Thursday, April 30, 2015

MoneyScience News

MoneyScience News


Published / Preprint: Operational risk modeled analytically II: the consequences of classification invariance. (arXiv:1504.07805v1 [q-fin.RM])

Posted: 29 Apr 2015 05:39 PM PDT

Most of the banks' operational risk internal models are based on loss pooling in risk and business line categories. The parameters and outputs of operational risk models are sensitive to the pooling of the data and the choice of the risk classification. In a simple model, we establish the link between the number of risk cells and the model parameters by requiring invariance of the bank's...

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Published / Preprint: Pricing and hedging game options in currency models with proportional transaction costs. (arXiv:1504.07920v1 [q-fin.MF])

Posted: 29 Apr 2015 05:39 PM PDT

The pricing, hedging, optimal exercise and optimal cancellation of game or Israeli options are considered in a multi-currency model with proportional transaction costs. Efficient constructions for optimal hedging, cancellation and exercise strategies are presented, together with numerical examples, as well as probabilistic dual representations for the bid and ask price of a game option.

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Blog Post: TheAlephBlog: Redacted Version of the April 2015 FOMC Statement

Posted: 29 Apr 2015 12:08 PM PDT

Photo credit: jonesylife || Oh look, there are twelve doves flying!read more...

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Blog Post: iMFdirect: Managing Capital Flows in Frontier Economies

Posted: 29 Apr 2015 08:39 AM PDT

By Jonathan D. Ostry, Atish R. Ghosh, and Mahvash S. Qureshi read more...

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Blog Post: ThePracticalQuant: More tools for managing and reproducing complex data projects

Posted: 29 Apr 2015 08:07 AM PDT

A survey of the landscape shows the types of tools remain the same, but interfaces continue to improve.[A version of this post appears on the O'Reilly Radar.]As data projects become complex and as data teams grow in size, individuals and organizations need tools to efficiently manage data projects. A while back, I wrote a poston common options, and I closed that piece by asking:Are there...

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Research - MoneyScience

Posted: 29 Apr 2015 05:05 AM PDT

Latest Research at MoneyScience http://t.co/bzdCXJ6OjF — moneyscience (@moneyscience) April 29, 2015

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Bitcoin behemoth Coinbase launches in the UK

Posted: 29 Apr 2015 05:05 AM PDT

Bitcoin behemoth Coinbase launches in the UK Bitcoin behemoth Coinbase launches in the UK http://t.co/NN3eGkamwq — moneyscience (@moneyscience) April 29,…

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Casino Life - in April


Welcome to Casino Life...

Profit and Growth. The casino industry, like so many industries is understandably pre-occupied with it - whether it's the number of slot machines sold, the amount of new casinos in a region or just the bottom line. Sure, it's what good business is all about, but sometimes though, that preoccupation with growth seems to be at the expense of that other pillar of business wisdom - stability. It may seem to be a dull old word but having stability such as a stable market is just as important as having one growing like topsy. The recent closer inspection by the global media of the Asian market is a case in point. Macau, that gleaming pot of gold at the end of the rainbow, is under close scrutiny at the moment - by the press, the authorities and it's not looking too good. The spotlight now falling on the high number of Chinese officials spending money corruptly obtained from the state plus various ill-gotten gains spent by high rollers on junket trips herded in by triads - allegedly - is starting to have an effect on what

many thought was a market that would never slow down. All of this unstoppable growth at the outset yielded Sheldon Adelson's Las Vegas Sands Corporation a tidy sum - approximately $33million per day during 2013. Yes - you did read that right. Now, the morals of that "money machine" are being questioned and what looked like endless growth has been called into question. Chinese New Year results were half that of 2014 and the trend is going to continue. It grew - but now it's stopped and it's reversing... so if your business model is wholly based on continual growth in Macau - it's time to chase the next wave.

 

Meanwhile, back in Europe - that place of small growth but stability, Olympic Casinos have just put the icing on the cake and opened a new casino in Tallinn in the first Hilton hotel to be built in the Baltics. And you thought such firsts were rare. Two stable brands working together profitably.

Profit is also the watchword for Victor H. Royer this month as he hammers home the message that too much time and effort is being wasted on social players when casinos should instead be putting their efforts into retaining and attracting actual gamblers - people who go to casinos to gamble - not hang out / party / watch the game. It's all common sense so I hope it is all digested and adopted.

I'll leave you with a quote from one of our features this month on Foxwoods, from Felix Rappaport, President & CEO : "Happy employees provide great guest service, which brings customers back, which generally provides for a successful financial model. But if you focus too much on profits you might ignore both the guest and employee."


Have a differing view on any of my ramblings? Want to be interviewed and put your venue on the map? Then please drop me a line

 

Glyn Thomas

Editor in Chief

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