Tuesday, March 19, 2013

MoneyScience News

MoneyScience News


Published / Preprint: Informed Trading through the Accounts of Children

Posted: 19 Mar 2013 03:41 AM PDT

This study shows that the guardians behind underaged accounts are successful at picking stocks. Moreover, they tend to channel their best trades through the accounts of children, especially when they trade just before major earnings announcements, large price changes, and takeover announcements. Building on these results, we argue that the proportion of total trading activity through underaged...

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Published / Preprint: The Real Effects of Financial Shocks: Evidence from Exogenous Changes in Analyst Coverage

Posted: 19 Mar 2013 03:41 AM PDT

We study the causal effects of analyst coverage on corporate investment and financing policies. We hypothesize that a decrease in analyst coverage increases information asymmetry and thus increases the cost of capital; as a result, firms decrease their investment and financing. We use broker closures and broker mergers to identify changes in analyst coverage that are exogenous to corporate...

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Published / Preprint: International Stock Return Predictability: What is the Role of the United States?

Posted: 19 Mar 2013 03:41 AM PDT

We investigate lead-lag relationships among monthly country stock returns and identify a leading role for the U.S.: lagged U.S. returns significantly predict returns in numerous non-U.S. industrialized countries, while lagged non-U.S. returns display limited predictive ability with respect to U.S. returns. We estimate a news-diffusion model, and the results indicate that return shocks arising in...

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Published / Preprint: Law, Stock Markets, and Innovation

Posted: 19 Mar 2013 03:41 AM PDT

We study a broad sample of firms across 32 countries and find that strong shareholder protections and better access to stock market financing lead to substantially higher long-run rates of R&D investment, particularly in small firms, but are unimportant for fixed capital investment. Credit market development has a modest impact on fixed investment but no impact on R&D. These findings connect law...

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Blog Post: TheFinancialServicesClub: Banks are just data vaults

Posted: 19 Mar 2013 03:08 AM PDT

There have been several themes I’ve explored on the blog lately that are the foundations of my latest presentations:read more...

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Published / Preprint: 19Mar/Basel III monitoring results published by the Basel Committee

Posted: 19 Mar 2013 03:06 AM PDT

Press release about "Basel III monitoring results published by the Basel Committee" (19 March 2013)

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Published / Preprint: Mutual Fund Performance and the Incentive to Generate Alpha

Posted: 19 Mar 2013 03:03 AM PDT

To rationalize the well-known underperformance of the average actively managed mutual fund, we exploit the fact that retail funds in different market segments compete for different types of investors. Within the segment of funds marketed directly to retail investors, we show that flows chase risk-adjusted returns, and that funds respond by investing more in active management. Importantly, within...

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Published / Preprint: The Business Cycle, Investor Sentiment, and Costly External Finance

Posted: 19 Mar 2013 03:03 AM PDT

The recent financial crisis shows that financial markets can impact the real economy. We investigate whether access to finance typically time-varies and if so, what are the real effects. Consistent with time-varying external finance costs, both investment and employment are less sensitive to Tobin's q and more sensitive to cash flow during recessions and low investor sentiment periods. Share...

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Published / Preprint: Opening the Black Box: Internal Capital Markets and Managerial Power

Posted: 19 Mar 2013 03:03 AM PDT

We analyze the internal capital markets of a multinational conglomerate, using a unique panel data set of planned and actual allocations to business units and a survey of unit CEOs. Following cash windfalls, more powerful managers obtain larger allocations and increase investment substantially more than their less connected peers. We identify cash windfalls as a source of misallocation of...

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Published / Preprint: Cheap Credit, Lending Operations, and International Politics: The Case of Global Microfinance

Posted: 19 Mar 2013 03:03 AM PDT

The provision of subsidized credit to financial institutions is an important and frequently used policy tool of governments and central banks. To assess its effectiveness, we exploit changes in international bilateral political relationships that generate shocks to the cost of financing for microfinance institutions (MFIs). MFIs that experience politically driven reductions in total borrowing...

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Published / Preprint: The Determinants of Attitudes towards Strategic Default on Mortgages

Posted: 19 Mar 2013 03:03 AM PDT

We use survey data to measure households’ propensity to default on mortgages even if they can afford to pay them (strategic default) when the value of the mortgage exceeds the value of the house. The willingness to default increases in both the absolute and the relative size of the home-equity shortfall. Our evidence suggests that this willingness is affected by both pecuniary and non-pecuniary...

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Blog Post: TheAlephBlog: On the CFA Institute's âFuture of Financeâ

Posted: 18 Mar 2013 10:51 PM PDT

All hail the CFA Institute.  They are trying to inject more ethics into the market through their “Future of Finance” initiative.  I largely agree, but think they are overly optimistic in some areas.read more...

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Published / Preprint: A liability tracking approach to long term management of pension funds. (arXiv:1303.3956v1 [q-fin.PM])

Posted: 18 Mar 2013 06:45 PM PDT

We propose a long term portfolio management method which takes into account a liability. Our approach is based on the LQG (Linear, Quadratic cost, Gaussian) control problem framework and then the optimal portfolio strategy hedges the liability by directly tracking a benchmark process which represents the liability. Two numerical results using empirical data published by Japanese organizations are...

