Friday, April 24, 2015

MoneyScience News

MoneyScience News


Blog Post: TheAlephBlog: 2000 More Points To Go; Look Elsewhere!

Posted: 24 Apr 2015 12:07 AM PDT

15 years is a long time to wait for a 1%/yr returnread more...

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Blog Post: ThePracticalQuant: Coming full circle with Bigtable and HBase

Posted: 23 Apr 2015 06:46 PM PDT

Subscribe to the O’Reilly Data Show Podcastread more...

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Blog Post: WealthandCapitalMarketsBlog: Climbing the Advice Value Chain: Why the Orion-Jemstep Tie-Up Makes Sense

Posted: 23 Apr 2015 06:18 PM PDT

In my last post I talked about the blending of real life and automated advice, and the benefits a hybridized model offer the advisor. Here I discuss the synergies that inform the partnership between portfolio reporting system provider Orion Advisor Services and automated investments advisor Jemstep.read more...

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Published / Preprint: Optimal Portfolio Liquidation in Target Zone Models and Catalytic Superprocesses. (arXiv:1504.06031v1 [q-fin.PM])

Posted: 23 Apr 2015 05:37 PM PDT

We study optimal buying and selling strategies in target zone models. In these models the price is modeled by a diffusion process which is reflected at one or more barriers. Such models arise for example when a currency exchange rate is kept above a certain threshold due to central bank intervention. We consider the optimal portfolio liquidation problem for an investor for whom prices are optimal...

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Published / Preprint: Reflected BSDEs when the obstacle is not right-continuous and optimal stopping. (arXiv:1504.06094v1 [math.PR])

Posted: 23 Apr 2015 05:37 PM PDT

In the first part of the paper, we study reflected backward stochastic differential equations (RBSDEs) with lower obstacle which is assumed to be right upper-semicontinuous but not necessarily right-continuous. We prove existence and uniqueness of the solutions to such RBSDEs in appropriate Banach spaces. The result is established by using some tools from the general theory of processes such as...

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Published / Preprint: Lead-Lag Relationship using a Stop-and-Reverse-MinMax Process. (arXiv:1504.06235v1 [q-fin.ST])

Posted: 23 Apr 2015 05:37 PM PDT

The intermarket analysis, in particular the lead-lag relationship, plays an important role within financial markets. Therefore a mathematical approach to be able to find interrelations between the price development of two different financial underlyings is developed in this paper. Computing the differences of the relative positions of relevant local extrema of two charts, i.e., the local phase...

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Vendor News: April 23, 2015 - SS&C Technologies Holdings, Inc. Receives Request for Additional Information From DOJ

Posted: 23 Apr 2015 01:18 PM PDT

Blog Post: iMFdirect: Spring Meetings Redux!

Posted: 23 Apr 2015 07:07 AM PDT

By Sabina Bhatiaread more...

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Vendor News: Fidessa Named Best Sell-Side Front-Office Execution Platform

Posted: 23 Apr 2015 01:47 AM PDT

Published / Preprint: Noise Robust Online Inference for Linear Dynamic Systems. (arXiv:1504.05723v1 [stat.CO])

Posted: 22 Apr 2015 05:38 PM PDT

We revisit the Bayesian online inference problems for the linear dynamic systems (LDS) under non- Gaussian environment. The noises can naturally be non-Gaussian (skewed and/or heavy tailed) or to accommodate spurious observations, noises can be modeled as heavy tailed. However, at the cost of such noise robustness, the performance may degrade when such spurious observations are absent. Therefore,...

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Published / Preprint: Agent-based mapping of credit risk for sustainable microfinance. (arXiv:1504.05737v1 [q-fin.RM])

Posted: 22 Apr 2015 05:38 PM PDT

Inspired by recent ideas on how the analysis of complex financial risks can benefit from analogies with independent research areas, we propose an unorthodox framework for mapping microfinance credit risk---a major obstacle to the sustainability of lenders outreaching to the poor. Specifically, using the elements of network theory, we constructed an agent-based model that obeys the stylised rules...

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Published / Preprint: SMC-ABC methods for the estimation of stochastic simulation models of the limit order book. (arXiv:1504.05806v1 [q-fin.CP])

Posted: 22 Apr 2015 05:38 PM PDT

In this paper we consider classes of models that have been recently developed for quantitative finance that involve modelling a highly complex multivariate, multi-attribute stochastic process known as the Limit Order Book (LOB). The LOB is the primary data structure recorded each day intra-daily for all assets on every electronic exchange in the world in which trading takes place. As such, it...

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Published / Preprint: A Study of Correlations in the Stock Market. (arXiv:1504.05844v1 [q-fin.ST])

Posted: 22 Apr 2015 05:37 PM PDT

We study the various sectors of the Bombay Stock Exchange(BSE) for a period of 8 years from April 2006 - March 2014. Using the data of daily returns of a period of eight years we make a direct model free analysis of the pattern of the sectorial indices movement and the correlations among them. Our analysis shows significant auto correlation among the individual sectors and also...

