Thursday, January 16, 2014

MoneyScience News

MoneyScience News


Blog Post: TheAlephBlog: Avoid Selling Stocks When You Are Old, Maybe?

Posted: 15 Jan 2014 09:48 PM PST

The Wall Street Journal recent had an article, What You Know About Retirement Investing Is Wrong, where it recommended that elderly people invest more in stocks as they get older.  I think the advice is wrong, unless you understand it this way:read more...

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Published / Preprint: Risk aggregation and stochastic claims reserving in disability insurance. (arXiv:1401.3589v1 [q-fin.RM])

Posted: 15 Jan 2014 05:38 PM PST

We consider a large, homogeneous portfolio of life or disability annuity policies. The policies are assumed to be independent conditional on an external stochastic process representing the economic-demographic environment. Using a conditional law of large numbers, we establish the connection between claims reserving and risk aggregation for large portfolios. Further, we derive a partial...

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Gain financial insight and get the most from your investments, with Wileyâs "Little Book, Big Profits" series.

Posted: 15 Jan 2014 11:49 AM PST

Gain Financial Insight and Get the Most from Your Investmentsread more...

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Vendor News: January 15, 2014 - SS&C Technologies Fourth Quarter and 2013 Earnings Release Notice

Posted: 15 Jan 2014 08:12 AM PST

Published / Preprint: 15Jan/Risk management guidelines related to anti-money laundering and terrorist financing issued by the Basel Committee

Posted: 15 Jan 2014 08:08 AM PST

Press release about the Basel Committee issuing risk management guidelines related to anti-money laundering and terrorist financing (15 January 2014)

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Blog Post: TheFinancialServicesClub: Are digital banks losing sight of the customer?

Posted: 15 Jan 2014 06:09 AM PST

In a discussion of the future bank, it appears that we all talk about digital being the focal point.  Even though my new book is called that, it’s the wrong focal point however.read more...

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Published / Preprint: Procyclical Leverage and Value-at-Risk

Posted: 15 Jan 2014 05:57 AM PST

The availability of credit varies over the business cycle through shifts in the leverage of financial intermediaries. Empirically, we find that intermediary leverage is negatively aligned with the banks' Value-at-Risk (VaR). Motivated by the evidence, we explore a contracting model that captures the observed features. Under general conditions on the outcome distribution given by extreme value...

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Published / Preprint: Why Did Holdings of Highly Rated Securitization Tranches Differ So Much across Banks?

Posted: 15 Jan 2014 05:57 AM PST

We provide estimates of holdings of highly rated securitization tranches of U.S. bank holding companies before the credit crisis and evaluate hypotheses that have been advanced to explain them. Whereas holdings exceeded Tier 1 capital for some large banks, they were economically trivial for the typical bank. Banks with high holdings were not riskier before the crisis using conventional measures,...

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Published / Preprint: Securitization and Loan Performance: Ex Ante and Ex Post Relations in the Mortgage Market

Posted: 15 Jan 2014 05:57 AM PST

This study examines the relation between securitization and loan performance using a comprehensive dataset from a major national mortgage lender. Loans remaining on the bank's balance sheet ex post incurred higher delinquency rates than sold loans, contrasting the negative relation between screening efforts and ex ante probability of loan sale explored by prior studies. Moreover, the performance...

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Published / Preprint: The Economics of Solicited and Unsolicited Credit Ratings

Posted: 15 Jan 2014 05:57 AM PST

This paper develops a dynamic rational expectations model of the credit rating process, incorporating three critical elements of this industry: (1) the rating agencies' ability to misreport the issuer's credit quality, (2) their ability to issue unsolicited ratings, and (3) their reputational concerns. We analyze the incentives of credit rating agencies to issue unsolicited credit ratings and the...

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Published / Preprint: When There Is No Place to Hide: Correlation Risk and the Cross-Section of Hedge Fund Returns

Posted: 15 Jan 2014 05:57 AM PST

Using a novel data set on correlation swaps, we study the relation between correlation risk, hedge fund characteristics, and their risk-return profile. We find that the ability of hedge funds to create market-neutral returns is often associated with a significant exposure to correlation risk, which helps to explain the large abnormal returns found in previous models. We also estimate a...

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Published / Preprint: Common Errors: How to (and Not to) Control for Unobserved Heterogeneity

Posted: 15 Jan 2014 05:57 AM PST

Controlling for unobserved heterogeneity (or "common errors"), such as industry-specific shocks, is a fundamental challenge in empirical research.This paper discusses the limitations of two approaches widely used in corporate finance and asset pricing research: demeaning the dependent variable with respect to the group (e.g., "industry-adjusting") and adding the mean of the group's dependent...

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Special offers from www.wileyWILMOTT.com

Posted: 15 Jan 2014 05:44 AM PST

Wileyread more...

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Blog Post: rob_daly: Kevinonthestreet: FX Futures Volume Set to Rise

Posted: 15 Jan 2014 04:54 AM PST

Kevinonthestreet: FX Futures Volume Set to Riseread more...

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