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Published / Preprint: Instantaneous mean-variance hedging and instantaneous Sharpe ratio pricing in a regime-switching financial model, with applications to equity-linked claims. (arXiv:1303.4082v1 [q-fin.PR])

Posted: 18 Mar 2013 06:45 PM PDT

We study hedging and pricing of unattainable contingent claims in a non-Markovian regime-switching financial model. Our financial market consists of a bank account and a risky asset whose dynamics are driven by a Brownian motion and a multivariate counting process with stochastic intensities. The interest rate, drift, volatility and intensities fluctuate over time and, in particular, they depend...

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Published / Preprint: The Small-Maturity Heston Forward Smile. (arXiv:1303.4268v1 [q-fin.PR])

Posted: 18 Mar 2013 06:45 PM PDT

In this paper we investigate the asymptotics of forward-start options and the forward implied volatility smile in the Heston model as the maturity approaches zero. We prove that the forward smile for out-of-the-money options explodes and compute a closed-form high-order expansion detailing the rate of the explosion. Furthermore the result shows that the square-root behaviour of the...

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Published / Preprint: A note on pricing of contingent claims under G-expectation. (arXiv:1303.4274v1 [math.PR])

Posted: 18 Mar 2013 06:45 PM PDT

In this paper, we study the pricing of contingent claims under G-expectation. In order to accomodate volatility uncertainty, the price of the risky security is supposed to governed by a general linear stochastic differential equation (SDE) driven by G-Brownian motion. Utilizing the recently developed results of Backward SDE driven by G-Brownian motion, we obtain the superhedging and suberhedging...

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Published / Preprint: Reinvestigating the Uncovered Interest Rate Parity Puzzle via Analysis of Multivariate Tail Dependence in Currency Carry Trades. (arXiv:1303.4314v1 [q-fin.ST])

Posted: 18 Mar 2013 06:45 PM PDT

The currency carry trade is the investment strategy that involves selling low interest rate currencies in order to purchase higher interest rate currencies, thus profiting from the interest rate differentials. This is a well known financial puzzle to explain, since assuming foreign exchange risk is uninhibited and the markets have rational risk-neutral investors, then one would not expect profits...

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Published / Preprint: Are random trading strategies more successful than technical ones?. (arXiv:1303.4351v1 [q-fin.ST])

Posted: 18 Mar 2013 06:45 PM PDT

In this paper we explore the specific role of randomness in financial markets, inspired by the beneficial role of noise in many physical systems and in previous applications to complex socio- economic systems. After a short introduction, we study the performance of some of the most used trading strategies in predicting the dynamics of financial markets for different international stock exchange...

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Blog Post: Falkenblog: When Smiling is Beta

Posted: 18 Mar 2013 06:37 PM PDT

After amateur wrestling, my favorite sport is MMA and last weekend's bouts were pretty good (winner Georges St. Pierre's face looked pretty beat up). It's good to know the scientists are mining it for data on the human condition. Chimpanzees smile to show submission to higher status males, and it seems we aren't so different. Some psychologists looked at 76 snapshots of fighters in their...

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Research Library: The New Investor

Posted: 18 Mar 2013 09:48 AM PDT

Tom C. W. Lin University of Florida - Fredric G. Levin College of Law Abstract A sea change is happening in finance. Machines appear to be on the rise and humans on the decline. Human endeavors have become unmanned endeavors. Human thought and human deliberation have been replaced by computerized analysis and mathematical models. Technological advances have made finance faster, larger, more...

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Research Library: Cyclic Game Dynamics Driven by Iterated Reasoning

Posted: 18 Mar 2013 09:07 AM PDT

Published in PLOS One: Seth Frey, Robert L. Goldstone Abstract Recent theories from complexity science argue that complex dynamics are ubiquitous in social and economic systems. These claims emerge from the analysis of individually simple agents whose collective behavior is surprisingly complicated. However, economists have argued that iterated reasoning–what you think I think...

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Call for Papers: Conference on Currency Trading and Risk Premia - Oxford Man Institute of #Quant Finance @OxManInst http://t.co/1T1lMioi

Posted: 24 Oct 2012 05:48 AM PDT

moneyscience: Call for Papers: Conference on Currency Trading and Risk Premia - Oxford Man Institute of #Quant Finance @OxManInst http://t.co/1T1lMioi

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Wiley Finance Newsletter - October

Posted: 24 Oct 2012 03:29 AM PDT

Finance & Investingread more...

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Wiley Finance Newsletter - September

Posted: 21 Sep 2012 04:50 AM PDT

Counterparty Credit Risk read more...

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Henley Business School welcomes Her Majesty the Queen for three-county Diamond Jubilee Garden Party

Posted: 19 Sep 2012 07:44 AM PDT

Henley Business School at the University of Reading was delighted to welcome Her Majesty The Queen and His Royal Highness The Duke of Edinburgh for a summer garden party on Monday 25 June.....