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Guy Trading at Home Caused the Flash Crash

Posted: 22 Apr 2015 08:10 AM PDT

Nice in depth analysis on Sarao and the #flashcrash at Bloomberg http://t.co/afsbx8sCwr — moneyscience (@moneyscience) April 22, 2015

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UK 'flash crash' trader appears in court - BBC News

Posted: 22 Apr 2015 07:54 AM PDT

Sarao in court: http://t.co/aua9xYDPvH Is blaming him for the #flashcrash like blaming a butterfly in China for a hurricane in the US? — moneyscience…

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Economist's View: 'Spoofing in an Algorithmic Ecosystem'

Posted: 22 Apr 2015 07:22 AM PDT

'Spoofing in an Algorithmic Ecosystem' http://t.co/R9l60EPyDv — Mark Thoma (@MarkThoma) April 22, 2015

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UK financial trader arrested over 2010 global markets 'flash crash'

Posted: 22 Apr 2015 04:28 AM PDT

UK financial trader arrested over 2010 global markets 'flash crash' http://t.co/NZmJ2Fbc7w — moneyscience (@moneyscience) April 21, 2015

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How Sarao 'spoofed, layered' his way to $1-mln flash crash gain

Posted: 22 Apr 2015 01:33 AM PDT

How Sarao 'spoofed, layered' his way to $1-mln flash crash gain http://t.co/r5qb2EliNQ via @FXS_Finance_EN #FlashCrash #2010 — D. Geromichalos ScD (@dg_risk)…

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Published / Preprint: Introduction to Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs) for Finance. (arXiv:1504.05309v1 [q-fin.MF])

Posted: 21 Apr 2015 05:38 PM PDT

These are course notes on the application of SDEs to options pricing. The author being partially supported by NSF grant DMS-0739195.

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Vendor News: Infosys, East China Normal University and Renmin University of China Establish New Data Science Joint Lab

Posted: 21 Apr 2015 03:07 AM PDT

Infosys, in collaboration with East China Normal University (ECNU) and Renmin University of China (RUC), announced the establishment of a Data Science Joint Lab. The lab will be located in the East China Normal University campus in Shanghai, and will be open to students majoring in computer science.

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Published / Preprint: 21Apr/Basel Committee removes selected national discretions and replies to frequently asked question on funding valuation adjustment

Posted: 21 Apr 2015 02:05 AM PDT

Press release about the Basel Committee removing selected national discretions and replying to frequently asked question on funding valuation adjustment (21 April 2015)

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UK supermarkets dupe shoppers out of hundreds of millions, says Which?

Posted: 21 Apr 2015 12:55 AM PDT

UK Consumer Group lands 'super-complaint' on supermarkets over pricing tactics http://t.co/Q6Imzyq7Sd related tricks: http://t.co/TtMeSkGtJy — moneyscience…

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Does Variety Fuel Happiness at Work and in Life? It Depends - Knowledge@Wharton

Posted: 21 Apr 2015 12:55 AM PDT

Variety vs. Multitasking: One Is the Spice of Life -- and the Other Will Stress You Out: http://t.co/OlArU0Shkg http://ift.tt/1K19Yqt — Knowledge @ Wharton…

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http://www.quora.com/Has-the-quant-finance-space-been-saturated/answer/Robert-J-Frey?share=1

Posted: 21 Apr 2015 12:55 AM PDT

My @Quora answer to Has the quant finance space been saturated? http://t.co/ixOdJ9eZLN — Robert J Frey ن (@financequant) April 21, 2015

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Post-Doctoral Researcher in Energy Economics and Applied Econometrics job opening in Zürich, Switzerland - INOMICS | Economics Jobs

Posted: 21 Apr 2015 12:55 AM PDT

Post-Doctoral Researcher in Energy Economics and Applied Econometrics in Zürich, Switzerland: https://t.co/dGEIV35s4Z — Dave Giles (@DEAGiles) April 20, 2015

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Hedge Fund

Posted: 21 Apr 2015 12:32 AM PDT

There are many dumb ideas in Hedge Fund land. Single purpose funds? Hedge funds are a long term investment http://t.co/vYKi5xCpZy — Veryan Allen (@HedgeFund)…

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Published / Preprint: Optimal Multiple Trading Times Under the Exponential OU Model with Transaction Costs. (arXiv:1504.04682v1 [q-fin.TR])

Posted: 20 Apr 2015 05:38 PM PDT

This paper studies the timing of trades under mean-reverting price dynamics subject to fixed transaction costs. We solve an optimal double stopping problem to determine the optimal times to enter and subsequently exit the market, when prices are driven by an exponential Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. In addition, we analyze a related optimal switching problem that involves an infinite sequence of...

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Published / Preprint: Time-consistency of risk measures with GARCH volatilities and their estimation. (arXiv:1504.04774v1 [q-fin.RM])

Posted: 20 Apr 2015 05:38 PM PDT

In this paper we study time-consistent risk measures for returns that are given by a GARCH$(1,1)$ model. We present a construction of risk measures based on their static counterparts that overcomes the lack of time-consistency. We then study in detail our construction for the risk measures Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Average Value-at-Risk (AVaR). While in the VaR case we can derive an analytical...

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Published / Preprint: Forecasting the term structure of crude oil futures prices with neural networks. (arXiv:1504.04819v1 [q-fin.GN])

Posted: 20 Apr 2015 05:38 PM PDT

The paper contributes to the rare literature modeling term structure of crude oil markets. We explain term structure of crude oil prices using dynamic Nelson-Siegel model, and propose to forecast them with the generalized regression framework based on neural networks. The newly proposed framework is empirically tested on 24 years of crude oil futures prices covering several important recessions...

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Blog Post: Luigi.Ballabio: Chapter 7, part 5 of 6: tree-based lattices

Posted: 19 Apr 2015 10:36 PM PDT