 05:37 PM PST

Banks must manage the lifetime costs of XVA, i.e. credit (CVA), funding (including funding of initial margins, FVA and MVA), capital (KVA) and tax (TVA). Management includes hedging (requiring first- and second-order sensitivities), attribution (and re-attribution), and incremental changes together with their interactions. Incremental management is required throughout the trading day for multiple...

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Published / Preprint: A comparative analysis of the UK and Italian small businesses using Generalised Extreme Value models. (arXiv:1412.5351v1 [stat.AP])

Posted: 17 Dec 2014 05:37 PM PST

This paper presents a cross-country comparison of significant predictors of small business failure between Italy and the UK. Financial measures of profitability, leverage, coverage, liquidity, scale and non-financial information are explored, some commonalities and differences are highlighted. Several models are considered, starting with the logis- tic regression which is a standard approach in...

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Published / Preprint: Comprehensive Time-Series Regression Models Using GRETL---U.S. GDP and Government Consumption Expenditures & Gross Investment from 1980 to 2013. (arXiv:1412.5397v1 [q-fin.EC])

Posted: 17 Dec 2014 05:37 PM PST

Using Gretl, I apply ARMA, Vector ARMA, VAR, state-space model with a Kalman filter, transfer-function and intervention models, unit root tests, cointegration test, volatility models (ARCH, GARCH, ARCH-M, GARCH-M, Taylor-Schwert GARCH, GJR, TARCH, NARCH, APARCH, EGARCH) to analyze quarterly time series of GDP and Government Consumption Expenditures & Gross Investment from 1980 to 2013. The...

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Published / Preprint: Aggregation operators for the measurement of systemic risk. (arXiv:1412.5452v1 [q-fin.GN])

Posted: 17 Dec 2014 05:37 PM PST

The policy objective of safeguarding financial stability has stimulated a wave of research on systemic risk analytics, yet it still faces challenges in measurability. This paper models systemic risk by tapping into expert knowledge of financial supervisors. The model builds on the decomposition of systemic risk into a number of interconnected segments, for which the level of vulnerability is...

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Published / Preprint: Backtest of Trading Systems on Candle Charts. (arXiv:1412.5558v1 [q-fin.TR])

Posted: 17 Dec 2014 05:37 PM PST

In this paper we try to design the necessary calculation needed for backtesting trading systems when only candle chart data are available. We lay particular emphasis on situations which are not or not uniquely decidable and give possible strategies to handle such situations.

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