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Free Journal Articles from the Journal of Banking Regulation

Posted: 05 Sep 2012 12:14 PM PDT

Palgrave Macmillan and the editorial team on the Journal of Banking Regulation have selected this set of papers from the archive of the journal to give a representative sample of the best of our content.read more...

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Cass Knowledge Newsletter - June 2012

Posted: 04 Jul 2012 05:05 AM PDT

Welcome to the June edition of the Cass Knowledge newsletter. This month’s newsletter will highlight key articles from the past month. Topics covered include knowledge acquisition in investment banking and the use of images to shape a consumers reaction to really new products (RNPs). There is also more information on an upcoming event that all Cass Knowledge subscribers are invited to,...

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International Product Development Management conference

Posted: 12 Jun 2012 08:55 AM PDT

Call for contributed talks "Economics on the Move: Trends and Challenges from the Natural Sciences"

Posted: 07 Jun 2012 03:24 AM PDT

ETH Zurich, partner of the Forecasting Financial Crises project, is calling for contributed talks to the Latsis Symposium 2012 “Economics on the Move: Trends and Challenges from the Natural Sciences“, a high-level conference that will be held from 12 to 14 September 2012 at ETH Zurich, Switzerland.read more...

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Call for Papers: Complex 2012: 2nd International ICST Conference on Complex Sciences: Theory and Applications

Posted: 03 May 2012 06:42 AM PDT

Call for Papersread more...

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Wiley-Blackwell Finance Newsletter - April

Posted: 24 Apr 2012 02:50 AM PDT

  Wiley-Blackwell Finance Newsletter:   Trading   Welcome to the Wiley-Blackwell Finance Newsletter. In this edition, we're offering you FREE access to the latest research on Trading. Wiley-Blackwell publishes some of the most widely read, frequently cited, and highly-ranked journals in the ISI's Business Finance category. Read the studies below, and find out...

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Wiley Finance Newsletter March: Successfully Navigate The Post-Reform World

Posted: 19 Mar 2012 06:22 AM PDT

Successfully Navigate The Post-Reform Worldread more...

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Banks Team Up to Cut Technology Spending Burden

Posted: 13 Mar 2012 09:54 AM PDT

Investment banks are beginning to share development costs for back office and regulatory compliance systems.read more...

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Call for Abstract: ECCS '12 Satellite Meeting: Data-Driven Modeling of Contagion Processes

Posted: 05 Mar 2012 03:07 AM PST

IMPORTANT DATES read more...

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WIley Finance 2012 Risk and Quantitative Finance Catalogue

Posted: 29 Feb 2012 08:31 AM PST

Save 20% on Risk and Quant finance books on financial modelling, quantitative finance, financial engineering, market credit and operational risk management.read more...

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Award-Winning Finance Professor Helyette Geman Named Special Advisor to Commodity Talent LLC

Posted: 07 Feb 2012 02:51 AM PST

Helyette Geman, award-winning commodity finance professor and advisor to governments and some of the largest financial service companies and commodity firms, has been named Special Advisor to Commodity Talent LLC, the New York-based global executive recruitment firm announced today.read more...

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Wiley Finance Newsletter January: Making the Numbers Work

Posted: 27 Jan 2012 02:51 AM PST

Investment Insight From Experts In The Fieldread more...

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David Einhorn, the man who shorted Lehman, fined for insider dealing

Posted: 25 Jan 2012 10:35 PM PST

Dominic Rushe writes in The Guardian:read more...

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Call for Papers - Quantitative Finance - Special Issue on âCommoditiesâ

Posted: 24 Jan 2012 09:09 AM PST

Proposals are invited for a special issue of Quantitative Finance on the theme of Commodity Markets to be published in 2012.read more...

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Call For Papers: Journal of Financial Stability Focus Issue on "Financial Innovation, Regulation and Stability after the Transatlantic Financial Crisis"

Posted: 20 Jan 2012 02:44 PM PST

Issue Editor: Professor Thorsten Beck, CentER and European Banking Center Tilburg University and CEPR, The Netherlands We would like to invite papers that address - theoretically or empirically - the topic of financial innovation, regulation and stability after the recent Transatlantic Financial Crisis. Specifically, we are looking for papers addressing the following or similar ...

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Call for Applications - Harvard University - Edmond J. Safra Lab Fellowships and Projects - Institutional Corruption - Closing Date Feb 1, 2012

Posted: 20 Jan 2012 10:59 AM PST

Come help us advance our work on institutional corruption. The Edmond J. Safra Center for Ethics at Harvard University invites scholars, practitioners, innovators and others committed to understanding and remedying institutional corruption to submit proposals to join our community. BACKGROUND: The Edmond J. Safra Research Lab is currently in the third year of a five-year project on...

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Enjoy FREE ACCESS to the most downloaded articles from selected Economics and Finance journals!

Posted: 19 Jan 2012 08:05 AM PST

Simply click on your area of interest below to access today:read more...

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Marriage of two fund managers Man Group and GLG admits impediments

Posted: 18 Jan 2012 01:16 PM PST

Via Nils Pratley writes in The Guardian:read more...

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