Tuesday, March 3, 2015

MoneyScience News

MoneyScience News


Blog Post: TheFinancialServicesClub: Things worth reading: 3rd March 2015

Posted: 02 Mar 2015 09:56 PM PST

Things we're reading today include ...read more...

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Published / Preprint: Error analysis in Fourier methods for option pricing. (arXiv:1503.00019v1 [q-fin.PR])

Posted: 02 Mar 2015 05:46 PM PST

We provide a bound for the error committed when using a Fourier method to price European options when the underlying follows an exponential \levy dynamic. The price of the option is described by a partial integro-differential equation (PIDE). Applying a Fourier transformation to the PIDE yields an ordinary differential equation that can be solved analytically in terms of the characteristic...

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Published / Preprint: Metabolic paths in world economy and crude oil price. (arXiv:1503.00127v1 [physics.soc-ph])

Posted: 02 Mar 2015 05:46 PM PST

In 1983 Hamilton demonstrated the correlation between the price of oil and gross national product for the U.S. economy. A prolific literature followed exploring the potential correlation of oil prices with other important indices like inflation, industrial production, and food prices, using increasingly refined tools. Our work sheds new light on the role of oil prices in shaping the world economy...

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Published / Preprint: State and group dynamics of world stock market by principal component analysis. (arXiv:1503.00421v1 [physics.soc-ph])

Posted: 02 Mar 2015 05:46 PM PST

We study the dynamic interactions and structural changes in global financial indices in the years 1998-2012. We apply a principal component analysis (PCA) to cross-correlation coefficients of the stock indices. We calculate the correlations between principal components (PCs) and each asset, known as PC coefficients. A change in market state is identified as a change in the first PC coefficients....

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Published / Preprint: Diversity waves in collapse-driven population dynamics. (arXiv:1503.00529v1 [q-bio.PE])

Posted: 02 Mar 2015 05:46 PM PST

Populations of species in ecosystems are constrained by the availability of resources within their environment. In effect this means that a growth of one population, needs to be balanced by the reduction in size of others. In neutral models of biodiversity all populations are assumed to change incrementally due to stochastic births and deaths of individuals. Here we propose and model another...

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Published / Preprint: Stability and Hierarchy of Quasi-Stationary States: Financial Markets as an Example. (arXiv:1503.00556v1 [q-fin.ST])

Posted: 02 Mar 2015 05:46 PM PST

We combine geometric data analysis and stochastic modeling to describe the collective dynamics of complex systems. As an example we apply this approach to financial data and focus on the non-stationarity of the market correlation structure. We identify the dominating variable and extract its explicit stochastic model. This allows us to establish a connection between its time evolution and known...

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Published / Preprint: Leveraging the network: a stress-test framework based on DebtRank. (arXiv:1503.00621v1 [q-fin.RM])

Posted: 02 Mar 2015 05:46 PM PST

We develop a novel stress-test framework to monitor systemic risk in financial systems. The modular structure of the framework allows to accommodate for a variety of shock scenarios, methods to estimate interbank exposures and mechanisms of distress propagation. The main features are as follows. First, the framework allows to estimate and disentangle not only first-round effects (i.e. shock on...

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Interview with Thammarak Moenjak author of Central Banking: Theory and Practice in Sustaining Monetary and Financial Stability

Posted: 02 Mar 2015 12:17 PM PST

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Blog Post: iMFdirect: Down But Not Out

Posted: 02 Mar 2015 08:57 AM PST

By Jeff Haydenread more...

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Blog Post: WealthandCapitalMarketsBlog: Data and Transformations in the European Fixed Income Markets

Posted: 02 Mar 2015 08:36 AM PST

The 2015 AFME European Market Liquidity Conference saw two important Keynote speakers with Martin Wheatley and Andrew Hauser but for me the most interesting discussions were around the common leveraging of data to provide greater liquidity to the Fixed Income (FI) Markets and to analyse and optimise Transaction Cost Analysis (TCA). The ongoing discussion for the requirement for E-Trading...

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Warren Buffett's Letter Is Out

Posted: 02 Mar 2015 03:31 AM PST

Warren Buffett's Letter Is Out http://t.co/mEiOkvIXms — John Lothian (@JohnLothian) March 2, 2015

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